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15/10/2014 1 Electricity Market Economics Worldwide Review + Green Energy Economics Review Kevin Davis (c) KDavis CIT 2014 1 References • Renewable Energy in Power Systems (Leon Freris and David Infield, Wiley publications) (c) KDavis CIT 2014 2 15/10/2014 2 T1 R2R1 T3T2 R3 G1 G3G2 Tie lines Circuit Breakers consumers Power Plants © KDavis CIT 2011 3 Generators Suppliers Types of market structures • Centrally Planned and Fully Regulated Monopoly; ESB in Ireland , Central Electricity Generating Board in UK. • Centrally Planned and partially Deregulated Current system in Ireland. (SEMO and EIRGRID still centrally balance expected demand with scheduled generation capacity) • Fully Deregulated Current system in UK (suppliers and generators balance their expected outputs) (c) KDavis CIT 2014 4 15/10/2014 3 Case study: UK • Before 1990 Centrally Planned and Fully Regulated (monopoly). Regional electricity companies (REC) acted as suppliers and were responsible for lower voltage networks in their area. • Privatisation. National Power & Powergen purchased generation stations (except Nuclear plants which remained state owned) REC’s given ownership of National Grid Company • Pooling and Settlement agreement to select generation plants. (same as Irish market now! Note Nuclear plants could bid a zero value to ensure they would be selected as they would still be given the pool purchase price when selected) (c) KDavis CIT 2014 5 Case study: UK • Pool Purchase Price (PPP): Price paid to all in-merit generators for a half hour period • Pool Selling Price; Supplier paid a little more that the PPP (difference due to costs of running the grid and costs associated with standby generation). • Deregulation. 1992-1999 customer could select their supplier (1992 only large consumers, 1999 all consumers). New generators also allowed enter the market (including RE generators) National Grid Company (NGC) became independent. • New Electricity Trading Arrangements (NETA) “following criticisms of how pool prices could be manipulated by a few key generators” Bilateral contracts between generators and suppliers now possible. • Each supplier is now forecasting their hourly demand from their customers and purchasing output capacity from generators up to a month ahead. The NGC must be notified of all forecasts and bilateral agreements. (c) KDavis CIT 2014 6 15/10/2014 4 Case study: UK • Bilateral contracts: straight contracts between two parties for a given volume of electricity at a given price. • Now accounts for 90% of volume of wholesale electricity sold in UK • Contracts can be for several months • Power exchange: as forecasts of demand improve (usually a day or hours before power is provided) surplus capacity or lack of capacity can be purchased or sold on the power exchange) (c) KDavis CIT 2014 7 Case study: UK • IMBALANCE MARKET: If the Supplier under-estimates demand, they must buy additional supply at the System Buy Price (SBP) If the Supplier over-estimates demand, they can sell surplus capacity at the System Sell Price (SSP). Generators must also buy capacity if there are unable to fulfil their contracts. • BALANCING MARKET. NGC still must balance supply and demand to maintain grid frequency. Generators with the ability to rapidly change their output bid to provide this service to NGC. NGC evaluates these bids and notifies successful generators. (these costs are then passed onto the generators/suppliers that caused the imbalance). Flexible Suppliers can also bid in this market • After 2005, NETA became BETTA (British Electricity Transmission and Trading Arrangement). (c) KDavis CIT 2014 8 15/10/2014 5 Case study: Scandinavian Nord Pool • Countries Sweden, Norway, Finland and parts of Denmark. • Most electricity traded using bilateral contracts. • A day ahead spot market (similar to power exchange) also operates • Prices on the spot market depend on the number of bids to sell surplus capacity (supply) and number of bids to looking for increased capacity (demand). • Within each country there is also a balancing market. (c) KDavis CIT 2014 9 Case study: other countries • Australia mandatory National Electricity Market…very similar to the Irish market • New Zealand traded using bilateral contracts and the spot market (NZEM). The centralise NZEM is the more popular choice • Similar markets are operated in Argentina and California. • France, Greece; (Single Buyer Model) This SBM is the only authority that can sell electricity to consumers. (c) KDavis CIT 2014 10 15/10/2014 6 (c) KDavis CIT 2014 11 Green Energy Economics Economic support mechanisms needed by RE plants to compete in electricity market due to • Cost of production with these technologies is higher (at present). There is an expectation that as these technologies mature and plant sizes increase, their operating costs will decrease • Variability of output. More difficult to enter into bilateral agreements to supply a demand when forecasting is not 100% accurate The benefits to society in the avoidance of external costs (such as costs associated with damage to health and the environment due to pollution) is given as the justification for these support schemes (c) KDavis CIT 2014 12 Types of Support Mechanisms for RE • Feed in Law ; RE generation paid a fixed price for output and suppliers are obliged to take this output. Examples; Refit in Ireland, similar scheme in Germany • Quote System: Supplier must provide a certain fraction of their output from RE sources. Proof that this is achieved can be by issuing green certificate when RE is produced. Example; Renewable Obligation (RO) in UK. Suppliers have to pay a “buy- out” obligation if they are unable to meet their target (€45/MWh). Suppliers use Renewable Energy Certificates (ROCs) to proof compliance. The “buy- out” money paid is redistributed to compliant suppliers. 15/10/2014 7 (c) KDavis CIT 2014 13 Types of Support Mechanisms for RE • Carbon Tax: simple tax on electricity output based on CO2 emissions level per output. The higher costs of RE are then offset by a zero tax rate. Example; Climate change levy in UK • Tax Relief: available on the capital investment in new RE plants. Example. Germany 10% of investment costs can be offset against income tax over a 10 year period Revision Questions 1. Explain the term “Bilateral agreements” 2. How does the British Electricity and Trading Arrangements (BETTA) differ from the single electricity market (SEM) in Ireland? What are the implications for generators \suppliers operating using BETTA? 3. “the cost of balancing the electricity market in the UK targets those participants that are out of balance with their contracted position”. Discuss this statement and compare to the Irish electricity pool system. (c) KDavis CIT 2014 14 15/10/2014 8 Revision Questions 4. Describe the four types of support mechanisms used to encourage the use of renewable energy in international electricity markets 5. Explain the terms “Imbalance market” and “balancing market” as applied to the UK electricity grid. (c) KDavis CIT 2014 15
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