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GRADUAÇÃO 2015.1 3ª EDIÇÃO teoria da decisão AUTOR: LUÍS FERNANDO SCHUARTZ Sumário Introdução à Teoria da Decisão 1. INTRODUÇÃO ............................................................................................................................................................................ 04 2. AULA 1 - O DIREITO E AS SUAS CONSEQÜÊNCIAS .......................................................................................................................... 05 3. AULA 2 - DISCUSSÃO DO CASO “GROOT BOOM” ............................................................................................................................. 18 4. AULA 3 - ELEMENTOS DE TEORIA DA DECISÃO .............................................................................................................................. 33 5. AULAS 4-5 - DECISÕES SOB INCERTEZA ........................................................................................................................................ 37 6. AULAS 6-7 - DA DECISÃO INDIVIDUAL À DECISÃO INTERATIVA ....................................................................................................... 43 7. AULAS 8-9 - SOLUÇÃO DE JOGOS NA FORMA NORMAL: DOMINÂNCIA E EQUILÍBRIO DE NASH ........................................................... 51 8. AULA 10. EQUILÍBRIO DE NASH PERFEITO EM SUBJOGOS .............................................................................................................. 55 TEORiA DA DECiSãO FGV DiREiTO RiO 33FGV DIREITO RIO InTRODuçãO à TEORIa Da DEcIsãO 3FGV DIREITO RIO INTRODUÇÃO À TEORIA DA DECISÃO '(7�%*3&*50�3*0 � INTRODUÇÃO AO PENSAMENTO ESTRATÉGICO ��\�2/4%)2/ &TUF�DVSTP�Ï�VNB�JOUSPEVÎÍP�JOGPSNBM�Ë�UFPSJB�EPT�KPHPT� WBMF�EJ[FS �BP�FTUVEP�NFUØEJDP�EF�JOUFSBÎÜFT�DBSBDUFSJ[BEBT� QFMB�JOUFSEFQFOEÐODJB�EBT�EFDJTÜFT�EF�TFVT�QBSUJDJQBOUFT �EJSFDJPOBEB�B�FTUVEBOUFT�EF�HSBEVBÎÍP�FN�%JSFJUP��0�PCKFUJWP� EP�DVSTP�Ï�BQSFTFOUBS�BT�OPÎÜFT�CÈTJDBT�F�BMHVOT�NPEFMPT�TJNQMFT�VUJMJ[BEPT�FN�UFPSJB�EPT�KPHPT �GBNJMJBSJ[BOEP�PT�BMVOPT� DPN�UÏDOJDBT�F�JOTUSVNFOUPT�EF�TPMVÎÍP�EF�QSPCMFNBT�EF�EFDJTÍP�QBSB�VTP�OB�EFTDSJÎÍP�F�BOÈMJTF�EF�TJUVBÎÜFT�KVSJEJDBNFO� UF�SFMFWBOUFT�� &YFNQMPT� FTQFDÓmDPT�VUJMJ[BEPT�OP� DVSTP� FOWPMWFSÍP� DPODFJUPT� KVSÓEJDPT�EF� DPNQSFFOTÍP� SFMBUJWBNFOUF� JOUVJUJWB � 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