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PREVENTIVE MEDICINE 13, 299-319 (1984) SPECIAL ARTICLE Public Communication as a Strategy for Inducing Health- Promoting Behavioral Change’ WILLIAM J. MCGUIRE Department of Psychology, Yale University, IIA Yale Station, New Haven, Connecticut 06520 INTRODUCTION Recent biomedical and epidemiological research has identified some major health problems and some promising solutions to them. This article describes how social and behavioral science research can bring these biomedical and epi- demiological advances more fully to bear on improving the health status of the American public by using either of two strategies for reducing health risks. The first involves engineering the public’s behaviors toward health maintenance by making structural changes in the institutional arrangements of society, e.g., ban- ning certain products, legislating their specification, taxing their use, restricting their sales. Disciplines such as political science, organizational psychology, and economics can contribute to this institutional approach, for example, by studies on the legislative and regulatory processes that led to the ban on cigarette ad- vertising on television or by taxation studies on the price elasticity of cigarette smoking behavior (21). The second strategy involves convincing individuals to exercise personal responsibility for their health by altering their lifestyles in more healthful directions, such as using mass media and other communication channels to inform the public about dangers, motivate them to reduce risks, or train them in skills that enable them to adopt more healthful lifestyles. Some health problems, such as reducing environmental noise or water pollu- tion, call mainly for the institutional approach. Others, such as obesity or acci- dent-risking carelessness, call for the second, individual approach. There are other health risks amenable to both approaches: cigarette smoking and alcohol abuse are discouraged both by the government’s imposition of high taxes, restric- tions on sales, and other deterrents, as well as by educational campaigns to increase school children’s motivation and ability to resist pressures to begin cig- arette smoking or alcohol abuse. The next section discusses briefly the institu- tional class of strategies whose implementation entails manipulating society’s elites and governmental and private institutions. The following three sections will discuss in more detail techniques for the second strategy, persuading individuals to take more effective responsibility for maintaining their own health. ’ The writing of this article was substantially aided by Grant MH32588 from the National Institutes of Mental Health, Interpersonal Processes and Problems Section (BR-5). 299 0091-7435/84 $3.00 Copyright 0 1984 by Academic Press, Inc. AI1 tights of reproduction in any form reserved. 300 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE INSTITUTIONAL STRATEGIES FOR PROMOTING HEALTHFUL LIFESTYLES In reviewing institutional strategies for improving public health, I shall first cite punitive options available mainly to governmental agencies and then positive inducements usable by both public and private institutions. Governmental Punitive Strategies Governments can reduce health risks by imposing design specifications on man- ufacturers; for instance, car manufacturers are required to install seat belts (though they are used by fewer than 20% of U.S. car occupants and a slightly larger minority in the Federal Republic of Germany), head supports, safety steering wheels, etc. (though not yet air bags). Toy and lawn mower manufac- turers are forbidden to market items with certain dangerous features, and some clothing, furniture, and building materials must be flame-retardant. Governments can even impose safety behavior on the individual member of the public, as in the case of requiring motorcyclists to wear helmets and (in some countries) car riders to fasten seat belts. The government can reduce health risks in dangerous environments by regu- lating practices such as toxic waste disposal. Occupational injuries can be reduced both by legislating worksite modification and by requiring injury-reducing be- havior by the individual worker, such as the wearing of hard hats, goggles, or other protective equipment. Banning health-threatening behaviors and products is another governmental option used in the “noble experiment” of the 1920s by the U.S. Federal Govem- ment in prohibiting alcohol and currently by most European and American gov- ernments in banning the use of drugs like heroin, cocaine, and marijuana and in prohibiting automobile driving by those who have consumed a specified amount of alcohol shortly before driving. Of course, legislating is one thing, but enforcing is something else. (Glendower says in Henry IV, “I can call spirits from the vasty deep.” We, however, must ask with Hotspur, “But will they come when you do call for them?“) Governments may prohibit driving while intoxicated, but the annual occurrence of over 25,000 alcohol-related highway deaths in the United States raises the question of whether proscription legislation provides adequately for detection and discouragement through fines, license suspension, jail terms, and other penalties. A fourth punitive option available to the government is to require health-pro- moting behaviors as a condition for the receipt of services. For example, New York City has long required that all school children obtain a specified set of inoculations, but compliance fell off until a state ukase forbade attendance by any child who could not present evidence of having received the required inoc- ulations, thus motivating negligent parents to have their children immunized lest academic baby sitting services be lost and motivating local governments to facil- itate obtaining the inoculations lest they suffer reduced per capita state support due to the enforced absence of uninoculated children. The state may also mandate health examinations and the correction of detected health problems as a condition for obtaining working papers, entering governmental employment, holding food- handling jobs, etc. INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 301 The government’s power to tax can also be used as a tool to channel behavior in healthful directions. “Sin” taxes on alcohol and cigarettes make use of the demonstrated price elasticity in these substances of abuse: Federal Trade Com- mission analyses indicate that for every 1% rise in cigarette prices, cigarette sales fall by 0.8%, due to smokers’ smoking fewer cigarettes rather than to a reduction in the number of smokers (21). Government can also reduce health risks by impeding access to health-threat- ening products. Total proscription has been tried as in the 1920s U.S. prohibition of alcohol and the current banning of heroin, cocaine, and marijuana. This method does reduce, but does not eliminate, abuse of these substances, and it incurs other costs. Less drastic measures by governments have attempted to reduce alcohol consumption by restricting the hours, places, and amounts in which al- cohol can be sold, the age at which purchases may be made, etc. In recent years many European and American governments have prohibited the advertising of cigarettes on the electronic media, although time-series analyses have failed to demonstrate that this banning has reduced the number of smokers or the number of cigarettes consumed per smoker (5). A rapidly growing form of government regulation mandates that products be labeled with regard to risks and benefits (20). This approach requires disclosing to the public the nutritional and “additive” ingredients of foods, the possible side effects of medications, etc., and leaves it to the individual to decide whether the benefits are worththe risks. Such an approach is in tune with current elitist beliefs that risk management should be achieved by informing the individual of risks and benefits and leaving it to him/her to make a decision based on his/ her personal value system. This current laissez-faire philosophy contrasts with the more authoritarian banning approach popular during the 1960s when the Es- tablishment consensus favored government-imposed solutions as manifested in the DuLaney clause prohibition of the sale of foods containing a substance found in any concentration to cause cancer in any animal. Another way the government can protect public health is by legal regulation of health services by licensing medical and paramedical personnel, inspecting hos- pitals, certifying medical schools, monitoring pharmaceutical manufacturing, or requiring evidence of effectiveness and safety before allowing the marketing of new drugs. Punitive Strategies by Nongovernmental Institutions Modern governments typically attempt to monopolize coercion and the power to inflict punishment, but a variety of “activist” private organizations recently have been using economic and other punitive sanctions available to the private sector to reduce health risks. For example, organizations opposed to the adver- tising of “junk” food on Saturday morning children’s television shows have used public pressure campaigns against network officials, boycotts against advertisers, and demands for FTC and FCC regulation. Similar campaigns against television violence have been launched in the hope of reducing the level of life- and health- threatening criminal aggression in society. Private coercion has also been exerted by mobilizing public-service attorneys to bring class-action suits against environ- mental polluters or manufacturers of dangerous items, hoping that private in- 302 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE dustry can be induced by fear of costly litigation and settlements to increase safety precautions in the design and manufacture of their products. Private agencies may protect public health also by professional or industry self- regulation and -policing, as when physicians’ associations require a certain level of continuing education to certify the competence of their members, when hos- pitals routinely do pathology tests or otherwise check the performance of indi- vidual practitioners, or when manufacturers in an industry adopt a product safety code and inspection procedures to enforce it. Supportive Strategies by Governmental and Nongovernmental Institutions Institutional approaches may use the carrot as well as the stick. While most of the punitive procedures just described for promoting public health are government monopolies, positive inducements have often been used by private as well as governmental institutions. Research support is a positive institutional contribu- tion to health maintenance whose level has increased greatly in the United States and Europe during the last 20 years but still represents only 2% of all expenditures for health; even with so highly studied a condition as cardiovascular disease, the annual research budget is only 1% of the yearly cost of cardiovascular diseases to the U.S. economy. Private agencies have traditionally contributed research support, but increases in governmental funding in recent decades have turned some private health foundations into fund-absorbing rather than fund-generating institutions. Social science research relevant to the research option for health maintenance includes the still inconclusive econometric research on the cost/ benefit ratio of biomedical research (lo), organizational psychology studies of how the structure and conditions of biomedical research institutes enhance their productivity (1), and cognitive and social psychological experiments on factors promoting creativity in the individual scientist (3, 4, 29, 30). Public and private institutions can also improve the supply of trained health personnel by funding medical schools and students, by developing curricula for training medical and paramedical personnel, by improving certifying examinations to evaluate both the training institutions and the individuals they admit, or by training the general population in risk-reducing skills, such as training in CPR and lifeguarding, or training special subpopulations in relevant skills (for example, restaurant workers in recognizing choking symptoms and executing the Heimlich maneuver). Cost/benefit analyses of these various programs are needed, although such analyses are admittedly difficult. Governmental and private agencies can enhance public health by supporting programs to provide nutritious school lunches and free clinics, dispatching hy- pertension detection units to communities deficient in ordinary medical facilities, or establishing blood or organ donor programs, etc. Treatment facilities can be made more available by organizational action to provide Medicare, Medicaid, and the various health insurance programs, although economic developments may now call rather for large organizations to switch to self-insurance in order to bring medical costs under more adequate control. A final type of institutional program for health promotion is the carrying out of research and demonstration programs, such as regional arthritis centers spon- INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 303 sored by the National Institutes of Health, the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial, and programs within private corporations for detecting hypertension, re- ducing occupational health hazards, or treating alcoholism. This list of punitive and supportive strategies by which governmental and pri- vate institutions can contribute to the maintenance of public health could be expanded considerably. However, the 14 categories mentioned here must suffice, since the focus of this paper is on alternate strategies for promoting health and reducing risk through education and persuasion campaigns aimed directly at the general public or at subpopulations especially at risk to induce them to adopt more healthful lifestyles. The alternative mass communication approach to health maintenance will be discussed at greater length in the next three sections. DEVELOPING SOCIAL INFLUENCE CAMPAIGNS TO ENHANCE PUBLIC HEALTH Public communication campaigns to induce people to adopt more healthful lifestyles have had only modest success. Eliminating from consideration the many campaigns that have not been adequately evaluated, there remain numerous dis- couraging studies where appropriate evaluations revealed no appreciable health gains from substantial communication campaigns. There are, however, a few careful studies which have yielded encouraging preliminary results, the Stanford Three-Cities Project (12) and the North Karelia program in Finland (23, although the benefits of these programs have yet to be evaluated against their costs. I have analyzed elsewhere (14) why public communication campaigns are likely to have limited effectiveness. For example, their impact on the desired health behavior depends on their eliciting a whole chain of responses, such as being exposed to the health communication, attending to it, becoming involved in it, compre- hending its contents, agreeing with what it says, acquiring the skills necessary for compliance, retaining these over time, and acting on the basis of them, etc; each of these responses has a low probability of being elicited, so the ultimate payoff in behavior compliance will be the very small product of a series of prob- abilities. In the face of such obstacles, for communication campaigns to be cost- effective they should be designed more insightfully than has usually been the case in past campaigns, perhaps following the seven-step procedure briefly describedhere for constructing an adequate health-promoting communication campaign. Step 1: Reviewing the Realities The first step is a review of the realities described by biomedical and epide- miological research in order to identify the problems most suitable for a com- munication campaign to enhance the public health. This review involves assigning priorities to possible targets using three sets of criteria: (a) identification of serious health problems; (b) selection of the subset for which effective solutions are known; and (c) focusing further on solutions best achievable through persuasive communication. Such criteria suggest, for example, that were one tempted to mount a mass media campaign urging the addition of a missing nutrient to the diet, a serious question arises as to whether this is a high-priority 304 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE problem area in the general population or in a special subgroup (such as pregnant teenagers) for whom there may be some specific nutritional deficiency problem. In this latter case, it may be more efficient to find communication channels that can best reach the small at-risk group than to mount a general campaign. Or, given that the health of some segment of the population (say, Type-A personali- ties) suffers from their poor handling of stress a question arises as to whether cost-effective techniques exist for improving the handling of stress. Where there is a solution with clear health benefits, such as reduction of cigarette smoking, the question arises of whether a mass media campaign is an effective way of getting smokers to quit, since quitting requires skill acquisition, social support systems, etc., not easily provided by mass media. Hence a smoking-reduction health campaign might better be aimed at prevention than at cure. Moreover, since few people begin smoking after adolescence, a prevention campaign should probably be channeled to youths through school programs rather than the mass media. The first two criteria, identifying serious medical problems and problems for which feasible solutions are available, call mainly for biomedical and epidemio- logical expertise. Given the social science. focus of this article, these shall be discussed only briefly relative to the third, more psychological criterion, of how effective a mass persuasion campaign would be for implementing the solution. The first criterion, assigning priorities on the basis of the seriousness of the health problem at hand, calls for the assignment of weights to health-reducing conditions in proportion to the number of people they effect and the extent to which the condition impairs functioning and causes suffering and other costs to both the afflicted person and society. Careful problem-identification undertakings of this sort have been carried out by the biomedical and public health establishments in recent years, and convenient priority targets have been published by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (31, 32). Such thoughtfully developed hit lists of priority targets for public health pro- motion campaigns are valuable but would be more useful still if three selectional improvements were introduced: an increased emphasis to morbidity relative to mortality costs, to life loss relative to lives lost, and to initial causes rather than proximal links in the causal chain leading to illness and death. Each of the three correctives is illustrated below. Mortality is probably overemphasized relative to morbidity, considering that a less selfish and sentimental appraisal suggests that prolonged and serious mor- bidity tends to impose more diffused but, in the aggregate, higher total human cost than does mortality. When a dreadful automobile accident kills one young man and permanently incapacitates another, both losses are catastrophic. The person killed suffers loss of life, his relatives and friends suffer emotional and material losses, and society suffers loss of 40 or more years of the worker’s economic and other contributions. The “totally” disabled person still has life, though its quality may be reduced due to pain and frustration; the emotional anguish of his-friends and relatives may be less intense but will be of much longer duration; and society, beside losing 40 years of economic contribution, may incur additional extraordinary costs of maintaining the sufferer materially and medi- cally. INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 305 It is reasonable to emphasize cardiovascular disease and cancer as priority health problems, since they are the leading underlying causes of death. Our preoc- cupation, however, with these mortal ills should not be allowed to distract atten- tion from less common, but earlier-occurring, causes of death like accidents, suicides, and homicides, which tend to strike their victims at the outset of their productive lives. Nor should we overlook conditions like cigarette smoking and alcoholism, which contribute diffusely if only indirectly to both mortality and morbidity. Alcoholics may be a long time dying but they live diminished lives and diminish the lives of others, and when they go they may take others with them (e.g., the involvement of alcohol in 25,000 highway deaths and thousands of homicides each year). Nor should preocccupation with death deny due priority as targets for public health campaigns to chronic diseases like asthma, arthritis, and the sexually transmitted diseases that cause much misery even though they lack the macabre glamour of appearing among the top 10 “Leading Causes of Death.” A second needed corrective is to give more weight to life loss relative to lives lost in apportioning priorities among competing targets for preventive medicine campaigns. This correction entails taking into account the age at which the var- ious potential health threats inflict mortality or morbidity costs on their victims. For example, cardiovascular disease and cancer cause many deaths, but they tend to strike victims at advanced ages when their life expectancies and likely further contributions to society are relatively small. Fewer lives are lost in acci- dents, suicides, and homicides, but these deaths tend to occur quite early in the victim’s productive life, resulting in the loss of considerable life expectancy to the victim and considerable services expected by society. Among people in their twenties, accidents cause 10 times as many deaths as cancer and 100 times more than cardiovascular diseases. Suicides and homicides also vastly outweigh car- diovascular and cancer deaths among these young people. Selecting targets more on the basis of life loss than lives lost by taking age of occurrence into account would considerably alter priorities among public health campaign targets. A third corrective is to give more weight to the earlier links in the chain of events terminating in death. While it is useful to conduct research on terminal diseases, an even greater improvement in public health might come from inducing people to adopt more healthful lifestyles in childhood, such as not starting to smoke. For example, Cohen and Lee (2) calculated how much life loss could be prevented by the achievement of various health goals. If all heart diseases were prevented, they found that life expectancy (at birth) would increase by 6 years, slightly less than would be gained by stopping males from smoking cigarettes. By eliminating all cancer, life expectancy could be lengthened by 3 years as compared with the 4 years that could be added by achieving normal weight among those 30% overweight. But the really formidable statistical health threat is being un- married; married men live 10 years longer and married women 4 years longer than their single counterparts. So to make a solid contribution to life expectancy, one has only to eliminateheart diseases or cancer; to make a still bigger contri- bution, one should eliminate cigarette smoking or obesity; but to make a really giant leap forward, one should go after the big one and open a marriage bureau. 306 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE Naturally, one should not interpret such epidemiological statistics too naively: the relationship between being unmarried and having a shorter life expectancy is probably due in part to both being coeffects of preexisting physical conditions. Still the lifestyle associated with the unmarried state is probably itself a contrib- utor to the lo-year-shorter lifespan of single men, suggesting an issue even more basic than sex and the single man: death and the single man. It is appropriate that biomedical and epidemiological researchers take the lead in this first step of reviewing the realities to select priority targets for health- promoting campaigns. However, the social, behavioral, and communication sci- entists on the team can make contributions even on these first two technical criteria, because their very distance supplies a needed objectivity. Physicians and health researchers tend to have long professional involvement with specific dis- ease entities or with certain treatment approaches; for example, the arthritis spe- cialist may appropriately be preoccupied by the prevalent use of quack treatments of the elderly or the internist may have become obsessed by the need for early detection or better treatment compliance by hyptertensives or the epidemiologist may be narrowly worried about the recent increase in smoking among teenaged females. There is also the habitual orientation of physicians and other biomedical researchers toward medical rather than behavioral or lifestyle interventions. Such specialized expertise of the team’s health professionals may require their exer- cising heroic virtue to attain objectivity in identifying priority targets, an objec- tivity painlessly bestowed on the social, behavioral, and communication re- searchers by their very ignorance. Social scientists can make a more obvious contribution to this initial step of realistic assignment of priorities when it comes to applying the third criterion: judging how feasible it is to use a communication lifestyle change approach to implement the available solution to the serious health problem. Applying this criterion involves analyzing lifestyles associated with the health threat, then iden- tifying changes that could reduce the risk, suggesting ways in which desired modifications could be effected, and judging the feasibility of mass media or other communication campaigns for economically achieving these lifestyle changes with a minimum of undesirable side effects. In this undertaking, one considers several principles. Can the change be induced simply by providing information, or must motivation also be supplied, the former being more achievable by mass com- munication than the latter? To what extent does compliance require skill acqui- sition and social support, thus lessening the suitability of a mass communication solution? Does the “psychographic profile” of the at-risk subpopulation include a specific pattern of media exposure, thus making the target group efficiently reachable by a mass media campaign? Step 2: Axiological Analysis Once a hit list of health problems has been assembled and given priorities on the basis of the three reality criteria just discussed, the problems should be sub- jected to an ethical appraisal which may alter the priority ordering of the targets or even lead to dropping one or more of them. Such value analyses should con- INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 307 sider the campaign’s costs as well as benefits, its indirect unintended effects as well as its intended direct effects, its general psychological as well as its specific physiological effects, and its effects on society as well as on the target individual. For example, before urging people to alter their lifestyles by engaging in jogging, tennis, or other vigorous exercise, one should consider not only the health ben- efits to the physically unconditioned (e.g., weight loss, greater endurance, im- proved muscle tone) but also the possible health costs in knee injuries, foot disorders, even dog bites. Also, one should consider subtle, indirect effects, in- cluding benefits such as improving the person’s general feeling of well-being or providing opportunities for pleasant social interactions, and indirect costs such as guilt feelings if the jogging leaves less time for one’s family and work. Effects on society must also be considered; for example, before we slow down the “Type- A” people we should consider the resulting cost to society in lessening the con- tributions of its most productive workers. One has also to consider that the effects of communication campaigns seldom can be fine-tuned or monitored, which could result, say, in a campaign to induce more physically active lifestyles becoming all too successful if jogging is taken up by people who should not engage in heavy exercise or adopted too suddenly or too vigorously by others. Carrying out of a value analysis calls for imagination, perspicacity, and objec- tivity in identifying effects-both costs and benefits, direct and indirect, indi- vidual and social. Once an inclusive list of the campaign’s possible effects is generated, each effect could be evaluated in terms of the probability and mag- nitude of its conduciveness to a wide range of values such as those in Rokeach’s (27) or Murray’s (22) lists. In ordering the steps in constructing health-enhancing campaigns I have intro- duced ethical examination early, but one should also return to it subsequently as the campaign construction continues. It is important to consider the ethical as- pects early on, before becoming so involved in the campaign that it becomes personally and socially awkward to raise ethical issues. At one time, I participated in a campaign to induce people to be diagnosed for hypertension, the asympto- matic nature of which was communicated by the slogan “Only your doctor can tell.” I worried that this heavy emphasis on the necessity of going to a physician might interfere with concurrent efforts to promote hypertension detection by stationing paramedics trained and equipped for initial hypertension screening at public places in depressed areas of the city poorly served by formal medical facilities. An early value analysis allows detection of possible problems before emotional investment constricts one’s sensitivity to difficulties and while slight modifications may still allow the problem to be averted with little lost time or embarrassment. When a moral issue arises only after the campaign construction has progressed considerably, it may leave one with the painful choice among working out laborious and disruptive campaign alterations, wasteful and embar- rassing withdrawal from the campaign, or half-hearted and stressful continuation in an enterprise about which one has ambivalence. Hence, an early value analysis of the campaign’s goals is desirable. However, one should not, after this initial appraisal, put these ethical considerations aside, but rather should return to the ethical evaluation of both the means and ends that are adopted intermittently as the campaign develops. 308 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE Step 3: Surveying the Sociocultural Situation The purpose of this third step in designing a health-maintenance campaign is to study those at-risk in their natural environment in order to identify situational circumstances that instigate and maintain health-threatening lifestyles. Through this study, points and directions in which social influence effectively can be ex- erted to redirect behavior into risk-reducing channels can be detected.In this way, the campaign objectives can be further specified with regard to what lifestyle changes should be urged on the target population. If Step 1 was concerned with biomedical and epidemiological facts and the Step 2 value analysis emphasized philosophical, religious, and ethical perspectives, the third step calls for anthropological and ecological skills (namely situational inventories, participant observation, use of informants, psychographic profiles, etc.). If, for example, a campaign were to focus on smoking prevention, one might study the junior high school culture in which most smoking begins by interviewing informants such as school teachers, principals, and coaches, and even-if the language difftculty can be overcome -the children themselves, perhaps in this latter case using peer leaders and “focus group” techniques. If one is endeavoring to promote seat-belt use or hypertension detection, one might interview those who have and those who have not adopted the risk-reducing practice and identify factors that have induced or discouraged taking the desirable step. Also, one could serve as a nonparticipant observer from a highway toll booth, recording seat-belt usage as a function of the demographics of driver and passengers, type of car, time of day, weather conditions, etc. Alternatively, one could use the “psychographic” approaches of consumer researchers to segment the population into subgroups varying in risk and analyze the characteristics, lifestyles, and especially the media-consumption habits of high-risk segments, in order to ascertain the optimal themes to stress and the most cost-effective media mix to reach subpopulations most in need. At the end of Step 3, one should have identified situational circumstances that increase the target health risk and critical choice points at which social pressure exerted through a communication campaign could promote alternate health be- haviors at minimal cost to an individual’s preferred lifestyle. Step 4: Mapping the Mental Matrix The previous step of surveying the sociocultural situation called for viewing the person at risk from the outside to identify critical health-relevant aspects of his/her ecological situation. This fourth step is complementary in that it calls for intra- rather than interpersonal analysis, getting “inside the person’s head” to see how he/she conceptualizes the health threats that the campaign is designed to reduce. Hence, this step calls for using clinical or cognitive psychologists’ techniques for mapping mental structures that determine how the person at risk selectively perceives the situation and that direct his or her behavior into health- threatening or health-maintaining channels. In this fourth step, one ascertains the kinds of information and misinformation people in the target group have about health dangers, the availability of risk- INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 309 reducing alternatives, and the connnection between their own lifestyles and these health problems and solutions. Besides mapping these (mis)informational struc- tures that direct perception and behavior, one must also ascertain the relevant dynamic aspects of the individual’s personality, that is, the motivations and values that propel the person’s behavior into health-threatening channels and which could provide impetus for diverting the behavior into risk-reducing paths. A variety of psychological techniques can be used for mapping these directive and dynamic psychological orientations relevant to health-risk behavior. Leventhal et al. (8) and Pennebaker (24) demonstrate clinical and cognitive psychological techniques by which one can determine the individual’s implicit theories of biology, of health, and of medical and surgical treatment, revealing that even well-educated persons can have amazingly distorted views of anatomy and physiology, the meaning of symptoms, and perceptions regarding how treat- ments work. One can use critical-incident analysis or projective techniques to ascertain the thoughts and motives that precipitate at-risk individuals to obtain a hypertension or cancer diagnosis or to stop smoking. One may find (in violation of commonsense expectations) that cosmetic needs are more powerful than health needs for improving dental hygiene or that altruistic appeals to people’s respon- sibility as parents may be more effective than appeals to preserve their own life and health for getting adults to cease smoking. Also useful is the expected-values, instrumentality x evaluation technique of presenting people at risk with a list of values and having them rate the appeal of each and the extent to which they see the health-relevant behaviors as conducive to or interfering with the attainment of each value. Such an analysis might reveal, for example, that a campaign against dangerous driving or drug abuse by young males that stresses the high risk involved in such behavior might backfire in that perceived riskiness can enhance the machismo appeal of the dangerous practices for this demographic group. Even humanistic techniques can be useful, as illustrated by Sontag’s (28) revealing analysis of the depiction of tuberculosis and cancer in literature as indicative of the very different ways these two diseases are perceived by their victims and potential victims. Step 5: Teasing out the Target Themes Steps 3 and 4 are divergent, information-generating operations that tend to inundate the campaign designers with a wealth of considerations as regards the external situational aspects of the problem (Step 3) and its internal psychological embeddedness (Step 4), leaving them ready and even eager for Step 5: narrowing down the possibilities. This step calls for the campaign designer’s convergent decision making to tease out a few basic themes and subpopulations on which a social influence campaign can focus from among the many situational and dis- positional possibilities generated in Steps 3 and 4. Selection of the most promising target themes can be guided by a number of social and behavioral science principles. Most drastically, the Step 5 analysis may reveal such formidable embeddedness of the health-threatening behavior as to indicate that one should forego this second, individual-change strategy and revert to one of the institutional-change strategies considered in the initial section of 310 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE this chapter. For example, Steps 3 and 4 may reveal so many situational and dispositional difficulties in inducing automobile passengers voluntarily to use seat belts that it will appear as cost-effective to switch to the institutional approach of requiring automobile manufacturers to install automatic impact-inflating pro- tective airbags. More often, it will be possible to design a communication campaign to reduce the health risk, using such social science principles as the fact that it is easier to provide information than motivation through the mass media. For example, nu- trition messages to reduce sodium intake could be better devoted to providing information on the use of herbs instead of salt to make food tasty rather than trying to convince people that unsalted foods taste just as good. Mass media can more effectively communicate “what” than “how.” Since skill training by mass media is difficult, the nutrition messages might better concentrate on urging the family shopper to read the salt content on food labels rather than on training the family cook to prepare gourmet meals without salt. In general, the message should devote less time to arguing the seriousness of the danger than the efficacy and availability of ways to cope with it. All too often health campaigns focus dispro- portionately on the danger rather than the solution, as when valuable message time is wasted stressingthe dangers of hypertension, tetanus, cancer, etc., as if the public had to be talked out of a favorable leaning toward those conditions. Rather, the message should stress the efficacy of taking risk-reducing steps and especially should provide explicit instructions on how the person can avail her/ himself of relatively simple modes of risk reduction. A campaign to lower sodium consumption should emphasize simple expedients (such as the one-to-one sub- stitution of less dangerous spices for salt while cooking rather than the teaching of intricate new recipes). A campaign urging at-risk subpopulations to be im- munized against tetanus or diagnosed for hypertension or cancer should provide very concrete directions to easily accessible sites and to simple institutional ar- rangements for complying; rather than arguing for the need of such immunizations or diagnoses (9). When it does become necessary for a health campaign to induce motivation as well as provide information, a useful principle is that it is easier to manipulate perceived instrumentality than to change subjective value. For example, people at noisy work sites can be induced to wear protective ear coverings more effec- tively by giving periodic hearing tests that demonstrate to noncomplying workers their progressive hearing loss than by trying to make hearing loss seem more terrible or the wearing of ear protectors less unpleasant (34). Motivational appeals should also concentrate on values that are important to the people at risk rather than on those the campaign designers think should be important. While the health professional may want to urge dental hygiene or avoidance of sunburn for their yield in improving health, people at risk may be more influenced by appeals stressing their yield in improving physical attractiveness and popularity. This principle can also enmesh a campaign designer in moral dilemmas, such as whether to take advantage of religious guilt feelings to reduce alcohol or cigarette abuse within cultures with strong religious proscriptions against such substances, such as in Islamic or Mormon areas. INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 311 This fifth step entails not only teasing out the target themes but also defining subpopulations particularly at risk and identifying their media consumption habits in order to develop an optimal media mix for getting the health message to them. Toward this end, marketing and advertising techniques like psychographics and market segmentation are useful. Step 5 is completed when one has chosen a few particularly promising themes for emphasis and identified particularly high-risk subpopulations at whom the campaign should be directed. For example, if one’s objective is to decrease reck- less and drunken driving in teenage males, one might decide to avoid the riskiness theme because it might backfire for the “macho” population in favor of stressing the “masculinity” of “taking charge” and taking responsibility for the well-being of one’s passengers. For this target group, it might be more efficient to transmit spots not so much on popular television shows with large but diffused Nielsen ratings, but rather on late night, hard-rock radio stations having low general Arbitron ratings but high saturation for this particular group. Step 6: Constructing the Communication Having identified the themes to be stressed and the target subpopulations to be reached, health campaign designers can turn to the sixth step: constructing the communication. It is so obviously a central undertaking that it tends to be overemphasized to the neglect of the other steps in the campaign design. Too often communication experts or social and behavioral scientists are utilized only at this step to construct a communication that will produce maximum impact on the public’s health-related information, attitudes, and behavior. While it is true that the special expertise of the communication and social science people on the team is, indeed, most directly relevant to this sixth step, they have the respon- sibility and the capacity to contribute to the other steps as well. Communication specialists interested in this sixth step fall into two groups- one artistic, the other scientific. Each can make quite different contributions to the campaign, so inputs should be sought from both groups. The artistic special- ists include writers, directors, and production people from the media who know many rules of thumb (some of which deserve to be true but are not). (One such rule is to photograph political candidates and/or health communicators full face, at eye level, to enhance their impact and audience approval (23)). The second group of communication specialists consists of social and behavioral scientists who use empirically tested theoretical analyses to identify which aspects of the communication situation can be manipulated to enhance impact. The professional writers, directors, camera people, etc., in each medium know more than do the scientists, while the latter, besides knowing a few additional non-overlapping things, are much more aware than are the artists of which of these “known” things are true and which are not. The artists and the scientists complement one another on the health campaign team, although the focus of this article is nec- essarily the latter. A vast body of scientific research has been done on how communication vari- ables can be manipulated to maximize informational, attitudinal, or behavioral impact. Over 1,000 published studies on this topic are abstracted annually in 312 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE Psychological Abstracts. Lipstein and McGuire (11) were able to compile a bib- liography of 7,000 recent persuasion studies, each with an abstract and indexed according to the input and output communication variables it involved. The last two sections of this article will illustrate how this research bears on the construc- tion of communications to guide and motivate people toward electing more healthful lifestyles. First, however, the seventh step, that of evaluation, must be described. Step 7: Evaluating the Effectiveness Discussion of the evaluation step has been left until last in recognition of the obligation that one incurs in designing any undertaking as complicated and im- portant as a health campaign to conduct an end point appraisal of its ultimate effectiveness. The design of the campaign ideally should allow this final evalua- tion to provide not only an overall appraisal of impact, but also specific measures of the effectiveness of separate input aspects with respect to the intended outputs. More important than serving as a report card on the given campaign, this final evaluation can provide important guidance for future health-promoting cam- paigns . In addition to an end-point evaluation, a campaign should incorporate ongoing evaluations to aid the designers in choosing alternatives and in detecting and strengthening weak points as the campaign is developed. Such ongoing checks may be as simple as getting a diverse set of experts (including, perhaps, a “devil’s advocate”) to evaluate the team’s decisions. For example, as soon as the health campaign team carries out Step 1 by deciding which health risks and solutions will be emphasized, it might deliberately submit its decision to certain biomedical researchers, epidemiologists, or communication specialists known to advocate alternative health targets or to downrate the chosen ones; again, the cam- paign designers may check their own Step 2 ethical analysis by submitting their plan to concerned persons in other professional fields who have in the past voiced criticism regarding the morality of similar campaigns. Criticism obtained from such unsympathetic external reviewers would not necessarily result in the abandonmentof the proposed work, but it might induce some adjustment that would meet the objection. Another mode of ongoing internal evaluation is to use multiple methods in carrying out the various steps and ascertaining whether the same decisions are indicated by the different approaches. For example, the Step 3 analysis of the sociocultural situation underlying the health-threatening lifestyle might be pur- sued by both questionnaire and observational methods, each supplying supple- mentary information and providing mutual cross-validation; or the Step 4 mapping of health-relevant perceptual and motivational psychological domains can be’done by both structured and unstructured instruments. In the ongoing evaluation it may even be cost-effective to introduce miniature experiments; for example, in the sixth, communication constructing step, various copy-testing procedures may be employed with rough or final forms of the proposed communications to de- termine the best of several plausible alternatives before investing heavily in pro- ducing and disseminating the material. While the end point evaluation primarily INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 313 benefits later campaign efforts, these ongoing evaluations serve to improve the particular campaign itself. Obviously, a thorough implementation of each of the seven steps outlined here would constitute a formidable task, calling for prodigious efforts and an intimi- dating range of skills, since few individuals would feel competent to serve as biomedical scientist, epidemiologist, moralist, cultural anthropologist, cognitive psychologist, clinical psychologist, media expert, attitude-change maven, and evaluation technician, among others. That the task is so difficult is no excuse either to despair or to do a sloppy job; rather it is an impetus to try harder. Resources are not infinite and compromises must be made, so some steps may be neglected relative to others in a given campaign. Recognition of the whole spectrum of needs allows these sacrifices to be chosen rationally. The wide range of needed expertise makes it desirable that a health promotion campaign be a team effort. Still, while the team approach allows the adding together of a wide range of talent and special knowledge, it multiplies rather than divides the re- sponsibility, so that each team member should not only take the lead in steps particularly relevant to her/his expertise, but should also contribute actively to each of the other steps by making suggestions, expressing reservations, and choosing among alternatives rather than leaving these other steps to the expertise of the more relevant specialists. USE OF THE COMMUNICATION/PERSUASION MATRIX IN CONSTRUCTING PERSUASIVE CAMPAIGNS The previous section as well as the two that follow are “how to” sections describing ways of producing an education-persuasion communication campaign to promote more healthful lifestyles by inducing the members of the public to take more responsibility for reducing their own health risks. The focus within these last three sections becomes progressively narrower. The preceding section outlined an overall seven-step procedure for designing a health-promoting per- suasion campaign. In the present section we focus on the crucial sixth step of constructing persuasive communications out of the available input variables. The final section is more narrowly focused on the various motivational themes that can be used as part of the message appeals in the communication. The communication/persuasion matrix approach to designing public health communications involves first using an available checklist of communication input resources to construct an effective campaign, and then using an output checklist to tick off how effectively each of the dependent variables (the steps involved in being persuaded) is likely to be evoked by the various inputs. These two sides of the process (i.e., input and output) can be viewed as a matrix, whose “input” column headings are supplied by the independent variables that can be manipulated in the health communication, and whose “output” row headings are furnished by the dependent variable effect steps needed for changing lifestyle in the more healthful direction. Into each cell of this matrix one can enter the relationship between its column input factor to its row output step, as indicated by theory and empirical research. 314 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE TABLE 1 COMMUNICATION INPUT VARIABLES I. Source (communicator) variables A. Credibility 1. Expertise 2. Trustworthiness B. Attractiveness 1. Liking 2. Similarity 3. Familiarity C. Power D. Number, unanimity, etc. 11. Message variables A. Style B. Type of appeal C. Type of argument, information D. Inclusions and omissions E. Organization F. Repetition III. Channel (medium) variables A. Number and type of sensory modalities B. Direct versus mediated C. Verbal versus nonverbal D. Context IV. Receiver variables A. Amount of participation B. Demographics C. Personality D. Abilities V. Destination (target) variables A. Knowledge versus attitudes versus action B. Immediate versus delayed C. Change versus resistance Input Factors: The Communication Variables Communication input variables can be usefully divided into five broad classes-source, message, channel, receiver, and target factors. Each of these can be further subdivided; for example, message variables include style, type of appeal, argument structure, messages included or left out, organization of the material, and quantity of the material. Each of such message subcategories is itself further divisible into subsets of more specific variables, for example, “mes- sage style” into literalness, speed, vividness, and so on, as discussed further elsewhere (19) and in the next section. A list of the broader categories of these input communication variables is presented in Table 1. Considerable research has been done on how each of the input communication variables in such a list affects each of the output microprocesses that make for persuasive impact (19). The campaign designer can use the input factors as a checklist of possible resources out of which effective communications can be constructed. INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE TABLE 2 OUTPUT FACTORS: PROCESSES MEDIATING COMMUNICATION IMPACT 315 I. Exposure to the communication II. Attending to it III. Liking, interest in it IV. Comprehending it (learning what) V. Skill acquisition (learning how) VI. Yielding to it (attitude change) VII. Retention of the change VIII. Search and retrieval of the new attitude IX. Decision in accord with the retrieved X. Behaving as decided XI. Reinforcement of these acts XII. Postbehavioral consolidation Output Factors: Behavioral Steps Mediating Persuasive Impact If a communication is to have the desired impact on health attitudes and be- havior, an individual must be exposed to it, pay some attention to it, become sufficiently engrossed in it to persist, comprehend what it says, agree with it, and ultimately must act as the message urges. A list of such intervening processes, which mediate ultimate impact, includes those shown as Table 2. The health campaign designer, in considering whether to add a given commu- nication input factor, should reflect on its likely impact on each of these mediating processes to estimate its overall pattern of effects. For example, if one is consid- ering adding humor to the communication to enhance attention or make it better liked, one should also consider possible detrimental effects such as distraction that might interfere with comprehension or facetiousness that might reduce ac- ceptance. Or, were one to consider beefing up the agreement step by vividly portrayingthe dreadful health effects of obesity, one must also weigh the possi- bility that anxiety aroused by vivid portrayal of dangers will interfere with atten- tion or retention (6, 7). Once a tentative communication has been put together, such a list of output steps can serve as a checklist for diagnosing its likely effec- tiveness by analyzing the extent to which input components already in the cam- paign will suffice to evoke each of these needed output steps. When the com- munication inputs seem deficient for eliciting one of the needed output steps, the input list in the previous section can be used to suggest additional inputs whose introduction might evoke the neglected output step without interfering dispro- portionately with other output steps. This is only an attempt to sketch the general procedure; it is not meant to detail the mechanics of how such a communication/ persuasion input/output matrix can be utilized to construct, evaluate, and improve public health communication campaigns. Fuller discussions are available else- where (13, 14, 19). APPEALS FOR USE IN PUBLIC HEALTH CAMPAIGNS: GUIDING-IDEA THEORIES OF THE PERSON The preceding section described how a health-promoting communication can be constructed by using the communication/persuasion matrix. This final section 316 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE TABLE 3 GUIDING-IDEA THEORIES WHOSE PARTIAL VIEWS OF HUMAN NATURE SUGGEST MOTIVATIONAL APPEALS FOR USE IN PUBLIC HEALTH EDUCATIONAL AND PERSUASION CAMPAIGNS Action initiation Action termination Need for Stability Need for Growth State Relationship Active Reactive Active Reactive Internal 1. Consistency 2. Categoriza- 5. Stimulation 6. Problem Cognitive tion solver External 4. Hermeneutic 3. Inductional 8. Autonomy 7. Teleo- logical Internal 13. Tension 14. Ego-defensive 9. Attraction 10. Identiti- Affective reduction cation External 16. Expressive 15. Repetition 12. Assertion 11. Contagion Note. Column headings are concerned with whether the individual strives either to maintain current stability (homeostasis, equilibrium theories) or to promote growth (becoming, actualization theories) and whether behavior is actively evoked by forces from within the person or is a reaction to outside situations; row headings are concerned with whether the end state to which action tends is cognitive or affective and whether action is terminated by an internal arrangement of components within the person or by the person’s relationship to the external environment. Together, these dimensions produce the family of theories named in each numbered cell. focuses still more closely on one crucial aspect of this construction, namely, the selection of motivational appeals to be used in the health message. While “type of appeal” is only one of many input factors that must be examined in con- structing a campaign, a discussion of it serves to illustrate the wide range of resources available to one in putting together this kind of campaign. A review of theories of the individual (18) suggests that there are at least 16 popular guiding-idea theories about human nature, each of which suggests a va- riety of persuasive appeals that can be used to construct a health campaign. Each theory constitutes a partial view of human nature which focuses attention on one limited aspect of the individual (for example, as a learning machine, a consistency maximizer, a tension reducer, a meaning seeker, an ego defender) and thus pro- vides creative insights into appeals and arguments one can use to make a public health message persuasive. Table 3 shows the 16 guiding ideas organized by four dichotomous dimensions, each dimension consisting of a contrasting pair of insights into human action. Two dimensions (shown as column headings) concern conditions that instigate the person to action; the third and fourth dimensions (shown as row headings) concern conditions that terminate an individual’s action. When these four di- chotomous dimensions are arrayed into the Table 3 matrix they produce 16 cells, each of which represents a family of theories constituting one partial view of human nature. Space limitations here prevent description of each view, but they have been discussed more fully (including a discussion of the implications for the design of public persuasion campaigns) elsewhere (16). At this time, only one or two theories from each of the four quadrants of the Table 3 matrix will be men- tioned as illustrations. Cognitive Stability Theories The four families of cognitive stability theories (upper left-hand quadrant of Table 3) depict the person as instigated to action by a need to maintain equilibrium INDUCING BEHAVIORAL CHANGE 317 and as terminating action with the maintenance or restoration of this cognitive state. The consistency theories in cell 1 were dominant through the early 1970s; the cell 4 hermeneutic (or attributional) theories have been dominant for the past decade. The consistency theories suggest, for example, the Socratic method whereby the person can be induced to adopt a more healthful lifestyle simply by being asked a series of questions that bring home to the person that his/her current unhealthful lifestyle is at variance with his/her own values (17). The cell 4 her- meneutic theories stress the importance of providing the person with some meaning to which he/she can attribute experiences, as in the work of Pennebaker (24), Leventhal et al. (8), and Viney (33) on how conceptions of human biology and interpretations of disease and treatment symptoms can affect recovery from major heart and cancer surgery. Cognitive Growth Theories The tetrad of cognitive growth theories (shown in the upper right-hand quadrant of Table 3) also depicts the person as tending toward a cognitive end state, but as striving for cognitive growth rather than (like the previous four) for cognitive stability. The cell 8 autonomy theories are quite popular currently, stressing the importance to the person of maintaining some control (or at least an illusion of control) over his/her life and environment. For example, elderly persons in nursing homes may survive longer if allowed even minor control over their per- sonal environments (26). Affective Growth Theories The four types of affective growth theories (the lower right-hand quadrant of Table 3) also depict the individual as provoked to action by a need to grow, but depict action as tending toward attainment of an affective (rather than cognitive) end state. For example, the attraction theories (cell 9) stress the person’s need to love and be accepted by others, and the needs for romantic attachments and physical attractiveness. These concepts may pose a peculiar dilemma for the public health campaigner who may feel that good dental hygiene behavior should be carried out for health reasons but finds that risk reduction is more effectively achieved by stressing cosmetic benefits in the communication. Nor should al- truism be overlooked relative to self-interest appeals in designing health cam- paigns; for example, women who could not stop smoking for their own health may cease when they become pregnant to avoid harming the fetus, and men who could not break the habit to save their own lungs or cardiovascular systems may manage to stop when, as fathers, they worry about harming their children through setting a bad example or through sidestream smoke. Affective Stability Theories The final quartet of affective stability theories (shown in the lower left-hand quadrant of Table 3) also depicts the person as tending toward an affective end state but stresses the human need for maintaining affective stability rather than for achieving affective growth. For example, the tension-reduction theories (cell 13) stress avoidance of highlevels of arousal and so call into question the 318 WILLIAM J. MC GUIRE wisdom of using high-fear campaigns to induce people to get medical checkups, drive more carefully, etc., since high-fear campaigns can backfire by directing the person to cope with the affect rather than the problem (for example, by avoidance of and hostility toward the campaign rather than compliance with it (6, 8)). The- ories in this quadrant stress the importance of focusing the communication cam- paign on the availability of solutions rather than on the seriousness of the problem: in urging the person to get inoculations for self or children, the campaign is more effective when it focuses not on how important the inoculations are but on the details of exactly how one goes about getting them (9). CONCLUSION This review has been confined to a quick tour of the horizon across a territory for which more detailed maps are available elsewhere (IS, 19). 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