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Accepted Manuscript Elevated serum uric acid increases risks for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia: A five-year cohort study in Japan Masanari Kuwabara, Claudio Borghi, Arrigo F.G. Cicero, Ichiro Hisatome, Koichiro Niwa, Minoru Ohno, Richard J. Johnson, Miguel A. Lanaspa PII: S0167-5273(17)37927-5 DOI: doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.03.045 Reference: IJCA 26174 To appear in: Received date: 22 December 2017 Revised date: 25 February 2018 Accepted date: 9 March 2018 Please cite this article as: Masanari Kuwabara, Claudio Borghi, Arrigo F.G. Cicero, Ichiro Hisatome, Koichiro Niwa, Minoru Ohno, Richard J. Johnson, Miguel A. Lanaspa , Elevated serum uric acid increases risks for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia: A five-year cohort study in Japan. The address for the corresponding author was captured as affiliation for all authors. Please check if appropriate. Ijca(2017), doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.03.045 This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 1 Elevated Serum Uric Acid Increases Risks for Developing High LDL Cholesterol and Hypertriglyceridemia: A five-year Cohort Study in Japan Short title: Uric acid and LDL cholesterol Masanari Kuwabara, MD, PhD 1,2,3 , Claudio Borghi, MD, PhD 4 , Arrigo FG Cicero, MD, PhD 4 , Ichiro Hisatome, MD, PhD 5 , Koichiro Niwa, MD 3 , Minoru Ohno, MD, PhD 2 , Richard J Johnson, MD 1 , Miguel A Lanaspa, DVM, PhD 1 1 Division of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, School of Medicine, University of Colorado Denver, CO, USA; 2 Department of Cardiology, Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, Japan; 3 Cardiovascular Center, St. Luke’s International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan; 4 Medical and Surgical Sciences Department, University of Bologna, Italy 5 Division of Regenerative Medicine and Therapeutics, Tottori University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Yonago, Japan Corresponding author and contact details: Masanari Kuwabara, MD, PhD Division of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, School of Medicine, University of Colorado Denver Mail Stop C281, 12700 East 19 th Avenue, Aurora, CO 80045, the United States of America Phone: 303-724-4852; Fax: 303-724-4868; E-mail: kuwamasa728@gmail.com Acknowledgement of grant support: The authors thank the patients and all staff in Center for Preventive Medicine, St. Luke's International Hospital, for assistance with data collection. Dr. Kuwabara reports the grant for studying abroad from Federation of National Public Service Personnel Mutual Aid Association in Japan. This study has no grant support. Conflicts of interest: Dr. Johnson has equity with XORT Therapeutics that is developing novel xanthine oxidase inhibitors and with Colorado Research Partners LLC that is developing inhibitors of fructose metabolism. In addition, Dr. Johnson is an inventor on several patents licensed to XORT Therapeutics. (US Patent No 7,799,794, US Patent No. 8,557,831). Keywords: Uric acid; Epidemiology; risk factor; low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Hypertriglyceridemia Word counts: Abstract 250 words; Text 2,421 words; Figures 2; Tables 2; References 42; Supplementary material 1 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 2 Abstract Background: High serum uric acid (SUA) is associated with the dyslipidemia, but whether hyperuricemia predicts an increase in serum low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol is unknown. This study is to evaluate whether an elevated SUA predicts the development of high LDL cholesterol as well as hypertriglyceridemia. Methods: This is a retrospective 5-year cohort study of 6,476 healthy Japanese adults (age, 45.7±10.1 years; 2.243 men) who underwent health examinations at 2004 and were reevaluated in 2009 at St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan. Subjects were included if at their baseline examination they did not have hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease, or if they were on medication for hyperuricemia and/or gout. The analysis was adjusted for age, body mass index (BMI), smoking and drinking habits, baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), baseline SUA and SUA change over the 5 years. Results: High baseline SUA was an independent risk for developing high LDL cholesterol both in men (OR: 1.159 per 1 mg/dl increase, 95% CI:1.009-1.331) and women (OR: 1.215, 95% CI:1.061-1.390). Other risk factors included a higher baseline LDL cholesterol, higher BMI, and higher baseline eGFR (the latter two in women only). Increased SUA over 5 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 3 years were also independent risks for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia, but not for low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. Conclusions: This is the first study to report that an elevated SUA increases the risk for developing high LDL cholesterol, as well as hypertriglyceridemia. This may shed light into the role of SUA in cardiovascular disease. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 4 Introduction High low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular diseases.[1] Targeting high LDL cholesterol is one of the most important therapeutic approaches to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases.[2] Therefore, to identify the risk factors for high LDL cholesterol is clinically relevant. Several epidemiological studies demonstrate a significant association between serum uric acid (SUA) and metabolic syndrome, high body mass index or waist circumference, high fasting blood glucose, and dyslipidemia.[3, 4] Moreover, some studies showed that hyperuricemia is primarily associated with hypertriglyceridemia and low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol in cross-sectional studies.[5-7] However, there is no reports on whether the presence of hyperuricemia predicts the development of high LDL cholesterol. In this study we tested the hypothesis that an elevated SUA can predict the development of high LDL cholesterol, as well as hypertriglyceridemia in a healthy adult population from Japan. Methods Study design and study subjects This is a large-scale, single-center, retrospective cohort study to detect whether an elevated SUA is a risk factor for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia. We ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 5 used the database at the Center for Preventive Medicine, St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan. The medical records of subjects in this study, who underwent annual medical examination at the hospital from 2004 to 2009, were analyzed. When the subjects in this study had more than one annual exam, we only used the first record of that year to avoid double counts. Some studies of this cohort data base have been previously published.[4, 8-14] Inclusion and exclusion criteria We included subjects between 30 and 85 years of age at the baseline (2004). We excluded subjects with baseline hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease (CKD), orwho were on medication for hyperuricemia and/or gout at study entry (Figure 1). We also excluded subjects on medication for hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia at the baseline. The exclusion of subjects with hypertension, diabetes mellitus and CKD was performed as these conditions or their treatments (e. thiazides) may affect serum lipids and/or SUA. Study outcomes ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 6 We analyzed risk factors for developing each component of dyslipidemia: 1) high LDL cholesterol (≥140 mg/dL), 2) low HDL cholesterol (<40 mg/dL), and 3) hypertriglyceridemia (triglyceride ≥150 mg/dL)[15], over 5 years by multivariable regression analyses with the adjustments for age, body mass index (BMI), smoking and drinking habits, baseline SUA levels, SUA change over 5 years, and each component of dyslipidemia (LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, or triglyceride). All analyses were stratified by sex due to the differences in SUA levels in men and women. Definition of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CKD, and hyperuricemia An elevated LDL cholesterol was defined as ≥140 mg/dl, HDL cholesterol as <40 mg/dL, and triglycerides as ≥150 mg/dL.[15] We directly measured LDL cholesterol in our laboratory and Friedewald formula was not used. Hypertension was defined as being on antihypertensive medication and/or systolic blood pressure (BP) of ≥ 140 mmHg and/or diastolic BP of ≥ 90 mmHg. BP readings were obtained using an automatic brachial sphygmomanometer. Diabetes mellitus status was defined by current history of diabetes mellitus and/or glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program (NGSP)) of ≥ 6.5% according to International Expert Committee.[16]. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73m 2 using the ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 7 Japanese GFR equation: eGFR (mL/min/1.73m 2 ) = 194 × serum creatinine-1.094 × age-0.287 (×0.739 if female).[17] Hyperuricemia was defined as >7.0 mg/dL of SUA in men and ≥6.0 mg/dL in women.[18-21] SUA change over 5 years was defined as the following formula: SUA change = (SUA levels in 2009) – (SUA levels in 2004). Statistical analysis All statistical analyses were performed using the SPSS Statistics software (IBM SPSS Statistics version 22 for Windows; IBM, New York). The statistically significant level was set as at α = 0.05, and all statistical analyses were two-sided. Data are expressed as mean ± standard derivation (SD) or as percent frequency. Comparisons between two groups were performed with t-tests for normally distributed variables and χ2 analyses for categorical data. The risk factors for developing each component of dyslipidemia; 1) high LDL cholesterol, 2) low HDL cholesterol, and 3) hypertriglyceridemia, were evaluated by univariate and multivariable logistic regression models with adjustments for age, BMI, smoking and drinking habits, baseline eGFR, baseline SUA, SUA change over 5 years, and each component of dyslipidemia (baseline LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, or triglycerides in each model). Each odds ratio (OR) for developing high LDL cholesterol and ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 8 hypertriglyceridemia over 5 years were also calculated. Due to sex-difference in SUA distribution, all the analyses were stratified by sex. Ethical considerations We adhered to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. All data were collected as individual data were anonymous without identifiable personal information. St. Luke’s International Hospital Ethics Committee approved the protocol for this study. Informed consent was obtained from all the subjects. Results Study characteristics There were 13,201 subjects who underwent annual medical examination at the center both in 2004 (baseline) and in 2009 (followed over 5 years). We excluded 121 subjects who were younger than 30 years old and 10 subjects who were 85 years or older in 2004 because subjects younger than 30 years had low risk for cardiometabolic diseases and subjects over 85 years carry a high mortality. Out of 13,070 subjects between 30 and 85 years of age in 2004, we excluded 2,599 subjects with hypertension, 575 subjects with diabetes mellitus, 5,118 subjects with preexisting dyslipidemia, 494 subjects with CKD, ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 9 and 373 subjects who had medication for hyperuricemia and/or gout in 2004. Some subjects had two or more diseases in 2004. Finally, 6,476 subjects were included in the analyses (Figure 1). Baseline demographic data are shown by sex and presence/absence of hyperuricemia in Table 1. Baseline SUA levels were different between men and women (6.00±1.16 mg/dL vs. 4.29±0.86 mg/dL, p<0.001). Risk factor for developing high LDL cholesterol, low HDL cholesterol, and hypertriglyceridemia We analyzed the risk for developing high LDL cholesterol, low HDL cholesterol, and hypertriglyceridemia (Table 2). The mean cumulative incidences of high LDL cholesterol, low HDL cholesterol, and hypertriglyceridemia over 5years were 11.7% (262/2,243), 1.8% (41/2,243), and 9.7% (217/2,243) in men and 12.6% (535/4,233), 0.28% (12/4,233), and 2.0% (86/4,233) in women, respectively. Overall, the mean cumulative incidence of dyslipidemia over 5 years was 21.0% in men and 15.0% in women. When stratified by each 1 mg/dL of SUA levels, SUA levels was positively correlated with cumulative incidences of dyslipidemia over 5 years both in men (R=0.96, p=0.001) and women (R=0.94, p<0.001) by Pearson’s correlation coefficient (Figure 2). ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 10 Crude (non-adjusted) analysis showed baseline higher SUA was a risk for developing hypertriglyceridemia both in men and women, high LDL cholesterol in women, and low HDL cholesterol in men. After multiple adjustments, including adjustment of baseline LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, or triglycerides for each model, a higher baseline SUA levels and increased SUA over 5 years were independent risk factors for developing high LDL cholesterol in men (OR per 1 mg/dL increase: 1.159, 95% CI: 1.009-1.331; SUA change over 5 years, OR per 1 mg/dL increase: 1.709, 95% CI: 1.401-2.084) and women (OR: 1.215, 95% CI: 1.061-1.390; SUA change over 5 years, OR: 2.031, 95% CI: 1.700-2.426). Other risk factors for developing high LDL cholesterol were higher baseline LDL cholesterol both in men and women, and higher BMI and higher baseline eGFR in women (Table 2, High LDL cholesterol). After multiple adjustments, higher baseline SUA and increased SUA over 5 years were also independent risk factors for developing hypertriglyceridemia both in men (baseline SUA, OR: 1.370, 95% CI: 1.179-1.591; SUA change over 5 years, OR: 1.517, 95% CI: 1.244-1.850) and women (baseline SUA, OR: 1.942, 95% CI: 1.462-2.578; SUA change over 5 years, OR: 2.219, 95% CI: 1.578-3.121), as well as younger age and higher baseline triglycerides both in men and women, smoking habits in men, and lower baseline eGFR in women (Table 2, Hypertriglyceridemia). However, higher baseline SUA and increased SUA over 5 years ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 11 were not risk factors for developing low HDL cholesterol both in men and women. Only lower baseline HDL cholesterol was a risk for developing low HDL cholesterol both in men and women (Table 2, Low HDL cholesterol).Risk factors for developing hyperuricemia Additionally, we checked the risk factors for developing hyperuricemia over five years. In this analysis, we excluded 2,307 baseline hyperuricemic subjects (1,835 men) from 13,070 subjects at the entry. Of 10,763 subjects, 676 subjects (427 men) had hyperuricemia over 5 years. We checked the risk factors for developing hyperuricemia over 5 years after multiple adjustments with age, sex, BMI, smoking and drinking habits, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CKD, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and triglyceride. After multiple adjustments, the risk factors for developing hyperuricemia over 5 years are younger age (OR per 1 year increase: 0.987, 95% CI: 0.979-0.995), men (OR: 1.263, 95% CI:1.019-1.567), larger BMI (OR:1.092, 95% CI:1.061-1.125), smoking (OR: 1.246, 95% CI: 1.038-1.496), drinking habits (OR: 1.443. 95% CI: 1.207-1.725), hypertension (OR: 1.977, 95% CI:1.623-2.407), CKD (OR:3.169, 95% CI:2.198-4.571), and higher triglyceride (OR: 1.003 per 1 mg/dL increase: 1.003, 95% CI: 1.002-1.003), but not diabetes mellitus (Supplementary Table S1). ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 12 Discussion In previous studies, hyperuricemia is associated with hypertriglyceridemia and low HDL cholesterol, and is also highly predictive of metabolic syndrome, but whether a high SUA predicts a rise in LDL cholesterol has, to our knowledge, never been examined. Here we examined a healthy Japanese adult population with a mean BMI of 22 to 23 in which we excluded baseline hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia and CKD. The primary finding was that a high SUA at baseline predicted an elevated LDL cholesterol, and the risk for developing an elevated LDL cholesterol was 16% in men and 22% in women for each 1 mg/dL increase of baseline SUA. Change in SUA levels over the 5 years was also a risk factor for elevated LDL cholesterol, with an even greater OR (1.71 in men and 2.03 in women for 1 mg/dl SUA change). These findings do not document a causal role for hyperuricemia in raising serum cholesterol, but are consistent with findings that SUA may have a role in lipogenesis and in blocking fatty acid oxidation.[22-24] While outside the scope of this study, several potential mechanisms could be taking place that explains a deleterious causal role of uric acid for dyslipidemia. For example, even though uric acid is commonly considered an antioxidant, we and others have shown that at high concentrations, uric acid acts as a pro-oxidant molecule. More specifically, high intracellular uric acid levels have been ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 13 shown to induce mitochondrial translocation of the nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) oxidase subunit, NADPH oxidase 4 (Nox4), thus leading to increased mitochondrial oxidative stress, mitochondrial dysfunction and citrate release to the cytosol for de novo lipogenesis and triglyceride synthesis.[22] Furthermore, xanthine oxidase mediated conversion of hypoxanthine/xanthine to uric acid is associated with the generation of oxidants,[25] especially hydrogen peroxide[26] and uric acid is able to form reactive intermediates including alkylating species by reacting with peroxynitrite.[27] Also, we and others have shown that both soluble and crystallized uric acid inhibits AMP-Kinase leading to reduced ability for fatty acid oxidation and triglyceride accumulation.[28-30] Other potential mechanisms have been proposed to explain how SUA can modulate LDL cholesterol levels. For example, Minami et al. proposed that higher SUA levels significantly correlate with increased lipid peroxidation rates which are ameliorated by the xanthine oxidase inhibitor, allopurinol[31] and a critical role for SUA in inhibiting lipoprotein lipase activity in endothelial cells has also been suggested.[32] Nevertheless, despite increasing evidence in basic research, the accurate mechanism how SUA increases LDL cholesterol and triglyceride is still unclear. Whether reducing SUA levels can improve LDL cholesterol and triglyceride levels is controversial. One meta-analysis reported that reducing SUA lowering therapy with ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 14 xanthine oxidase inhibitor like allopurinol did not improve serum lipid levels, and in fact was associated with a reduction in HDL cholesterol.[33] However, all of the studies analyzed by the meta-analysis were short term (4 to 24 weeks)[34-40] and longer and higher quality studies are warranted.[33] Indeed, one three year study reported that allopurinol led to significant improvement in HDL cholesterol and serum triglycerides compared to the control group.[41] A recent longitudinal study showed that high SUA levels increased the risk of hypertriglyceridemia over 8 years of follow-up.[42] The study is longer assessed than our study with SUA quartiles, but our study assessed the continuous value of SUA. The results look similar, but our study adjusted SUA change over 5 years and showed that elevated SUA increased the risk for not only hypertriglyceridemia but also high LDL cholesterol, which is a new discovery. Our studies did not show any significant relationship of SUA with HDL-cholesterol level following multivariable analysis. In contrast, our present study showed that high levels of SUA was an independent predictor for the development of high LDL-cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia. The difference between these observations may relate to the consequence of the length of the study, as ours extended over a 5 year period as opposed to short term studies of weeks or months. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 15 Our study carries some limitations. First, the study population may have a selection bias because it is a retrospective single-center study, but there is a positive aspect that every examination was done in the same laboratory. The retrospective nature of this study has a limitation to reach final conclusions that increased SUA over 5 years is an independent risk factor for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia. Our observation study could show just the associations. We need to conduct a prospective study to show whether SUA becomes an independent risk factor for developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia. Second, this study did not assess causes of secondary dyslipidemia, like thyroid function and alcohol. Third, the number of subjects with hyperuricemia was much smaller than those without hyperuricemia because we excluded the subjects with hyperuricemia and/or gout on medication at the baseline. However, we evaluated more than 400 men and around 150 women with hyperuricemia, which suggests that accurate analysis could be conducted after multiple adjustments. Fourth, our longitudinal study is also subject to random error and therefore our findings could be partially explained by regression to the mean. Finally, our study is an observational study, and interventional studies are needed to clarify the treatment for hyperuricemia is useful to prevent dyslipidemia and cardiovascular diseases. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 16 In conclusion, a high baseline SUA level as well as an increase in SUA over 5 years is strongly associated with developing high LDL cholesterol and hypertriglyceridemia. Asymptomatic hyperuricemia should be considered by clinical practitioners as potentially important risks for the development and progression of high LDL cholesteroland hypertriglyceridemia and thus, cardiovascular disease. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 17 Acknowledgements All the authors of this paper fulfill the criteria of authorship. The authors thank all staff in Center for Preventive Medicine, St. Luke's International Hospital, for assistance with data collection. Dr. Kuwabara reports the grant for studying abroad from Federation of National Public Service Personnel Mutual Aid Association in Japan. Source of funding None Conflict of Interest/ Disclosures Dr. Johnson has equity with XORT Therapeutics that is developing novel xanthine oxidase inhibitors and with Colorado Research Partners LLC that is developing inhibitors of fructose metabolism. In addition, Dr. Johnson is an inventor on several patents licensed to XORT Therapeutics. (US Patent No 7,799,794, US Patent No. 8,557,831). The remaining authors have nothing to disclose. 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Clinical study on treatment of hyperuricaemia by retention enema of Chinese herbal medicine combined with allopurinol. Chin J Integr Med. 2009;15:431-4. [37] Melendez-Ramirez G, Perez-Mendez O, Lopez-Osorio C, Kuri-Alfaro J, Espinola-Zavaleta N. Effect of the treatment with allopurinol on the endothelial function in patients with hyperuricemia. Endocr Res. 2012;37:1-6. [38] Saito J, Matsuzawa Y, Ito H, Omura M, Kino T, Nishikawa T. Alkalizer administration improves renal function in hyperuricemia associated with obesity. Jpn Clin Med. 2013;4:1-6. [39] Sezai A, Soma M, Nakata K, Hata M, Yoshitake I, Wakui S, et al. Comparison of febuxostat and allopurinol for hyperuricemia in cardiac surgery patients (NU-FLASH Trial). Circ J. 2013;77:2043-9. [40] Sezai A, Soma M, Nakata K, Osaka S, Ishii Y, Yaoita H, et al. Comparison of febuxostat and allopurinol for hyperuricemia in cardiac surgery patients with chronic kidney disease (NU-FLASH trial for CKD). J Cardiol. 2015;66:298-303. [41] Liu P, Chen Y, Wang B, Zhang F, Wang D, Wang Y. Allopurinol treatment improves renal function in patients with type 2 diabetes and asymptomatic hyperuricemia: 3-year randomized parallel-controlled study. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2015;83:475-82. [42] Zheng R, Ren P, Chen Q, Yang T, Chen C, Mao Y. Serum Uric Acid Levels and Risk of Incident Hypertriglyceridemia: A Longitudinal Population-based Epidemiological Study. Ann Clin Lab Sci. 2017;47:586-91. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 22 Tables Table 1. Study subjects’ demographic data by sex between hyperuricemia and normouricemia Men Women Normouricemia Hyperuricemia (SUA >7.0 mg/dL) p Normouricemia Hyperuricemia (SUA ≥6.0 mg/dL) P Number of subjects 1,842 401 4,087 146 Age 49.3±11.3 47.5±10.1 0.001 45.5±9.3 52.3±10.9 <0.001 Height (cm) 170.5±6.1 170.6±6.0 0.77 158.4±5.4 157.2±5.9 0.006 Weight (kg) 65.4±8.5 69.1±9.1 <0.001 51.3±6.5 53.3±8.4 0.006 Body mass index (kg/m 2 ) 22.4±2.5 23.7±2.8 <0.001 20.5±2.4 21.6±3.1 <0.001 Smoking 57.5% 62.6% 0.065 17.3% 27.4% 0.008 Drinking habits 62.2% 70.8% 0.001 30.2% 44.5% <0.001 Systolic BP (mmHg) 115.3±12.2 117.1±11.1 0.003 108.0±12.5 112.8±13.6 <0.001 Diastolic BP (mmHg) 72.3±8.2 73.6±7.4 0.002 67.1±8.4 69.5±9.0 <0.001 Pulse rate (bpm) 69.7±9.4 70.9±9.7 0.022 74.4±10.2 73.2±9.9 0.16 Fasting blood glucose (g/dL) 99.5±8.2 100.7±9.1 0.008 93.2±6.8 95.9±7.9 <0.001 HbA1c (%) 4.92±0.33 4.95±0.33 0.11 4.87±0.32 4.97±0.35 <0.001 Total cholesterol (mg/dL) 188.9±23.0 190.3±24.4 0.28 192.6±26.3 199.4±23.3 0.002 LDL cholesterol (mg/dL) 108.4±19.7 109.8±19.8 0.20 102.9±20.7 108.4±20.1 0.001 HDL cholesterol (mg/dL) 61.0±12.9 59.2±13.7 0.015 72.1±14.3 70.9±14.4 0.31 Triglyceride (mg/dL) 79.9±27.6 91.0±30.5 <0.001 61.3±23.6 72.4±25.0 <0.001 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 23 eGFR (mL/min/1.73m 2 ) 86.5±13.7 82.3±12.2 <0.001 91.2±15.0 81.7±14.2 <0.001 Serum uric acid (mg/dL) 5.63±0.90 7.69±0.56 <0.001 4.22±0.77 6.44±0.41 <0.001 Serum uric acid change (mg/dL) 0.03±0.79 -0.70±0.94 <0.001 0.07±0.60 -0.55±0.71 <0.001 BP, blood pressure; bpm, beats per minute; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; SUA, serum uric acid Data are presented as mean standard deviation. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 24 Table 2. Risk factors for developing a) high LDL cholesterol, b) low HDL cholesterol, and c) hypertriglyceridemia over 5 years a)High LDL cholesterol Crude Adjusted* Men OR 95% C.I. P OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 0.994 0.982-1.006 0.32 0.990 0.976-1.004 0.15 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.050 0.999-1.103 0.054 0.982 0.927-1.040 0.53 Smoking habits positive vs negative 0.915 0.705-1.187 0.50 1.016 0.759-1.359 0.92 Drinking habits positive vs negative 0.776 0.597-1.008 0.058 0.765 0.571-1.025 0.072 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 1.006 0.996-1.015 0.23 1.010 0.999-1.022 0.073 Baseline LDL cholesterol per 1 mg/dL increase 1.077 1.065-1.088 <0.001 1.081 1.069-1.093 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.050 0.940-1.174 0.39 1.159 1.009-1.331 0.037 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 1.343 1.135-1.591 <0.001 1.709 1.401-2.084 <0.001 Women OR 95% C.I. P OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 1.045 1.035-1.055 <0.001 1.004 0.993-1.016 0.46 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.159 1.120-1.199 <0.001 1.068 1.028-1.110 <0.001 Smoking habits positive vs negative 0.827 0.644-1.062 0.14 0.816 0.612-1.090 0.17 Drinking habits positive vs negative 0.662 0.536-0.818 <0.001 0.939 0.736-1.197 0.61 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 0.996 0.990-1.002 0.24 1.009 1.002-1.017 0.016 Baseline LDL cholesterol per 1 mg/dL increase 1.088 1.079-1.096 <0.001 1.087 1.079-1.096 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.216 1.095-1.350 <0.001 1.215 1.061-1.390 0.005 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 1.630 1.409-1.886 <0.001 2.031 1.700-2.426 <0.001 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 25 b)Low HDL cholesterol Crude Adjusted† Men OR 95% C.I. p OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 1.008 0.981-1.036 0.58 1.017 0.986-1.050 0.28 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.149 1.027-1.285 0.015 0.949 0.829-1.087 0.45 Smoking habits positive vs negative 0.822 0.442-1.527 0.53 0.783 0.398-1.543 0.48 Drinking habits positive vs negative 0.654 0.352-1.216 0.18 1.162 0.587-2.300 0.67 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 0.987 0.963-1.011 0.28 0.997 0.969-1.026 0.86 Baseline HDL cholesterol per 1 mg/dL increase 0.760 0.704-0.821 <0.001 0.761 0.704-0.823 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.447 1.130-1.930 0.004 1.309 0.937-1.827 0.11 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 0.864 0.584-1.279 0.465 0.968 0.631-1.486 0.88 Women OR 95% C.I. p OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 0.987 0.927-1.051 0.69 0.986 0.917-1.060 0.70 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.303 1.125-1.508 <0.001 1.143 0.956-1.367 0.14 Smoking habits positive vs negative 1.560 0.421-5.777 0.51 1.141 0.288-4.515 0.85 Drinking habits positive vs negative 0.204 0.026-1.5860.13 0.357 0.042-3.016 0.34 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 0.999 0.962-1.038 0.97 0.988 0.947-1.031 0.59 Baseline HDL cholesterol per 1 mg/dL increase 0.803 0.738-0.872 <0.001 0.814 0.748-0.885 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.055 0.547-2.034 0.87 0.733 0.342-1.570 0.42 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 0.807 0.320-2.037 0.65 0.719 0.275-1.878 0.50 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 26 c)Hypertriglyceridemia Crude Adjusted‡ Men OR 95% C.I. p OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 0.980 0.967-0.993 0.003 0.979 0.963-0.995 0.010 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.127 1.069-1.188 <0.001 1.018 0.959-1.081 0.56 Smoking habits positive vs negative 1.671 1.237-2.259 <0.001 1.465 1.047-2.051 0.026 Drinking habits positive vs negative 1.308 0.967-1.768 0.082 0.953 0.681-1.332 0.78 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 1.005 0.995-1.015 0.32 1.006 0.994-1.018 0.37 Baseline triglyceride per 1 mg/dL increase 1.038 1.032-1.044 <0.001 1.036 1.031-1.042 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.438 1.270-1.628 <0.001 1.370 1.179-1.591 <0.001 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 1.264 1.053-1.518 0.012 1.517 1.244-1.850 <0.001 Women OR 95% C.I. P OR 95% C.I. P Age per 1 year increase 1.004 0.982-1.027 0.74 0.959 0.934-0.985 0.002 Body mass index per 1 kg/m 2 increase 1.187 1.108-1.271 <0.001 1.063 0.986-1.146 0.11 Smoking habits positive vs negative 1.947 1.214-3.123 0.006 1.224 0.732-2.044 0.44 Drinking habits positive vs negative 1.642 1.065-2.533 0.025 1.463 0.913-2.342 0.11 Baseline eGFR per 1 mL/min/1.73m 2 increase 0.979 0.964-0.995 0.010 0.981 0.964-0.999 0.038 Baseline triglyceride per 1 mg/dL increase 1.039 1.032-1.046 <0.001 1.038 1.030-1.046 <0.001 Baseline serum uric acid per 1 mg/dL increase 1.894 1.506-2.382 <0.001 1.942 1.462-2.578 <0.001 Serum uric acid change per 1 mg/dL increase 1.748 1.255-2.433 <0.001 2.219 1.578-3.121 <0.001 ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PTE D M AN US CR IPT 27 eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; OR, odds ratio; C.I., confidence interval; p, probability *Data adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking and drinking habits, eGFR, baseline serum uric acid, serum uric acid change, and baseline LDL cholesterol †Data adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking and drinking habits, eGFR, baseline serum uric acid, serum uric acid change, and baseline HDL cholesterol ‡Data adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking and drinking habits, eGFR, baseline serum uric acid, serum uric acid change, and baseline triglyceride ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 28 Figure legends Figure 1. Flow diagram of study enrollment. Figure 2. The cumulative incidences for developing dyslipidemia over 5 years in each serum uric acid level by sex. Men: The numbers of subjects were 11 in ≤ 3.0 mg/dL, 104 in 3.0 to 4.0 mg/dL, 306 in 4.0 to 5.0 mg/dL, 753 in 5.0 to 6.0 mg/dL, 668 in 6.0 to 7.0 mg/dL, 309 in 7.0 to 8.0 mg/dL, 92 in more than 8.0 mg/dL of serum uric acid levels. The mean cumulative incidence of dyslipidemia was 21.0%. Serum uric acid levels was positively correlated with cumulative incidences of dyslipidemia over 5 years by Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R=0.96, p=0.001). Women: The numbers of subjects were 11 in ≤ 2.0 mg/dL, 270 in 2.0 to 3.0 mg/dL, 1,400 in 3.0 to 4.0 mg/dL, 1,827 in 4.0 to 5.0 mg/dL, 597 in 5.0 to 6.0 mg/dL, 114 in 6.0 to 7.0 mg/dL, 14 in more than 7.0 mg/dL of serum uric acid levels. The mean cumulative incidence of dyslipidemia was 15.0%. Serum uric acid levels was positively correlated with cumulative incidences of dyslipidemia over 5 years by Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R=0.94, p<0.001). ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT AC CE PT ED M AN US CR IPT 29 Highlights This study clarified the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) and lipid. High baseline SUA is an independent risk for developing high LDL cholesterol. Increased SUA over 5 years is also a risk for developing high LDL cholesterol. Increased SUA is a risk for hypertriglyceridemia, but not for low HDL cholesterol. It shows a potential mechanism in which high SUA may cause cardiovascular disease. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 1 Figure 2
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