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2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 10.1146/annurev.med.55.091902.103520 Annu. Rev. Med. 2004. 55:319–31 doi: 10.1146/annurev.med.55.091902.103520 Copyright c© 2004 by Annual Reviews. All rights reserved HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS VACCINES AND PREVENTION OF CERVICAL CANCER Kathrin U. Jansen and Alan R. Shaw Merck & Co., Inc., 770 Sumneytown Pike, West Point, Pennsylvania 19486; email: kathrin jansen@merck.com; alanshaw@merck.com Key Words virus-like particle vaccines, vaccine delivery, proof-of-concept, clinical endpoints ■ Abstract Cervical cancer and precancerous cervical lesions constitute a major problem in women’s health. Every year 470,000 cases of cervical cancer are diagnosed worldwide, and about half the women afflicted will die. In the United States alone, ∼14,000 cases of cervical cancer are diagnosed each year despite the availability of screening and access to high-quality gynecological care. With the confirmation that cervical cancer is caused by an infectious agent, human papillomavirus, the possibility of fighting this disease with either prophylactic or therapeutic vaccination arose. This review describes advances in vaccine development and very promising first results for prophylactic vaccination against cervical cancer. INTRODUCTION Cervical cancer and precancerous cervical lesions constitute a major problem in women’s health. Every year 470,000 cases of cervical cancer are diagnosed world- wide, and about half the women afflicted will die. The prevalence of cervical cancer is estimated to be 1.4 million cases worldwide (1). A substantial proportion of mod- ern gynecological effort and expense is devoted to the detection and treatment of cervical dysplasias and cervical cancer. In the United States alone,∼50 million Pap tests are performed each year, and they discover∼1.2 million cases of low- grade dysplasia (CIN1),∼300,000 cases of high-grade dysplasia (CIN2/3), and ∼14.000 cases of cervical cancer (2). The total health care cost associated with the screening and treatment of cervical cancer in the United States is estimated to be $6 billion per year. Despite this screening and treatment,∼5000 women die from the disease each year in the United States. In areas of the world where most women do not have access to regular, high-quality gynecological care and screening, cer- vical cancer is second only to breast cancer as a cancer-related cause of death (1). Four times as many cases of cervical cancer occur in the developing world as in more developed countries. Although screening has dramatically reduced the inci- dence of the disease in the developed world, it is still overall only∼75% effective. 0066-4219/04/0218-0319$14.00 319 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 320 JANSEN ¥ SHAW A VIRUS THAT CAUSES CANCER The etiology of cervical dysplasia and cancer was unclear for a long time. Environ- mental factors as well as smoking and alcohol consumption have received attention. Further study focused on candidate sexually transmitted infectious agents such as Chlamydia, Neisseria gonorrhea, and particularly Herpes simplex virus. Starting in the early 1980s, several lines of investigation converged on the human papillo- maviruses (HPVs) as the primary suspects to cause cervical cancer. The important steps in this convergence were as follows: 1. Finding HPV genomes in cervical carcinomas and cloning the viruses (3). The advent of more sophisticated detection technologies, such as polymerase chain reaction (PCR), greatly aided the detection of HPV in cancer speci- mens. 99.7% of all cervical cancers harbor HPV types (4). 2. Defining HPVs as a large family of closely related viruses. Over 80 HPV types have now been identified, of which 40 infect the genital tract (5). 3. Elucidating the mechanisms of transformation. During the 1990s, several teams of investigators demonstrated that HPV is a true “tumor virus” in that it carries genes encoding multiple proteins that interfere with cell-cycle control, leading to transformation and uncontrolled cell growth (6). 4. Demonstrating that infection with rabbit and bovine papillomavirus can cause tumors in rabbits and cows (7, 8). 5. Completing epidemiological case-control studies (9–12) in humans that sup- plied sufficient evidence to prompt the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) to declare HPV types 16 and 18 human carcinogens in 1995. Recently, IARC published data from their pooled 11 case-control studies suggesting that an additional 13 HPV types should be considered carcinogens (13). This body of information was slow to develop, and its evolution depended on advances in cellular, molecular, and immunological diagnostic technologies that have occurred during the past 20 years. VIRUS GENETICS, MOLECULAR BIOLOGY, AND LIFE CYCLE HPVs are small, nonenveloped viruses with relatively small (∼8 kb pairs), double- stranded circular DNA genomes (6). As members of the papovavirus family, they share numerous characteristics with the better-known examples, SV40 and poly- oma virus. The HPV genome codes for only eight proteins. The late L1 and L2 genes code for the virus capsid proteins, early proteins E1 and E2 are responsi- ble for viral replication and transcription, and E4 seems to aid virus release from infected cells (14). HPVs are DNA tumor viruses that also encode proteins that 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC CERVICAL CANCER VACCINES 321 interfere with the activity of host cell-cycle–regulating proteins such as RB and p53, among others. HPV early proteins E6 and E7 inhibit or target for destruction cellular proteins RB and p53, and E5 has also been implicated in cellular transfor- mation (15). There is now ample evidence that HPV has the tools to cause cancer based on molecular mechanisms alone. To date, over 80 genotypes of HPV have been described (5). Genotyping of HPV is based on DNA sequences of the L1, E6, and E7 genes. A 10% difference in sequence with respect to previously established strains is sufficient to define a new type of virus. HPV has also been associated with several cutaneous hyper- plastic conditions, including common warts of the hands and feet (types 1, 2, and 4), genital warts and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (types 6 and 11), epider- modysplasia verruciformis (types 5 and 8), and anal as well as cervical carcinomas and adenocarcinomas (types 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, 68, and 73). Although many HPV types are known, only a few of them cause the vast majority of disease. HPV types 16 and 18 are responsible for>70% of all cervical cancer cases, followed by HPV types 31 and 45 (4), which cause an additional 10% of cases. Two additional HPV types, HPV6 and 11, are not considered high-risk or oncogenic types but are responsible for>90% of all anogenital warts in men and women (16). In general, HPV infects the basal cells of a human epithelial surface (17). Infected basal cells divide; some progeny remain as infected basal cells while others, also infected, move away from the basement membrane, differentiate, and become epithelial cells. Virus replication and assembly is tightly linked to the differentiation program of the epithelial cell. Infectious virions are produced only in the terminally differentiated cell and are shed as virus-laden squames. This explains why HPV cannot grow in tissue culture. Over the years, various methods— including the nude mouse (18, 19) and SCID mouse (20) xenograft systems as well as raft-culture systems (21)—have achieved limited propagation of infectious virus for some HPV types, but the lack of a convenient culture system has hampered vaccine development. EPIDEMIOLOGY OF HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS By infecting only the cells of the basal layer and executing virus replication and assembly only in a fully differentiated cell that is destined to die, the virus avoids the immune system of the host.The success of this strategy is documented by the very poor immune responses (humoral as well as cell-mediated) to HPV infection. However, most HPV infections seem ultimately controlled and eliminated by an immune response. The nature of this response is still under investigation. Infections that are not controlled and persist for a long time can cause more severe pathologies and, ultimately, cancer (22). Infection in both women and men is clearly related to sexual activity (23, 24). For women, the most striking risk factors for HPV infection and development 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 322 JANSEN ¥ SHAW of detectable pathology are numerous lifetime sexual partners and early onset of sexual activity. Although women bear the brunt of dysplasias and cancer, HPV- related carcinomas of the anal mucosa are relatively frequent in men having sex with men (25), and the rate seems to be increasing. A third group at risk for severe HPV infections are neonates. At birth, neonates sometimes acquire HPV types 11 and 6 from the infected birth canal of their mother. HPV can infect the mucosa of the pharynx and cause large wart-like growths that can obstruct the airway. Recurrent respiratory papillomatosis is rare but potentially life-threatening. Patients with this condition undergo multiple surgical procedures each year in order to breathe and speak (26–29). APPROACHES TO A VACCINE AND CURRENT CLINICAL STATUS Multiple approaches are being tried in the quest for an effective vaccine. An ex- cellent review of the status of the field, citing company websites and other internet sources, was published in July 2000 (30). However, much progress has occurred since then. There are two major alternatives to consider when one sets out to make a vaccine against HPV. Should one strive to prevent infection by creating a prophylactic vac- cine, or should one focus on a therapeutic vaccine for individuals already infected? Although vaccines in the classical sense are prophylactic, as are all currently li- censed vaccines, multiple groups are pursuing a therapeutic vaccine. Depending on the approach, the choice of viral antigens to use as immunogens as well as the choice of an appropriate delivery system could be quite different. Prophylactic vaccines are simpler in that they need only to raise an immune response sufficient to limit infection and prevent clinical disease. A therapeutic vaccine must elicit an immune response that can clear an already established infection. This requires a vaccine to make the immune system do something it has failed to do during the pri- mary infection. In other words, the therapeutic vaccine has to do better than nature. In the case of HPV, antigens to be presented fall into two general classes: the early proteins, which do not become part of the virion but are expressed at some level in infected cells, and the late proteins, which make up the virus coat (6). For a successful therapeutic vaccine, the chosen antigens should be expressed in every infected cell and the vaccine should induce an immune response that mobilizes the cell-mediated arm of the immune system to rid the body of virally infected cells. Primary target antigens for a therapeutic vaccine are the oncoproteins E6 and E7 because they are expressed throughout the life cycle of HPV as well as in cancer cells. Additional targets are the E1 and E2 proteins associated with viral replication/transcription. For a successful prophylactic vaccine, the obvious target antigens would be the capsid proteins because they are the only antigens accessible for a classical neutralizing antibody response to prevent infection. Delivery of these antigens results in the mobilization of the humoral arm of the immune system and induces 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC CERVICAL CANCER VACCINES 323 a strong, long-lasting, virus-neutralizing antibody response. This is not to say that early viral antigens might not also be useful. Early work by Christensen & Kreider demonstrated that antibodies against the L1 capsid protein neutralized HPV11 in a nude-mouse xenograft system (31). However, the prophylactic vaccine field really took off in 1991, after Zhou et al. demonstrated that the HPV16 L1 capsid protein, when expressed in a recombinant system, forms virus-like particles (VLPs) resembling native virions (32). Numerous groups have now shown the successful expression of L1 VLPs from a number of HPV types. Unfortunately, because papillomavirus infection is species-specific, there is no HPV disease model. Preclinical animal papillomavirus models have helped to assess the feasibility of the various vaccine approaches. The cottontail rabbit has a naturally occurring papillomavirus that causes large, pigmented, exophytic skin warts. This model is widely favored for its convenience, simplicity, and re- producibility. Both therapeutic and prophylactic cottontail rabbit papillomavirus vaccines have been tested successfully (33, 34). Several bovine papillomaviruses (BPVs) have been useful. The well-known BPV1 can be used to transform mouse C127 cells grown in tissue culture. It causes skin growths analogous to those of the rabbit. BPV4 causes papillomas of the digestive tract in cows. These mucosal lesions are somewhat closer to the disease targeted for a vaccine in humans. Prophylactic vaccination has been observed to prevent BPV disease, and therapeutic vaccination has ameliorated established warts (35, 36). The dog, particularly the beagle, develops wart-like growths on the lips and gums caused by canine oral papillomavirus. This is a transient condition that blooms and resolves in a matter of weeks. In these animals, too, vaccination has been shown to prevent infection and disease (37, 38). For therapeutic vaccines, mouse models that use tumor cells expressing viral antigens have also shown success (39, 40). However, mouse and other animal models do not necessarily predict whether a particular approach will work in nonhuman primates or humans. ANTIGEN DELIVERY Naked DNA In the early 1990s, it was shown that injecting the gene for an antigen, surrounded by the appropriate control signals, in the context of a plasmid, could raise a cel- lular and humoral response against the antigen (41). Vaccination of rabbits with a cottontail rabbit papillomavirus L1 DNA construct was shown to protect rabbits from papillomavirus infection and wart formation (42). The naked DNA approach has several advantages. It is simple, it is relatively quick to develop, and the same methods can be applied to almost any antigen, carbohydrates being the major ex- ception. Naked DNA was examined as a therapeutic as well as prophylactic vaccine by several groups and showed promise in preclinical models. However, results in 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 324 JANSEN ¥ SHAW humans and nonhuman primates were disappointing; multiple very high doses of naked DNA vaccines are required to elicit immune responses. Vectored Gene Delivery The relative inefficiency of naked DNA led to the next step of delivering the antigen coding sequence in a viral vector. This allows the antigen gene to enter cells more efficiently, and it permits targeting to particular cell types; different virus vectors have different cell tropisms. One of the first vaccines into the clinic was vaccinia virus expressing the trans- forming proteins E6 and E7 of HPV types 16 and 18 (43, 44). This vaccine was intended as a therapeutic adjunct to traditional cervical cancer therapy. Though discontinued for cancer therapy, it is still under evaluation for its ability to ame- liorate cervical dysplasia. Vaccinia is also being used in two Chinese development programs delivering genes for either HPV16 or 58 L1 fused to their respective E7 genes. HPV 58 is highly prevalent in China. A highly attenuated form of vaccinia, modified vaccinia Ankara, is being developedby Transgene S.A. as a vehicle for the codelivery of HPV genes and the gene for interleukin-2. Addition of IL-2 to the vaccine is intended to boost the T-cell response of the host. Our group looked preclinically at a replication-deficient adenovirus expressing HPV16 L1 and compared it to DNA and VLP immunization by evaluating hu- moral as well as cell-mediated immune responses in rhesus macaques. Although the recombinant adenovirus induced strong cell-mediated immune responses, it induced a weaker neutralizing antibody response than VLPs did (45). Fusion Proteins Preclinical experiments in cattle, using fusion proteins between the minor capsid protein L2 and the oncogene E7, suggested that vaccination with such a fusion protein and an appropriate adjuvant could ameliorate disease. A human version of the vaccine targeting HPV6 was licensed and tested by Glaxo SmithKline for the treatment of genital warts. This approach demonstrated no efficacy and the vaccine was abandoned. A second fusion-protein vaccine had a similar fate. MediGene AG tested an HPV16 chimeric VLP in which the HPV16 L1 capsid protein was fused to the E7 protein in 36 patients with cervical cancer. MediGene recently announced the discontinuation of this approach because the phase I/II trial results did not fulfill its predetermined efficacy criteria. HPV16 immune responses, however, were de- tected in immunized patients. A third approach using a fusion protein of a Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) heat-shock protein with E7 (Stressgen Biotechnologies Corp.) is still being evaluated clinically against high-grade cervical dysplasia. Virus-Like Particles Expression of the capsid or virus-coat protein genes of certain viruses in a heterologous system, such as yeast or insect cells, produces a VLP through 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC CERVICAL CANCER VACCINES 325 self-directed assembly of the recombinant protein. Hepatitis B surface antigen was the first example of a VLP that became a commercially viable vaccine. As mentioned above, Zhou et al. (32) were the first to report that the HPV major capsid protein L1, expressed in a recombinant system, self-assembles into a VLP. Preclinical efficacy was demonstrated using VLPs formulated on aluminum adju- vants. They induced a strong virus-neutralizing antibody response in nonhuman primates (46, 47). Preclinical results were confirmed by several phase I studies that tested the immunogenicity and safety of monovalent VLP-based vaccines. These vaccines were generally well tolerated and generated high levels of neutralizing antibodies (48–50). These initial results were encouraging, but would such a vaccine actually pre- vent HPV infection? After all, the antibody response induced by the VLP-based vaccine is generated systemically, whereas the target cells for HPV infection are epithelial cells of the genital tract. Therefore, the proposition that systemic an- tibody may prevent local infection of the genital mucosa was untested. We de- signed a double-blind, placebo-controlled proof-of-concept study to answer this question (51). Young women (n = 2392) were assigned to receive placebo or yeast-derived HPV16 L1 VLPs (40-µg dose) formulated on Merck aluminum adjuvant at day 0, month 2, and month 6 by intramuscular injection. Samples from the genital tract were obtained at enrollment, one month after the booster immunization, and every six months thereafter. In addition, the women under- went gynecological examinations and were referred for colposcopy according to protocol. Biopsy tissue was evaluated for intraepithelial neoplasia and analyzed by PCR for the presence of HPV16 DNA. DNA was prepared from the speci- mens using routine methods. HPV16 DNA was amplified by PCR using type- and gene-specific primers for the HPV16 L1, E6, and E7 genes. PCR products were visualized by dot-blot hybridization using type- and gene-specific oligonu- cleotides. The assays were validated to have a 95% probability to detect 13 copies of HPV16 DNA per sample. The primary endpoint of the trial was persistent HPV16 infection, defined by (a) HPV16 DNA detection in samples obtained at two or more visits at least four months apart; (b) a cervical biopsy showing cer- vical intraepithelial neoplasia or cancer and HPV16 DNA in the biopsy and in a genital sample collected at the antecedent or subsequent visit; or (c) HPV16 DNA detected in a sample collected during the last visit before being lost to follow-up. Women were followed for a median of 17.4 months after completion of the vaccination regimen, at which time 41 cases of persistent HPV16 infection were accrued. All 41 cases occurred in the placebo group, none in the vaccine group. Of these 41 cases, 31 were persistent HPV16 infection, 5 were HPV16-related CIN 1, 4 were HPV16-related CIN2, and 1 occurred in a woman who first tested positive for HPV16 on the last visit before she was lost to follow-up. These results translate to 100% efficacy (95% confidence interval, 90–100;p< 0.001). Since all 9 cases of HPV16-related CIN were in the placebo group, there is great hope that an HPV VLP-based vaccine may reduce the incidence of cervical cancer. 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 326 JANSEN ¥ SHAW Merck is currently conducting phase III clinical trials to assess the efficacy of a quadrivalent HPV vaccine covering HPV types 16 and 18 as well as types 6 and 11. The National Cancer Institute and Glaxo SmithKline are slated to start phase III clinical trials at the end of 2003 with a bivalent VLP-based vaccine covering HPV types 16 and 18 (51a). From a technical perspective, vaccination with VLPs appears promising. Nev- ertheless, several practical issues must be addressed before these vaccines can be licensed and deployed in clinical practice and public health programs. PRACTICAL ISSUES Is Prevention of Persistent Infection an Acceptable Clinical Endpoint for a Phase III Study and Licensure? Epidemiological studies have established that persistent infection with HPV is a prerequisite for the development of the vast majority of high-grade dysplasia and cervical cancer. Therefore, one would logically assume that a vaccine preventing HPV infection would prevent cervical cancer. In the current regulatory environ- ment, if one wishes to claim in the vaccine’s labeling that it prevents cancer, one must actually demonstrate prevention of cancer or at least a defined precursor, not just infection. This was the view of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Exter- nal Advisory Committee at a recent review of several HPV-vaccine projects (52). Given the frequency of self-clearance of infection and self-resolution of early- grade lesions, an efficacy study measuring prevention of clinical lesions rather than infection is not an unreasonable requirement. Clinical trials generally take place in an environment where there is an established “standard of care” for the dis- ease to be addressed. Ethically, any deviation from this standard of care would put trial participants at unacceptable risk. Because high-grade dysplasia (CIN2/3) is re- garded as a direct precursor to cervical cancer and must be treated, a cervical cancer endpoint would be unethical. An appropriate compromise is to use the appearance of CIN2/3 lesions related to vaccine types as an endpoint in a placebo-controlled study. Because true CIN2/3 lesions are relatively rare in current practice (53), the phase III trial now under way will need to include tens of thousands of volunteers. Public Health Aspects of HPV Vaccination Assuming that the great promise seen in Merck’s proof-of-concept study is borne out in the phase III trials, a vaccine against HPV infection and disease should become available in several years. However, there are several questions that will generate substantial debate. WHEN TO VACCINATE? Current clinical studies are focused on young women in their late teens and early twenties, oftenin university settings. Entry into university is generally associated with increased sexual activity, and students tend to stay in 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC CERVICAL CANCER VACCINES 327 one place for at least a few years, making follow-up more practical. Realistically, however, entry into university is frequently later than onset of sexual activity. A recent study published inCommunicable Disease Reports(54) shows the rates of diagnosis of genital warts (first attack) in English and Welsh clinics by age and gender. The data suggest that vaccination of adolescents aged 10–12 years would be most desirable to control HPV infection and disease, since it is most likely that this population is still uninfected. Experience with vaccines in general has shown that the most efficient way to get as many people vaccinated as possible is to vaccinate them when they are infants. Public health programs have shown that coverage is best for pediatric programs and less successful in adults. A further advantage is that immune responses to vaccines are generally better in children. Because the duration of a protective immune response after immunization with VLP-based vaccines is not yet known, it remains to be seen whether effective infant immunization could be achieved. It also would further crowd the already intense infant-vaccination schedule. WHAT ABOUT MALES? Clinical studies to date have focused on females because women suffer most from the pathology of HPV infection. Males, however, are the vectors. With the notable exception of penile warts and some cases of penile and anal cancer, there is little obvious pathology associated with HPV in heterosexual males. HPV is very difficult to detect in this population. This is partly because of the lack (until recently) of an acceptable method of sampling. Men having sex with men do suffer from anal intraepithelial neoplasia. The anal epithelium has a transition zone similar to that of the cervix, and this is the most frequent site of HPV disease in this group. Since vaccines work best when given to large proportions of the pop- ulation, vaccination trials to show some efficacy in men are also being considered. We can learn from our experience with rubella vaccination. When effective rubella vaccines became available in the 1970s, some public health authorities chose to vaccinate only girls, in some cases not until their early teens. This seemed reasonable because the main deleterious consequence of rubella infection was fetal rubella syndrome, a major cause of devastating birth defects. Vaccinating women before childbearing age should have been sufficient. However, experience, best documented in Sweden, showed that sex-specific vaccination was not an effective policy. Only when both boys and girls were vaccinated in the first years of life did rubella and fetal rubella syndrome essentially vanish (55). MARKETING A VACCINE FOR A SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASE Even if HPV vaccines are shown to be safe and effective, marketing a vaccine against a sexually transmitted disease to the general public may be problematic. The public health and health economic benefits are likely to be considerable. Public health authori- ties would most likely recommend a vaccine that would prevent cervical cancer, at least for women. Parental resistance, however, can easily be imagined: “Why does my child need to be vaccinated against this pathogen? She/he won’t be sexually active for a long time. Let’s hold off on this until later.” The most effective strategy 2 Dec 2003 21:49 AR AR206-ME55-19.tex AR206-ME55-19.sgm LaTeX2e(2002/01/18)P1: GBC 328 JANSEN ¥ SHAW will be to maintain philosophical distance from the sexual aspects of the question and focus on the prevention of a common cause of cancer. IMPLEMENTING HPV VACCINATION IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD Cervical cancer screening and access to high-quality gynecological care are limited for women in developing countries, yet∼80% of cases occur in these parts of the world. An effective prophylactic vaccine would have an enormous impact on women’s health, if it could be delivered. Three major issues must be resolved in order to take full advantage of the promise of HPV vaccines. First, the global infrastructure must be reinforced to accommodate the logistics of delivery of a new vaccine to a, perhaps, nonpediatric population. This is a rather tall order, and in practice, this may become a pediatric vaccine in developing countries even if the developed world makes a different choice. There is no adolescent vaccination visit in most parts of the world. The World Health Organization’s Expanded Program for Immunization delivers the “basic six” vaccines (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio, measles and BCG) to a large fraction of the world’s birth cohort. If effective immunity could be shown to last into adulthood, then pediatric administration may be the easier solution for developing countries. Second, the capacity for producing these vaccines on a global scale must be created. The “chicken-and-egg” aspect of this problem might not be obvious to those outside the vaccine industry. In order to justify the capital and other ancillary investments necessary to create manufacturing capacity approximately ten times greater than one might normally contemplate, there must be some reasonable assurance of a market for the product. This is tightly linked to the third issue, funding. Today, in 2003, most of the developing world’s vaccines are paid for by governmental or international donor agencies. Until recently, the vaccines provided through this funding mechanism have been “traditional” vaccines such as the basic six above. In the past few years, there has been a growing uptake of hepatitis B vaccine and conjugated polysaccha- ride vaccine againstHaemophilusinfluenza. This expansion has been greatly aided by funding from the Gates Foundation and an overall reinvigorated interest in vac- cines. 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