Prévia do material em texto
Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics Class nr. 15 Subject: 2. Intertemporal choice 2.1. Consumer’s intertemporal choice (practice class) Exercise 10.1. from Bergstrom and Varian’s book (2006) “Workouts in Intermediate Microeconomics”, p. 130 Peregrine Pickle consumes ( )21 ,cc and earns ( )21 ,mm in periods 1 and 2 respectively. Suppose the interest rate is r. a) Write down Peregrine’s intertemporal budget constraint in present value terms. b) If Peregrine does not consume anything in period 1, what is the maximum value he can consume in period 2, that is, what is the future value of his initial endowment? c) If Peregrine does not consume anything in period 2, what is the maximum value he can consume in period 1, that is, what is the present value of his initial endowment? What is the slope of his budget constraint? Answers: a) ( ) ( )r mm r cc ++=++ 11 2 1 2 1 b) ( ) 21 1 mrm ++ c) ( )r mm ++ 1 2 1 ; ( )r+− 1 Exercise 10.3. from Bergstrom and Varian’s book (2006) “Workouts in Intermediate Microeconomics”, pp. 131-132 Nickleby has an income of $2,000 this year, and he expects an income of $1,100 next year. He can borrow and lend money at an interest rate of 10%. Consumption goods cost $1 per unit this year and there is no inflation. a) What is the present and future value of Nickleby’s endowment? Sketch, in a graph, his endowment, budget constraint and budget set. Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics b) Suppose that Nickleby has the utility function ( ) 2121 , CCCCU = . Write an expression for Nickleby’s marginal rate of substitution between consumption this year and consumption next year. c) What is the slope of Nickleby’s budget constraint? Write an equation for his optimal condition (this equation states that the slope of Nickleby’s indifference curve is equal to the slope of his budget constraint when the interest rate is 10%). Also write down Nickleby’s budget constraint. d) Solve the two previous equations in order to determine Nickleby’s optimal intertemporal consumption bundle (combination of present and future consumptions). e) Will he borrow or save in the first period? How much? f) Sketch in a graph the combinations of present and future consumption that Nickleby will not chose if the interest rate increases to 20%. g) Solve for Nickleby’s optimal choice when the interest rate is 20%. h) In this case, will he borrow or save? How much? Answers: a) Present Value: ( )21 1,1002,000 3,000 1 1 0.1 mm r + = + =+ + Future Value: ( ) ( )1 21 2,000 1 0.1 1,100 3,300m r m+ + = × + + = M 1c 2c 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics b) 1 1 2 2 1 2 , 1 2 C C C C U MU C CMRS UMU C C ∂ ∂= − = − = −∂ ∂ c) ( ) ( ) 1,11,011 −=+−=+− r ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 2 1 2 , 2 1 2 1 p 1 p 1,1002,000 1 0.1 1 0.1 C C CMRS r C CC ⎧ = − ⇔ − = − +⎪⎪⎨⎪ + = +⎪ + +⎩ d) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 11 1 1 0.1 1.1 1.1 1,650 1,100 3,000 1,5003,0002,000 1.11 0.1 1 0.1 C C CC C C C CC C C CCC ⎧− = − + = ×⎧⎪ = × =⎧ ⎧⎪ ⎪⇔ ⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨ ⎨ ⎨+ = =+ = ⎩ ⎩⎪ ⎪+ = + ⎩⎪ + +⎩ e) 1 1 1 1 1,500 500 2,000 C m C m =⎧ ⇔ − =⎨ =⎩ Nickleby saves $500 in the first period. f) Present Value: ( )21 1,1002,000 2,916.(6) 1 1 0.2 mm r + = + =+ + Future Value: ( ) ( )1 21 2,000 1 0.2 1,100 3,500m r m+ + = × + + = Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics g) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 11 1 1 0.2 1,2 1.2 1,750 1,100 2,916.(6) 1,458.(3)2,916.(6)2,000 1.21 0.2 1 0.2 C C CC C C C CC C C CCC ⎧− = − + = ×⎧⎪ = × =⎧ ⎧⎪ ⎪⇔ ⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨ ⎨ ⎨+ = =+ = ⎩ ⎩⎪ ⎪+ = + ⎩⎪ + +⎩ h) 1 1 1 1 1, 458.(3) 541.(6) 2,000 C m c m =⎧ ⇔ − =⎨ =⎩ Nickleby saves $541.(6) in the first period. The increase in the interest rate led him to save more. Exercise 10.10. from Bergstrom and Varian’s book (2006) “Workouts in Intermediate Microeconomics”, pp. 138-139 In an isolated mountain village, the only crop is corn. Good harvests alternate with bad harvests. This year the harvest will be 1,000 bushels1. Next year it will be 150 bushels. There is no trade with the outside world. Corn can be stored from one year to the next, but rats will eat 25% of what is stored in a year. The villagers have Cobb-Douglas utility functions, ( ) 2121 , ccccU = where 1c is consumption this year, and 2c is consumption next year. 1 A measure of volume used in the United States that is roughly equivalent to 35 liters. M ≡ set of consumption goods that will not be chosen X 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 1c 2c Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics a) Sketch in a graph the consumption possibilities (budget set) for the village. b) How much corn will the villagers consume this year? How much will the rats eat? How much corn will the villagers consume next year? c) Suppose that a road is built to the village so that now the village is able to trade with the rest of the world. Now the villagers are able to buy and sell corn at the world price, which is $1 per bushel. They are also able to borrow and lend money at an interest rate of 10%. Sketch (in a graph) the new budget constraint. Determine the new optimal consumption point for both periods. d) Suppose that all is as in question c) except that now there is a transportation cost of $0.1 per bushel for every bushel of grain hauled into or out of the village. Sketch in a graph the new budget constraint for the village under these new circumstances. max 1 max 2 1,000 150 1,000 0.75 900 c c ⎧ =⎪⎨ = + × =⎪⎩ ( )1 2,M m m≡ 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 150 300 450 600 750 900 1,050 1c 2c Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics b) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 2 1 , 1 2 2 1 2 0.75 0.75 0.75 1,000 0.75 150 0.75 900 c c U cMRS U c c c c c ∂⎧⎪ ∂= − ⎪⎧ − = −⎪ ⎪ ∂⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨× + = × +⎪ ⎪ ∂⎩ ⎪ × + =⎪⎩ ( ) 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 11 1 1 1 2 0.750.75 0.75 450 900 0.75 0.75 900 600 0.75 900 1,5 c c c c c cc cc c c c c ⎧ = ×⎧= = × =⎧ ⎧⎪ ⎪⇔ ⇔ ⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨ ⎨ ⎨=× + × = =⎩ ⎩⎪ ⎪× + = ⎩⎩ The rats eat 100 bushels. (1000 - 600) * 0,25 c) Start by computing the maximum amount of corn the villagers can obtain in period 1 ( )2 0c = : ( ) ( )max max21 1 1 1501,000 1 1 mc m c r r = + ⇒ = ++ + ( )21 m r+ is the maximum amount of corn the villagers can borrow in period 1 and still be able to repay the loan in period 2 with an interest rate of r . Now compute the maximum amount of corn the villagers can obtain in period 2 ( )1 0c = : ( )max2 1 21c m r m= × + + ( ) ( ) max max 1 1 max max 2 2 1501,000 1,136.(36)1 0.1 12501,000 1 0.1 150 c c cc ⎧ = + ⎧ =⎪ ⎪+ ⇔⎨ ⎨ =⎪⎪ ⎩= × + +⎩ The new budget constraint is: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )2 1 2 1 1 2 1 21 1 1 1c m r m c r c r c m r m= × + + − × + ⇔ × + + = × + +Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics Graphical representation ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 2 21 , 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 11 1 0,1 1.11.1 1 0.1 1,000 1 0.1 150 1.1 1, 250 1.1 1,250 1.11.1 625 1,2501.1 1.1 1, 250 568.(18) 2.2 c c U ccMRS U c c c c c c c c c cc c c c c cc ∂⎧⎪ ∂ ⎧⎧ = − + =⎪− = −⎪ ⎪∂⇔ ⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨ ⎨× + + = × + +⎪ ⎪ ⎪⎩ ∂ × + =⎩⎪ × + =⎩ = ×⎧= × =⎧ ⎧⎪⇔ ⇔ ⇔⎨ ⎨ ⎨× + × = ==⎩ ⎩⎪⎩ d) Start by computing the maximum amount of corn the villagers can obtain in period 1 ( )2 0c = : ( ) ( ) 2 max 1 1 2 1 1 t c m m r −= + × + Notice that the transport cost is incurred twice (once in period 1 hauling/shipping the corn into the village and once again in period 2 carrying the corn out of the village into the market to pay for the debt incurred). ( ) ( ) 2 max 1 150 1 0.1 1,000 1 0.1 c × −= + + M 1,250 150 300 450 600 750 900 1,050 1,100 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1c 2c Slope: ( )2 1 1dc r dc = − + Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics Now compute the maximum amount of corn the villagers can obtain in period 2 ( )1 0c = : ( ) ( )2max2 1 21 1c m t r m= × − × + + Once again, notice that the transport cost is incurred twice (once in period 1 hauling the corn out of the village and once again in period 2 carrying the corn back into the village). ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ⎪⎩ ⎪⎨⎧ = =⇔ ⎪⎩ ⎪⎨ ⎧ ++×−×= + −×+= 1041 45.1110 1501.011.011000 1.01 1.011501000 max 2 max 1 2max 2 2 max 1 c c c c We now have a piecewise budget constraint with the two line segments connected with kink at the endowment. Line segment to the left of the endowment (lenders will choose a bundle on this line segment): ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 c m t r m c t r c t r c m t r m = × − × + + − × − × + ⇔ ⇔ × − × + + = × − × + + We can also write it as ( ) ( ) ( )22 1 1 21 1c m c t r m= − × − × + + Line segment to the right of the endowment (borrowers will choose a bundle on this line segment): ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 t t t t c m m c c c m m r r r r − − − −= + × − × ⇔ + × = + ×+ + + + We can also write it as ( ) ( )( )2 1 1 22 1 1 r c m c m t += − × +− Microeconomics II Undergraduate degree in Economics M M 1250 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1c 2c Slope: ( ) ( )22 1 1 1dc t r dc = − − × + Slope: ( )( ) 2 2 1 1 1 rdc dc t += − − Kink in the budget constraint at the endowment