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Fragmentation, risk and world order David Helda,* and Kevin Youngb aSchool of Government and International Affairs, University College, Durham University, The Castle, Durham DH1 3TU, UK. E-mail: david.held@durham.ac.uk bDepartment of Political Science, 200 Hicks Way, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA 01003, USA. E-mail: kevinlyoung@polsci.umass.edu *Corresponding author. Abstract This paper examines some of the similarities between finance and security from a global governance perspective. We argue that finance and security share a number of similar properties in terms of prevailing arrangements at the level of global governance, and also a number of problems which we conceptualize as problems of governance capacity. Such similarities, we argue, are not unique to these domains but actually tell us something about the character of global gover- nance as a whole. In so doing, we argue that the evolution in thinking about governance challenges and the institutional solutions required to meet them further underscores an already pernicious dynamic at work in global governance. International Politics (2013) 50, 309–332. doi:10.1057/ip.2013.9 Keywords: global governance; international finance; international security; emergent risks; governance capacity The study of international politics often entails specialization in discrete areas of activity. Whether it is the study of international security, trade, finance, energy and the environment or global health, most analyses focus on specific areas or issues. We often train students to think in this way; we certainly govern academic departments in this way. Yet such discreteness of the different fields of global governance is a chimera. Conceptual differentiation can be very useful for analytical reasons, but they can also obscure important dynamics which may exist across governance domains. r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 www.palgrave-journals.com/ip/ In this article we examine two important areas of international politics which have no shortage of scholarly attention to them but whose interrelationships are underappreciated in existing work: finance and security. While each of these domains are often viewed discretely and separately, finance and security share a number of similar properties in terms of prevailing arrangements at the level of global governance. Such similarities, we argue, are not unique to these domains but actually tell us something about the character of global govern- ance as a whole. Despite a rich web of institutions, norms, and formal and informal agreements in each of these domains, governance at the global level remains inadequate in a number of respects. While these inadequacies can be conceptualized in a number of different ways, we conceptualize them as com- prising a shortfall of ‘governance capacity’ – a term that we deploy to refer to the capabilities (or lack of capabilities) of existing institutional arrangements to effectively carry out global policies which could generate desired changes. In this guise, we argue that the recent evolution in thinking about governance challenges and the institutional solutions required to meet them further underscores an already pernicious dynamic cutting across both finance and security. Our argument proceeds as follows. Section I outlines a number of similarities between security and finance. We first review the complex interrelationships as posited by existing literature, and point out that both domains are concerned with the creation and management of ‘infrastructural resources’ – resources that make other fields of human action possible. In Section II we critically assess governance arrangements in finance and security, respectively.IAIS and IOSCO to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism. Basel, Switzerland: Bank for International Settlements, June. Joint Forum. (2005) Initiatives by the BCBS, IAIS and IOSCO to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism. Basel, Switzerland: Bank for International Settlements, January. Kahler, M. and Lake, D. (2008) Economic integration and global governance: Why so little supranationalism? In: W. Mattli and N. Woods (eds.) The Politics of Global Regulation. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, pp. 242–276. Kaldor, M. (1982) Baroque Arsenal. London: Deutsch. Kaldor, M. (1998) New and Old Wars. Cambridge, MA: Polity Press. Kerwer, D. (2005) Rules that many use: Standards and global regulation. Governance 18(4): 661–632. Kirshner, J. (2007) Appeasing Bankers: Financial Caution on the Road to War. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Koskenniemi, M. (2006) Fragmentation of International Law: Difficulties Arising from the Diversification and Expansion of International Law. Report of the Study Group of the International Law Commission of the United Nations General Assembly, Geneva, 13 April. Leander, A. (2005) The power to construct international security: On the significance of private military companies. Millennium: Journal of International Studies 33(3): 803–826. Leander, A. (2009) Securing sovereignty by governing security through markets. In: R. Adler-Nissen and T. Gammeltoft-Hansen (eds.) Sovereignty Games: Instrumentalising State Sovereignty in Europe and Beyond. London: Palgrave, pp. 151–170. Held and Young 330 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Leathley, C. (2007) An institutional hierarchy to combat the fragmentation of international law: Has the ILC missed an opportunity? International Law and Politics 40(1): 259–306. Li, M. and Chen, G. (2010) China’s search for a multilateral world: Dilemmas and desires. The International Spectator 45(4): 12–25. Lobell, S.E. (2006) The political economy of war mobilization: From Britain’s limited liability to a continental commitment. International Politics 43: 283–304. MacFarlane, N. and Khong, Y.F. (2006) Human Security and the UN: A Critical History. Bloomington: Indiana University Press. Mostaghel, D. (2007) Dubai ports world under Exon-Florio: A threat to national security or a tempest in a seaport? Albany Law Review 583(70): 582–624. Mügge, D. (2011) From pragmatism to dogmatism: European Union governance, policy paradigms and financial meltdown. New Political Economy 16(2): 185–206. Mügge, D. and Mügge, D. et al (1995) Resilience and growth through sustained adjustment: The Moroccan experience. IMF Occasional Paper No. 117. Nsouli, S.M. et al (eds.) (1995) Resilience and growth through sustained adjustment: The Moroccan experience, IMF Occasional Paper No. 117. Owens, P. (2012) Human security and the rise of the social. Review of International Studies 38(3): 547–567. Pagliari, S. (2012) Who governs finance? The shifting public–private divide in the regulation of derivatives, rating agencies and hedge funds. European Law Journal 18(1): 44–61. Prantl, J. (2005) Informal groups of states and the UN security council. International Organization 59(3): 559–592. Percy, S. (2007) Mercenaries: Strong norm, weak law. International Organization 61(2): 367–397. Peterson, K.L. (2012) Risk analysis: A field within security studies? European Journal of International Relations 18(4): 693–717. Petraeus, D. (2010) Counterinsurgency concepts: What we learned in Iraq. Global Policy 1.1(January): 116–117. Raustiala, K. and Victor, D.G. (2004) The regime complex for plant genetic resources. International Organization 58(2): 277–309. Reuters. (2011) UPDATE 2-Trichet warns of widening global imbalances. 19 June. Roberge, I. (2011) Financial action task force. In: T. Hale and D. Held (eds.) Handbook of Transnatioanl Governance: Institutions and Innovations, pp. 45–49. Rosenau, J. (1996) The dynamics of globalization: Toward an operational formulation. Security Dialogue 27(3): 18–35. Sica, V. (2000) Cleaning the laundry: States and the monitoring of the financial system.Millennium: Journal of International Studies 29(1): 47–72. SIPRI. (2009) SIPRI Yearbook. Stockholm, Sweden: SIPRI. SIPRI. (2010) 2010 SIPRI Yearbook. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. Slaughter, A.M. and Hale, T. (2008) Calling all patriots: The cosmopolitan appeal of Americanism. In: D. Held and H. Moore (eds.) Cultural Politics in a Global Age: Uncertainty, Solidarity, and Innovation. Oxford, UK: Oneworld Press, pp. 176–186. Taylor, J. (2007) Global Financial Warriors: The Untold Story of International Finance in the Post-9/ 11 World. London: W.W. Norton, pp. 6–19. Thérien, J-P. (2012) Human security: The making of a UN ideology. Global Society 25(2): 191–213. Truman, E.M. (2008) The management of China’s international reserves: China and a sovereign wealth fund scoreboard. In: M. Goldstein and N. Lardy (eds.) Debating China’s Exchange Rate Policy. Washington DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics. Tsingou, E. (2009) Regulatory reactions to the global credit crisis: Analyzing a policy community under stress. In: E. Helleiner, S. Pagliari and H. Zimmerman (eds.) Global Finance in Crisis: The Politics of International Regulatory Change. London: Routledge, pp. 21–36. Global governance in crisis 331r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Tsingou, E. (2010) Global financial governance and the developing anti-money laundering regime: What lessons for international political economy? International Politics 47(6): 617–637. United Nations Development Program. (1994) Human Development Report. New York: Oxford University. Wade, R. (2004) Bringing the economics back in. Security Dialogue 35(2): 243–249. Wade, R. (2012) Marginalizing the united nations as a forum for debate about the financial crisis: The west’s success. Le Monde Diplomatique, August. Walker, J. and Cooper, M. (2011) Genealogies of resilience: From systems ecology to the political economy of crisis adaptation. Security Dialogue 42(2): 143–160. Woods, N. (2010) Global governance after the financial risis: A new multilateralism or the last gasp of the great powers? Global Policy 1(1): 51–63. World Bank. 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View publication statsView publication stats https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263326307While the particular institutional and policy challenges are distinct, we argue that both can be understood to share striking similarities in the form of what we call ‘governance capacity’ problems. Our argument extends to more than just a critique of existing practices: it is an evolutionary critique. The global govern- ance arrangements in finance and security have can and do improve upon past shortcomings, but they also speak to a pernicious dynamic of (mis)adaptation. Governance institutions in both finance and security are adapting in important ways to the challenges that they face; however this adaptation is fundamentally incremental, while the emergent risks that they seek to govern proliferate at a much faster rate. Interrelationships Between Security and Finance The linkages and parallels between finance and security run deep. At a purely conceptual level, security can be regarded as one of the quintessential public goods that are essential to human welfare. It constitutes a field of action in and of itself (the business of promoting security is a discrete policy area), but it also enables many other fields of action, since without a modicum of security the Held and Young 310 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 structure of the polity changes completely. Likewise, the system of financial flows and the management of credit in general can also be likened to a kind of essential resource required for full participation in contemporary society. Modern capitalist economies are largely constituted on the basis of credit creation, and thus while financial markets and institutions can be analyzed as a discrete field of action, they also enable much of what we callknow to be modern economic life. As such, on one level both of these policy domains represent collectively shared domains that tie diverse populations, interests and concerns together into a global community of fate, the very basis of contemporary globa- lization. Finance and security also interrelate in important ways in terms of how public policy are articulated and how they are politicized. Consider, for example, the fear over the role of sovereign wealth funds from many states in the Middle East (see Abdelal, 2000; Truman, 2008). Such changing dynamics of the global economic landscape often emerge as ‘threats to security’ in national politics – for example in the case of the Dubai Ports World controversy in 2006 in the United States (see Mostaghel, 2007). Analyses of current geopolitical trajectories often relate the fate of national currencies and financial systems to dimensions of international security. The historical reemergence of China as a world power is one case in point in this regard (see DresnerDrezner, 2009), as are considerations of the future trajectory of the United States (Helleiner and Kirshner, 2009). Indeed, many accounts directly associate the structural power of the US state in the international system to its financial hegemony: investor confidence in US treasury bonds is a function of the states’ ability to repay debt, which is itself a function of the US’ place in the post-war system in which it achieved military supremacy (see Cox, 2004; Wade, 2004). Financial sector arrangements policies are often an integral part of security strategies. The freezing of terrorist financial assets has been an important part of the UN’s multilateral strategy to combat terrorist activity, and the use of such legal means has evolved as the nature of security threats have evolved (see Godinho, 2010). Indeed, some of the most important transnational cooperative efforts to regulate financial markets have had their origins in security concerns. Central in this regard is the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) – a transnational body composed of ministers of finance which develop interna- tional standards and recommendations for the regulation of illicit finance, in particular money-laundering (see Sica, 2000; Roberge, 2011).1 As Tsingou (2010) has argued, developing an international anti-money-laundering regime has also been associated with a set of non-financial policy preoccupations. The FATF, since its founding, has been used by its members to reign in terrorist financing and the financing of nuclear proliferation (Amicelle, 2011). The use of international financial efforts to achieve security objectives have changed alongside the changing status of hegemonic security discourses – in Global governance in crisis 311r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 particular the war on terror. Following the events of 9/11 efforts to combat terrorism by means of financial regulation were stepped up considerably within the FATF. Even before Operation Enduring Freedom was announced publically following the September 11th terrorist attacks, the Bush regime instituted an Executive Order to freeze terrorist assets leading to a major international cooperative effort to intervene in the banking system (see Taylor, 2007). Other international efforts were underway prior to 9/11, but these were relatively muted. The United Nations International Convention for the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism of 1999, for example, set fourth some ambitious initiatives but such a policy was muted by the UN Security Council Resolution 1373, which had more far-reaching implications. Since then efforts to combat terrorist finance through multilateral cooperation have utilized the existing international financial regulatory infrastructure to pursue security objectives.2 These amounted not only to informal cooperative efforts among the G8 but to new formal policies and agreements among institutions such as the World Bank, IMF as well additional as a variety of transnational financial regulatory institu- tionsstandard-setting bodies such as the Basel Committee on Banking Super- vision, the International Organization of Exchange Commissions and the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (see Biersteker and Eckert, 2008, p. 241–42; Joint Forum, 2003, 2005). What is interesting from the perspective of interrelationships between security and financial governance is that these very international efforts to combat terrorism have mapped onto dominant practices within the prevailing financial regulatory regime. In this regard, international efforts to combat the financing of terrorism operated squarely within a liberal approach to the governance of risk (see FATF 2007; Tsingou, 2010; Amicelle, 2011). It has of course long been acknowledged that international International conflict and international finance and are intimately related and this has been acknowledged in a variety of scholarship. War changes the composition of domestic actors and interest groups, within which financial actors play an important role, often in surprising ways (Cf. Lobell, 2006; Kirshner, 2007). Yet in recent times the very conceptualization of objectives and frameworks of understanding have become increasingly shared. Both domains, one can argue, have become deeply imbibed with discourses of risk and risk management. The conceptualization of risk in financial markets and in financial governance has been widespread for some time, and in the security domain a similar trans- formation has recently been at play as well. While risk has been a central feature of financial sector governance for some time, facilitated by the quantification of value inherent in market transactions, and the probabilistic thinking that pervades financial dealings, an emergent discourse of risk is relatively new to the security realm.3 As Coker (2002, p. 60) has remarked ‘[t]he language of danger has now turned into the language of risk’. Peterson (2012, pp. 694–695) Held and Young 312 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 has recently documented this trend, showing that international relations scholarship has increasingly utilized the concept of risk,in particular with respect to studies of security. When it comes to the conceptualization of risk, frameworks of analysis and understanding within both security and finance have become increasingly similar. Both security and finance, it would seem, are increasingly seen as complex adaptive systems with emergent-level properties: the ‘whole’ is greater than the sum of the institutional parts. As such, descriptions of risk and the governance of risk are systemic rather than institutional.4 As Walker and Cooper (2011) have pointed out, the concept of ‘resilience’ – a concept drawn from systems ecology – has recently emerged as an operational strategy of risk management in security operations. The very same concept has been a mainstay of financial regulation, being operationalized by global governance institutions such as the IMF, World Bank, and the Bank for International Settlements (see IMF, 2005; Nsouli et al, 1995; World Bank, 2010; BIS, 2002, in Walker and Cooper, 2011, p. 144). Since 9/11, the concept of system resilience has become a central concept among agencies charged with generating security responses to issues such as critical infrastructure protection, pandemics and terrorism (see Walker and Cooper, 2011, p. 144). Since the global financial crisis, the concept of ‘macroprudentialism’ (discussed below) and systems resilience have similarly taken off. Such a conceptualization of system resilience binds both security, broadly conceived, and finance closer together under the same analytical discourse. Relatedly, both security and finance have also featured a strikingly similar shift to market-based governance rationalities. As much of the international political economy literature has pointed out, the last two decades have featured the prominent involvement of private actors in global financial governance regimes, and private mercenaries have been a longstanding feature of security arrangements in different periods Higgott et al, 2000; Haufler, 2001). However, neoliberal norms operating over the last 30 years have allowed private actors to take on new governance roles. In finance, this has meant the increased integration of private sector advocacy associations in the design of regulatory regimes (see Tsingou, 2009; Baker, 2010; Young, 2012). In security, the use of private sector actors has similarly increased, as private firms now take on many critical functions of security provision – – everything from basic administrative functions to logistics to the widespread use of private security companies to carry out combat operations (Leander, 2005, 2009; Percy, 2007). As military operations are often conducted with and/or by private companies there has been a commercialization and globalization of organized violence. For instance, up to 20 000 private security personnel from sixty dif- ferent international firms operated in Iraq in 2004 (Held and McGrew, 2007, p. 57). Global governance in crisis 313r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Thus there are a number of ways in which security and finance, two seemingly disparate and separate domains of governance, are interrelated and share similar characteristics in terms of their governance. In what follows below, we argue that these similarities relate to the character of global govern- ance arrangements within both of these domains. Our argument is twofold. Global governance arrangements in both security and finance have been confronted with mounting governance challenges – a dynamic we highlight with reference to the weaknesses in governance capacity.which have not been adequately addressed. At the same time, as alluded to above, paradigmatic shifts have begun to take place in both of these domains – shifts which further press on and highlight existing challenges. Drawing on earlier work which emphasized crisis across governance domains (see Held and Young 2011), we discuss governance challenges in both these domains under the guise of ‘governance capacity’ – the capabilities of existing institutional arrangements to effectively carry out global public policies suited to perceived policy challenges. Our argument is not simply that there aren’t enough resources or enough pooled sovereignty directed at governance in a particular area, but rather that in an increasing array of emergent global problems, the actual ability to formulate and execute global public policy is limited. Our argument thus proceeds at the level of the global governance ‘architecture’ – the broader institutional complex or system which comprises organizations, regimes, norms, regulations, and the like which are sometimes referred to as the ‘meta-level’ of governance (see Biermann et al, 2009, p. 15). Capacity Problems in Finance and Security 5 The global governance of finance The recent financial crisis demonstrates an important feature of our con- temporary world. The globalization of financial markets has integrated the global economy in unprecedented ways, and yet the rules and institutions that monitor and regulate financial market activity have not kept pace. The global financial crisis, which led to what has been called the first post-war global recession (IMF, 2009), has made it clear that the problem-solving capacity of the global system is in many areas not effective, accountable, or rapid enough to resolve mounting global public policy challenges. The lack of governance capacity in global financial governance is somewhat paradoxical. At the most basic level of international cooperation, the domain should be seen as a considerable success: there is no shortage of institutions that getsucceed at getting financial policymakers at the table together. Held and Young 314 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 International cooperation operates within highly formal, multi- lateral administrative structures and within much less formal ‘club-based’ transnational governance institutions. While high-level multilateral forums exist, such as the IMF and the G20 (see Woods, this volume), many financial governance institutions are fundamentally ‘transnational’ in character, as they reflect cooperative efforts not between heads of state but rather between executive bodies such as national finance ministries, central banking authorities and national financial regulatory authorities (see Baker, 2009). Despite the existence of many institutions that facilitate the communication of national financial authorities with one another, taken together the existing set of institutions represents an arrangement which is, for most intents and purposes, relatively weak anda loose and highly fragmented. One network-based struc- ture. For example, a separate institution exists for the management of stock exchangessecurities regulation (the International Organization of Securities Commissioners), another for international accounting standards (the Inter- national Accounting Standards Board), one a separate institution for money laundering (the Financial Action Task Force), one for insurance (the Inter- national Association of Insurance Supervisors), and oneanother one altogether for banking regulation (the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision)), and another for financial conglomerates (the Joint Forum). Some institutions, such as the Bank for International Settlements, and the Financial Stability Forum (now the Financial Stability Board, discussed below), have existed as over- arching institutions which seek to monitor and conduct research on global financial risks and disseminate ideas. Yet, their ability to guide the existing constellation of institutions has been weak at best. As Bhattacharya (2009) notes, this collection of institutions resembles a ‘tangled web’. Such a gover- nance arrangement can be understood through the concept of ‘fragmentation’ (see Biermann et al, 2009). Frequently used within the global environmental governance and legal studies literature, as well as the literatureon international law, institutional fragmentation has come to be understood as a situation and a process whereby different institutions pursue governance objectives in often overlapping jurisdictional terms. The historical evolution of global financial governance can go a long way to explain this institutional fragmentation. While the protection of other areas of governance such as environmental governance and international security have had their activities ordered through UN auspices, institutions of global financial governance have amounted to much more ad-hoc arrangements, arising as informal informally as policy communities reactingreacted to particular collective problems at different times. More well-known institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had their beginnings firmly entrenched in the UN system, but other institutions just as vital to the govern- ance of international finance have not. For example, the Basel Committee on Global governance in crisis 315r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Banking Supervision was established in 1974 in direct reaction to the contagion effects of cross-border bank failures. Similarly, the Financial Stability Forum was established in 1999 after widespread concerns over the contagion of financial instability following the East Asian financial crises. Each of these institutions have housed their secretariats in the Bank for International Settlements, an institution originally established in 1930 with the initial remit to manage the system of German war reparations.6 Thus theexisting financial governance institutions that we have today reflect a slow process of institution- building and adaptation based on particular problems as they have emerged historically. Consolidation of institutional capacity – in the form of a centra- lized bureaucracy or even in most cases the strength of an international treaties to bind states’ commitments, has been generally lacking. Even in the context of the international cooperative efforts to combat terrorist financing where, as mentioned above, there have been considerable efforts since 9/11 for security purposes, UN member states have expressed concerns about the problematic duplication of UN efforts (Biersteker and Eckert, 2008, p. 252). To be sure, existing institutions have communicated with each other in important ways, and together these institutions have in some respects made important advances, such as the limitation of financial regulatory competition among states, the provision of emergency liquidity, or the occasional coordin- ation of monetary policies. In the midst of the 2008 financial shock, central banks were able to make use of international coordination structures that has built up successfully in previous decades. For example, immediately after the crash of Lehman Brothers, on 8 October 2008, the central banks of Canada, UK, US, Sweden and Switzerland, together with the European Central Bank jointly announced interest rate adjustments to compensate for the liquidity shock then occurring in financial markets. This was followed by interest rate cuts in Asia, in particular in China, and in Australia, and represented a relatively well-coordinated policy response that probably weakened the severity of the recession in important ways. Yet the capacity of this system to both detect and take action on the buildup of global financial risks has not been borne out. While the buildup of these risks can be traced back to particularities of the Anglo-American economies, it is notable that the existing institutions of global financial governance did not restrain them, but rather amplified the regulatory model from these countries and made them models for the global standard.7 Furthermore, as Mügge (2011) has recently pointed out, at crucial junctures during the financial crisis policy responses followed the logic of ‘dogmatism’ over ‘pragmatism’, as entrenched ideas about financial market regulation limited and conditioned the policy responses during the crisis. Pagliari (2012) has documented the shift in consolidating more authority to regulate financial markets since the crisis – a shift which has come with surprisingly strong continuity with the pre-crisis Held and Young 316 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 regulatory model. Yet even if one puts aside the policy biases of existing governance institutions, none of them, it can be noted, has possessed much power to actually take action on important regulatory issues, and instead have executed what has been called ‘soft law’ (see Abbott and Snidal, 2000) through the production of global standards and codes (see Gibbon et al, 2011; Young, 2011). It might be argued of course that the lack of supranational enforcement power results from the refusal to cede regulatory authority to a supranational agency (see Kahler and Lake, 2008). However another part of the problem arguably lies with the distinct lack of a centralized institution and the ad-hoc reliance on informal networks which are highly fragmented. During the height of the crisis, in autumn 2008, the lack of any proper multilateral forum to address the big global governance questions of the day meant that a new institution, barely known and barely relevant before this time, emerged to set the agenda: the G20. The G20 was actually a relatively ad- hoc construction in the first place, constructed in the aftermath of the East Asian financial crisis of 1997–1998 (see Germain, 2001). The G20 played a very minor governance role before the global financial crisis, and this allowed it to emerge in the context of the crisis as a high-profile institution without being seen as already illegitimate, as might have been the case with more technocratic transnational institutions or the IMF. The relatively greater balance of developing countries in the G20 gave the institution more buy-in from key emerging economies. As Li and Chen (2010, pp. 19–23) have documented, China has seen the G20 as a much more balanced and fruitful organ of multilateral governance than many other bodies, because it has a more representative fit between emerging and developed economies. Countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom have preferred the G20 as a high-level coordinating mechanismto other competing alternatives. As Wade (2012) has argued, the crisis saw considerable efforts within the UN General Assembly to offer high- level coordination, analysis and recommendations on global financial reform, yet high-level diplomatic efforts by the United States and the United Kingdom have often sought to undercut these efforts. Having said this, the problem with the G20 taking this the ad-hoc steering role for global financial governance during the crisis was that it lacked the kind of administrative structure to execute and enforce its marching orders. Rather than enforcement power or a functional bureaucracy, most of its institu- tional design for designed to facilitate high-profile communiques among politi- cians directed at the public and financial markets. The broad calls for reform that the G20 produced from September 2008 until October 2010 were taken up by the existing international standard setting bodies, and not coordinated by a centralized institution with a substantive administrative bureaucracy with which to carry this out. Thus financial regulatory reform even across the G20 has been highly variegated, with some countries instituting significant reforms, Global governance in crisis 317r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 others not. While unified approaches to the reform of banking regulation, for example, have been generated at the global level, different national governments (and the EU) have begun to cherry pick which of these standards they will implement and which not – undermining the idea of a global mini- mum floor ofstandards for financialregulation in the first place. This is not to say that some of the reforms which have taken place have not been significant. The IMF received a trebling of resources, as well as a general increase in Special Drawing Rights (see Woods, 2010). The G20’s call for participatory reform led to extensive reform of transnational bodies such as the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, the Committee on Payment and Settlement Systems and the Technical Committee of the International Orga- nization of Securities Commissions (see Helleiner and Pagliari, 2009, pp. 6–8). These changes are not merely cosmetic: they are important reforms. In many ways they represent a long overdue game of historical ‘catch up’, where reforms that should have taken place many years ago are finally made.8 Probably the most significant institutional change was the transformation of the Financial Stability Forum to the Financial Stability Board (FSB). The new institution was afforded a small secretariat, a full-time Secretary General, a Steering Committee, and three Standing Committees (see Germain, 2011). This more permanent administrative structure means that the FSB is more robust than its predecessor, but the extensity of its powers are still quite limited, as it is left to engage in monitoring activities and to make broad recommendations (Helleiner, 2010, p. 284). In policy terms, reforms which have taken place have been non-systemic in nature: because the existing systems of financial standards and codes have effectively constituted ‘soft law’ arrangements (see Abbott and Snidal, 2000), financial governance has still relied on the (often unreliable) collaboration of national governments to implement them, and for financial markets to use these standards and codes as signals of credibility and soundness (Kerwer, 2005). Incremental policy responses to govern- ance weaknesses are channeled through existing institutions, rather than through the generation of new ones that limit the governance weaknesses in the first place or address its underlying causes. For all the institutional innovation present within the system of global financial governance, the problem of institutional fragmentation has nevertheless persisted. An example here can be found in the way the financial crisis and the institutional reactions to it affected global trade: when the global financial system seized up, so did global trade financing. Yet instead of helping this situation, the response of some global governance institutions was to (unintentionally) make it worse. In an effort to shore up regulatory standards of banks, the design of the new Basel III Accord put new restrictions on the ability of banks to support flows of credit for trade financing purposes. This problem was recognized: not by the collection of financial regulators that sat on the Basel Committee, but by Held and Young 318 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 other groups far away in their own institutional silos. It took an extensive lobbying campaign by the International Chamber of Commerce, aided by the World Bank and the World Trade Organization to secure a change in new global financial regulations that addressed this problem – it wasn’t until 2011 that the new banking regulations were revised to address this problem. While such changes can be considered positive, this example helps to highlight the costs of institutional fragmentation. It is striking that such a negative effect wasn’t identified in advance, especially given what we know about global interconnectedness and the centrality of financial flows to the global economy. Policy errors are of course nothing new. And finance is an area notoriously difficult to effectively regulate, to say nothing of the challenges of governing finance at the global level. Yet what is striking about global financial govern- ance is the way in which new emergent problems are increasingly recognized but the capacity to systematically address them is not generated. In this regard, two particular areas stand out. The first of these is the now mainstream recognition that effective financial regulation has to take place on a macropru- dential basis. There is an increased recognition that financial crisis and financial regulation should be understood through the prism of ‘macroprudentialism’ (see Baker, 2012). What this means is that rather than seeking to regulate the activities of a single financial institution, the best way to regulate finance is to understand the banking system as a coherent, changing whole. The rise of macroprudentialism represents the recognition of a harder problem in that it is technically more difficult but requires much more coordination among different areas of finance and different national jurisdictions. Regulating a single bank is challenging enough, in particular when the bank is large, engages in complex transactions in many different countries. But regulating the banking system as a whole is even more challenging, because it means taking stock of banks’ interrelation- ships to the economy as a whole and seeing the ‘emergent-level’ processes at work in the complex adaptive system that is the financial system (see Haldane and May, 2011; Baker, 2012). Importantly, this new ‘macroprudential challenge’ befalling financial regulators cannot be tackled exclusively at the national level, because of the extreme interconnectivity of financial activity worldwide. Thus the concept naturally puts stress on the global dimension. In this vein, tackling financial regulation in a macroprudential way necessarily requires a certain level of global-level monitoring, regulation and enforcement that is very challenging under a highly fragmented global financial governance system which features a lack of enforcement capacity. A second governance challenge that has been put into much sharper relief since the crisis is the problematic nature of the relationship in world savings and demand – a problem often referred to as ‘global imbalances’. This problem is expressed in the disjointed pattern of current account deficits and surpluses Global governance in crisis 319r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 which have built up in the global economy in the last decade and a half. It reflects a disjuncture between the high consumption and demand of countries in Western Europe and North America and the low level of consumption in East Asia. Such a systemic problem has been widely recognized as ‘one of the main challenges facing the global economy and world community’ (Trichet, quoted in Reuters, 2011). Since the financial crisis, structural imbalances have been at the forefront of policy debates, and many have also made the argument that these imbalances contributed in a significant way to the financial crisis itself, as deficit countries were able to fuel their credit booms in large part thanks to high-saving surplus flows from East Asia.9 Despite this increasingly recognized problem, the capacity to address or even manage the problem of structural imbalances have proved severely wanting. A variety of policymakers from the IMF, the FSB, and leading states have all concluded that these global imbalances are extremely serious, and that ‘[l]eft unresolved, these problems could even sow the seeds of the next crisis’10 Transnational financial governance institutions such as the BIS and the FSB increasingly generate knowledge about how perverse the problem is: but there is a distinct lack of capacity to deal with the problem itself (see Bank for International Settlements, 2011). At the G20 meeting in Paris a much more modest proposal was accepted – specifically that countries would agree to a Mutual Assessment Process (MAP) in which public debt, fiscal deficits and private debt would constitute a set of warning indicators (IMF, 2011). There is no enforcement mechanism available, however. It is especially in this last regard that security sharesa common dynamic with finance. Just as in financial governance there has been an increased intellectual recognition of harder problems in our midst, so too in the security domain a shift in our paradigm of security has not been met with a commensurate institutional response. Where new and harder governance challenges have emerged, there has been some institutional adaptation – but this increasingly lags behind the increased recognition of the problem itself. Capacity problems in global security governance If the global financial system integrates a common infrastructure for the management and containment of creditfinancial crisis, the international security system ensures an arrangement for the management of conflict and violence. This domain of our shared existence, in Yet on a different plane, governance within both of these domains entails the reproduction of something more fundamental. While financial governance generates the infrastructural resource of credit which is essential to the functioning of modern capitalist economies, security provides the necessary means by which an even wider range of human capacities can thrive. In contrast to finance, financial Held and Young 320 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 governance, international security has a more well-known set of institutions and rules which govern it. Governance institutions in security are also much more formal than the network of mostly transnational institutions that pervade global financial governance. Reflecting a similar capacity problem to that in finance, these institutions have evolved over time, but most of their as new governance challenges have arisen. Yet in contrast to financial governance, which is relatively more fluid and changeable (perhaps because of its highly informal structure), most of the structure and content reflectsof international security arrangements reflect security dilemmas identified for a world which has passed in many decisive respects. From the period following the Second World War until 1989, the nature of national security was shaped decisively by the contest between the United States and the Soviet Union. The dominance of the US and the USSR as world powers, and the operation of alliances like NATO and the Warsaw Pact constrained decision-making for many states in the post-war years. In the post-Cold War world of the 1990s and the 2000s, the constraints upon state security policy have not been eradicated but reconfigured. Instead of bipolarity, the global system now exhibits more of the characteristics of a multipolar distribution of political-economic power. With the rise of many developing countries, in particular China, India and Brazil, there has been a marked shift away from the dominant positions of the US and Russia in the global order. Increasing multipolarity intersects with old power structures to create a much more contested and uncertain global politics. Within this more complex structure, while the strategic and foreign policy options confronting an individual state are still shaped by its location in the global power hierarchy, there is a great deal more indeterminacy and volatility in the system. This can be seen in the failure of many international negotiations, from Doha to Copenhagen, and in the fractious attempts to manage many armed conflicts, where dissensus and a clash of positions is much more common than a shared framework of interests. The governance of security is characterised by much more long established institutions than in finance, and there is a greater modicum of centralized control through UN auspices, from the UN Security Council to a plethora of related institutions and agencies. Yet, there is still considerable institutional fragmentation. There is now a widespread recognition that international law is applied inconsistently applied and has become an increasingly fragmented terrain (see Koskenniemi, 2006; Leathley, 2007). Moreover, informal group- ings of states proliferated in the 1990s in reaction to the increasing demands on the UN to adapt to the post-cold War world (Prantl, 2005). In the context of the failure of leading members of the UN to alter its formal and constitutional structures, these groups sought to establish alternative policy fora and regulatory initiatives, which often overlapped and competed with each other (see Hale and Held, 2011). Global governance in crisis 321r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Furthermore, the actual infrastructure of security provision, at an operational level, is itself highly dispersed: militaries remain organized on a national, rather than regional or multilateral basis, with vast duplication, overlap and waste of resources. In countries like the UK and the US, spending levels are now far in excess of any plausible defensive needs. With the exception perhaps of the US and China, however, no country is capable of acting independently in major conflicts or of intervening against regimes that threaten global peace and security – which makes existing defence positions and tactics quite baroque in some respects.11 Against this background, the way we conduct and organize military spending looks increasingly anachronistic – for example, total global spending on multilateral operations such as peacekeeping forces is less than 1 per cent of total global military expenditures, despite the growing and intense pressure on such forces12 In addition, the increased recognition of complex problems which now confront many security agendas – from terrorism and piracy to failed states and humanitarian disasters – are beyond the scope of a single nation-state to address; they are transborder, ‘intermestic’ problems (Rosenau, 1996). Yet the division of protective labor, i.e., security forces, is inadequately focused on addressing the new security challenges, and on the protection and maintenance of individual agency, i.e., upholding human rights and democratic standards. This further highlights the capacity gap between existing military capacities and those required by the demands placed upon it. Despite the evident failures of the Bush Doctrine to win consent and peace in Afghanistan and Iraq after 9/11, the capacity problem in global security runs deeper than disregard for effective multilateralism.13 The very instruments of international security provision are perversely oriented for a world that we no longer live in. Our military capacity and technologies are all geared to fighting wars in terms of combating physical forces in discrete and bounded space and time. At the present time, this model cannot deliver in many areas where security is most needed – , and as such there is a need to create military capacity which is based on cooperation and collaboration of armed forces. This poses not only important questions about the collaboration of, and sharing of, personnel, technology and intelligence. It also poses serious issues about how to link international security to human security more broadly – through commitments to sustainable development and social justice. The emphasis has to be not just on fighting wars, but securing the safety of human beings more generally (see Kaldor, 1998). In other words, substantial institutional capacity exists, but it is all too often the wrong kind of capacity.14 These problems point to a dynamic similar to that which has begun to emerge in financial governance. Changing modes of thinking and the recognition of complex global problems have served to raise urgent questions about the relevant capacities of existing institutional arrangements. This is underscored by the inadequacy of institutions which are oriented toward the Held and Young 322 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 new emergent paradigm in security human security. The principle of human security was first introduced by the UNDP World Development Report in 1994,but has been amended and refined since its inception.15 At its core, it sets out an agenda concerned to protect the basic prerequisites of human life. Alkire points out that ‘it does not cover all necessary, important, and profound aspects of human living. Rather, it identifies and protects a limited vital core of human activities and abilities’; namely, the ability to sustain life within a framework of the rule of law and according to human rights standards (Alkire, 2003, p. 3). This emerging paradigm has served, in principle, to subordinate state sovereignty in relation to human security concerns, whereby the vital interests of human beings are given priority over those of the state itself. The human security paradigm has significant earlier roots, which illuminate further aspects of its meaning. In the early decades of the postwar period the geopolitical position of the 1945 victors was protected and nurtured through the UN system itself, which entrenched their power while it claimed to represent all states on an equal basis (Held, 1995). Yet, within this affirmation of state power, sovereignty and interests, the seeds were laid for a new meaning of security and a reframed interstate order. The laws of war were increasingly complemented by the conventions on human rights which, in principle, recast the meaning of sovereignty itself (Held, 2004). Sovereignty was reshaped and reconceived, no longer as effective power, but as rightful authority; that is, authority that upholds fundamental democratic values and human rights standards. The law of war and the human rights regime combined to reform the meaning of power and violence in the postwar order, delimiting in principle not only the behavior of states during times of war, but of all state and non- state actors. Thus, the beginnings were established to rethink the meaning of security. In this context, security no longer means the protection of state interests and bounded territories in the interest of settled power relations. Rather, security comes to mean the protection and nurturing of each and every person’s interest in self-determination, human rights and fundamental freedoms. Accordingly, the history of security since 1945 is the history of the development of new conceptions which sought to unsettle the understanding of security as state security, and refocus it on the security of each and every person – on human security. The globalization process has nurtured these new modes of thinking, because of the new security threats and challenges it brings. As Cha (2000) has argued, globalization has changed the way we think about security, with dimensions such as non-physical security, the diversification of threats and the salience of identity now key factors in the way security is conceived. Over the past two decades the emerging paradigm of human security has increasingly become a driving force behind the UN’s official discourse (see Global governance in crisis 323r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Thérien, 2012; Owens, 2012). While many have pointed out thatthe gap between rhetoric and actual global policies is enormous (see Chandler, 2008), this shift is not entirely insignificant, not least of all because it has opened up a serious break in the traditional paradigm underlying the traditional conception of security (Thérien, 2012). The UN Trust Fund for Human Security administers nearly two hundred projects around the world that promote particular governance challenges related to the human security approach. Furthermore, there now exists an extensive network of governmental, academic and civil society organiza- tions all dedicated to funding and implementing the human security agenda (see Owens, 2012, p. 548; MacFarlane and Khong, 2006). Yet, these resources and institutional developments still pale in comparison to the size and continued gravity of the traditional, state-centric security agenda. Despite these the important shifts in thinking undergirding the human security approach, the capacity of existing global governance arrangements to implement a robust human security agenda is very limited. Existing military capacities remain drawn along state lines despite the growing need for multilateral forces more appro- priately designed to address contemporary security demands. The figure below illustrates this point by the scale of state-based military effortsby comparing the respective military expenditures (expressed in $million) of the five Permanent Members of the UN Security Council (P-5). countries. United States military expenditure has been increasing consistently since 1998. Of the P-5 countries France is the only one that has gradually decreased their military allocations over the past two decades. That observation aside, the trend is clearly one of increasing state military expenditureover the last decade; its spending remains vast and dwarfs the allocations made by other leading states. While France and the UK have contained their military allocations (made possible in part by expansive US military capacity) aggregate expenditure levels remain substantial (Table 1). These figures are in stark contrast to the resources allocated to collective forces, where total global spending on multilateral operations, such as peacekeeping, was recently recorded at just $8.2 billion, or 0.56 per cent of total military expenditures (SIPRI, 2010 in Held, 2010, p. 197). This paints an overall picture of the basic incongruence between the existing security capacities in the world, and the emerging demands placed upon it. Changing forms of conflict, as well as changing notions of security, require an updated capacity that is designed for context specific concerns; however, the inter- national community has yet to implement the kind of innovations that this would entail. The result has been the persistence and indeed expansive growth of nation-state militaries in lieu of effective investment in collective forces. This situation stands In in stark contrast to reality that of the 16 major armed conflicts that were active in 15 locations around the world in 2008, not one was a major interstate conflict (SIPRI, 2009, p. 69). Held and Young 324 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 The mismatch between existing capacity for addressing security and the demands placed before it is a daunting challenge. States’ interests remain aligned along sovereign lines delineating their control and autonomy. Thus, attempting to build consensus around practical reforms and alternative capacities has been too difficult a task for the international community. This is a problem highlighted by the confrontation of state-centric interests with prevailing universal human rights standards; wherein global governance of collective security is administered by supranational bodies and focused on the protection of individual sovereignty. The contemporary management of security is at a considerable distance from being appropriately designed to uphold both the laws of war and human right regimes. While elements of a universal constitutional framework exist, military capacity is neither appro- priately designed nor operationalized to uphold them adequately. Hence, while the emergence of the human security paradigm represents a major paradig- matic transformation, it has remained all too often a shift of principle only. The situation on the ground often falls short of what has been proclaimed as a new universal mission. The realities of security are far more complex; a commitment to protect individuals from pervasive illegitimate violence, pushing state security into a subordinate position to individual security, has yet to be fulfilled in any systematic and impartial way. Conclusion This article has examined some of the similarities between security and finance from a global governance perspective. We have highlighted a number of interrelationships in these two seeminglydisparate domains: both concern the governance of what we have called ‘infrastructural’ resources, and gover- nance in both domains has featured an increasingly ‘risk-based’ discourse focused on complex global challenges..and market-based governance rationalities. Table 1: Military expenditures by country (P-5), in $million Country 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 China 17 200 20 000 32 100 62 100 114 300 France 67 930 62 566 59 508 62 724 61 285 Russia 232 546 29 427 25 977 38 669 52 586 UK 57 874 48 447 45 549 52 579 57 424 USA 502 749 392 601 375 893 552 966 687 105 Source: SIPRI Military Expenditure Database 2011; Figures are in millions of US dollars, at constant 2009 prices and exchange rates, except for the last column which is in 2010 prices and exchange rates. Global governance in crisis 325r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 The most important similarity, however, has been with respect to the inade- quacies of existing global governance arrangements. Our analysis focused on what we called capacity problems – resulting not just from weaknesses of centralized authority as such, but from broader problems of governance capacity. The capacity problems characterizing both security and finance, we have argued, have become more severe in recent years due to the emergence of new emergent paradigms in the way that risk and governance are conceived. In this guise, global governance arrangements in security and finance have improved upon past shortcomings in recent years, but such improvements are incremental while the governance challenges they face call for more deep-seated, structural reform. The fact that new paradigmatic challenges to prevailing ways of thinking have emerged in both finance and security highlights a feature which may extend to broader dynamics within contemporary global governance. Two features stand out in this regard. First, new ways of thinking such as macroprudentialism in finance and the human security paradigm in security increasingly stand in stark contrast to prevailing governance arrangements. Both can be sutured onto existing governance arrangements to a certain extent, but to fulfill the task of either the macroprudential turn or true human security a broader transformation of governance practices is warranted. Existing institutional arrangements within the institutions of global governance no doubt benefit a whole host of vested interests; thus actors seeking to realize new paradigmatic shifts will need an appropriate coalition of interests behind them in order to forge real and meaningful transformations in the way governance institutions operate. Second, the mounting capacity problems in finance and security are, paradoxically, a result of the very success of the previous post-war institutional order. It is important to recall that the UN system can legitimately claim some credit for preventing another calamitous world war, and that the multilateral order, more broadly, allowed for decades of relative uninterrupted prosperity. Set against the backdrop of persisting tensions of the Cold War, the UN’s mechanisms, institutions and laws bound states together in a common frame- work that created sufficient geo-political stability for the continued acceleration of global interdependence: and, although there were many serious conflicts, they did not develop into major global conflagrations. This basic stability became the foundation for unprecedented economic integration, which in turn created new challenges for regulation and design. The security crisis of the World War II catalyzed a degree of cooperation among states greater than ever before. As this cooperation was institutionalized, global interdependence grew, in both its intensity and extensity – resulting in ever more complex forms of interconnect- edness. As such, the governance challenges highlighted here in finance and security – and indeed in other domains as well – are not problems which simply Held and Young 326 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 underscore the need for international cooperation per se In the face of new emergent risks, the problems of governance capacity highlighted here are pro- blems of success and need to be conceptualized as such. While the post-war institutional structure can be credited with many succes- ses, it has also given rise to a new set of challenges that its designers could not have foreseen. These challenges span a series of pressing global concerns includ- ing the issues that have preoccupied this article: financial market instability and changing forms of insecurity. The manner in which these problems are addressed is contingent on proceeding institutional innovations. While these institutions help create a problem-solving context for some issues, they create failures elsewhere. We currently face serious shortcomings in the institutional capacities of global governance arrangements for finance and security, which prevent the new challenges of the contemporary period being met. As a result, institutional failures and persistent capacity shortcomings will continue to haunt policy makers in both of these domains. About the Authors David Held is Master of University College, Durham and Professor of Politics and International Relations at Durham University. His main research interests include the study of globalization, changing forms of democracy and the prospects of regional and global governance. Among his most recent publications are Gridlock: Why Global Cooperation is Failing When We Need It Most (2013), Cosmopolitanism: Ideals and Realities (2010), Globalisation/ Anti-Globalisation (2007), Models of Democracy (2006), Global Covenant (2004), Global Transformations: Politics, Economics and Culture (1999), and Democracy and the Global Order: From the Modern State to Cosmopolitan Governance (1995). Kevin Young is Assistant Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Massachusetts Amherst. His research focuses on interna- tional political economy, in particular the role of interest groups in financial regulation and transnational policy networks. His research appears in Public Administration, Review of International Political Economy and Regulation and Governance. Notes 1 As Tsingou (2010, p. 623) has pointed out, the IMF has only been a reluctant participant in anti-money-laundering efforts, often simply ‘piggy-backing’ money laundering issues on top of their other efforts. Global governance in crisis 327r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 2 As Biersteker and Eckert (2008, p. 252) document, proposals to put together a new institution within the US system to specifically target terrorist finance have been disregarded both by the G8 and by the UN Secretary General. 3 See Diprose et al (2008); Debrix and Lacy (2009, pp. 4–5). As Aradau et al (2008) have reminded us, the concept of risk within the study of international security emerged at the end of the Cold War when major states as well as international organizations such as NATO and the UN increasingly referred to the collective security environment in terms of risks where they had once referred to dangers and threats. 4 Rather than a simple set of institutions or rather just a system of institutions, both security and finance are characterized by webs of institutions, operating much like the ‘regime complex’ notion increasingly foregrounding discussions of the changing global order (see Raustiala and Victor, 2004). 5 Some of the empirical examples in this section draw from Hale, Held and Young (2013) and Held and Young (2011), in which we have explored the concept of fragmentation more thoroughly in these and other governance domains, as well as other institutional-organizational problems of global governance. 6 In subsequent decades it expanded to focus on international financial cooperation among centralbankers, and to conduct research and disseminate monetary policy ideas. 7 For example, strong confidence in banks’ own internal risk assessments was a cornerstone of both the Federal Reserve in the US and the Financial Services Authority in the UK, and this confidence was often translated into the global regulatory standards for banking in the Basel II Capital Accord. 8 See Held and Young 2011. 9 For a useful review, see Borio and Disyatat, 2011. Their argument, a variation on a common theme, is that the excess elasticity of the international financial system failed to restrain the build-up of unsustainable credit and asset price booms. 10 Strauss-Kahn quoted in IFC Review (2011) 11 See, for example, the early critique in Kaldor (1982). 12 According to data for 2008, total global spending on multilateral operations such as peacekeeping forces was just $8.2 billion, or 0.56 per cent of total global military expenditures (SIPRI, 2009). 13 On the consequences of US multilateralism, and it’s dynamic relationship with the decline of US soft power in international affairs, see Cox and Quinn (2008, p. 204–213) and Slaughter and Hale (2008, pp. 176–186). 14 Learning has been slow but now some of the world’s most senior military figures have taken up the challenge and are changing the way warfare is being conceived. For example, see Petraeus (2010) 15 The UNDP Human Development Report’s initial articulation of human security included two distinct elements: ‘1) Safety from chronic threats such as hunger, disease and repression. 2) Protection from sudden and hurtful disruptions in the patterns of daily life – whether in jobs, in homes or in communities’: that is freedom from want and freedom from fear (see UNDP, 1994 and Alkire, 2003 for reference). References Abbott, K. and Snidal, D. (2000) Hard and soft law in international governance. International Organization 54(3): 421–456. Abdelal, R. (2000) Sovereign wealth in Abu Dhabi. Geopolitics 14(2): 317–327. Held and Young 328 r 2013 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1384-5748 International Politics Vol. 50, 3, 309–332 Alkire, S. (2003) A Conceptual Framework for Human Security. Working Paper 2, Center for Research on Inequality, Human Security and Ethnicity (CRISE), Oxford University. Amicelle, A. 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