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Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Ocean and Coastal Management journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ocecoaman An assessment for developing resilience capacity of Tasmanian coastal governance Javad Jozaeia,∗, Michael Mitchella,b aGeography and Spatial Science Discipline, School of Technology, Environments and Design, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 78, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia b Institute for Land, Water and Society, Charles Sturt University, PO Box 789, Albury, NSW 2640, Australia A R T I C L E I N F O Keywords: Coastal governance Resilience thinking Social-ecological systems Resilience capacity Adaptability Transformability Panarchy A B S T R A C T Scholars argue that conventional environmental governance approaches have not been effective in reversing or slowing the deterioration of coupled social-ecological systems (SESs). Recent research suggests that resilience thinking offers a useful framework to analyse problems in SESs and could help improve the effectiveness of associated governance systems. Much of the available literature explores this from a theoretical perspective, identifying advantages from resilience thinking to improve governance of SESs. This paper builds on this lit- erature, creating a set of attributes that are used to assess the specific challenges of a particular multi-level Tasmanian coastal governance context, and thus clarify where intervention responses are best directed. In this context, a low level of resilience capacity was apparent across the entire governance system. At the national level, we determined that knowledge management and sharing processes, and the diversity of expertise were the only attributes contributing to resilience capacity, with other attributes insufficiently developed to support any level of resilience. The performance was similarly poor at the Tasmanian state level, with leadership, adaptive planning, organisational flexibility and a supportive legislation framework at critically low capacity. Inter-or- ganisational attributes also required significant improvement. On the other hand, a regional natural resource management body and two coastal local governments demonstrated attributes supportive of resilience capacity, including aspects related to leadership, transparent decision-making, stakeholder engagement, organisational learning, knowledge sharing and flexibility. These findings confirm that resilience thinking can offer practical suggestions for how to improve governance of this, particularly challenging context. 1. Introduction Coastal areas are transition spaces where land and marine ecosys- tems interact, and have become significant foci for ecological, social, economic, cultural, and political concerns. Like all social-ecological systems (SESs), coastal areas are influenced by multiple social and environmental drivers of change. In coastal areas, these drivers include sea level rise, coastal inundation, erosion, population growth, human development and climate change (Kay and Alder, 2005; Moser et al., 2012; Nobre, 2011; Valiela, 2006). In the last few decades, a variety of management-oriented instruments have been developed to respond to coastal problems including Integrated Coastal Zone Management plans (ICZM), shoreline management plans and marine spatial planning. ICZM – as a set of guidelines, principles, instruments and methods that informs sustainable coastal development – has emerged in response to the inconsistency of management activities in coastal areas (Clark, 1995; Fabbri, 1998; Harvey and Caton, 2010; Soriani et al., 2015). Management, however, can be understood as the practical operation of decision-making that is determined by an overarching regime or context. Governance emerged as the preferred term to convey the complex relations determining this overarching regime (Dietz et al., 2003). It refers to the “interactions among structures, processes and traditions that determine how power and responsibilities are exercised, how decisions are taken, and how citizens and other stakeholders have their say” (Graham et al., 2003, ii). Research exploring governance has become particularly pertinent as institutional arrangements move away from decision-making, policy development, planning and management led by government towards a regime of lean government and multiple actors in society increasingly sharing power with governments in de- cision-making and program delivery (Stoker, 1998). Management is also perceived as having a semantic association with command-and- control decision-making mindsets, whereas governance has become associated with collaboration, adaptive capacity and devolution of control and responsibility. The restrictions and limitations of a management-oriented mindset in addressing complex social and political problems have been widely https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.06.014 Received 27 October 2017; Received in revised form 8 June 2018; Accepted 14 June 2018 ∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: javad.jozaei@utas.edu.au (J. Jozaei). Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 Available online 19 June 2018 0964-5691/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. T lord_ Sublinhado Uma avaliação para desenvolver a capacidade de resiliência da governança costeira na Tasmaniana lord_ Realce nullOs estudiosos argumentam que as abordagens convencionais de governança ambiental não foram eficazes em reverter ou retardar a deterioração dos sistemas sócio-ecológicos acoplados (SESs). Pesquisas recentes sugerem que o pensamento de resiliência oferece uma estrutura útil para analisar problemas em SESs e pode ajudar a melhorar a eficácia dos sistemas de governança associados. lord_ Realce Grande parte da literatura disponível explora isso de uma perspectiva teórica, identificando vantagens do pensamento de resiliência para melhorar a governança dos SESs. Este artigo baseia-se nesta literatura, criando um conjunto de atributos que são usados para avaliar os desafios específicos de um contexto de governança costeira da Tasmanian em vários níveis e, assim, esclarecer onde as respostas de intervenção são melhor direcionadas. lord_ Sublinhado Nesse contexto, um baixo nível de capacidade de resiliência foi evidente em todo o sistema de governança. lord_ Sublinhado No nível nacional, determinamos que os processos de gestão e compartilhamento de conhecimento e a diversidade de conhecimentos eram os únicos atributos que contribuíam para a capacidade de resiliência, com outros atributos insuficientemente desenvolvidos para suportar qualquer nível de resiliência. O desempenho foi similarmente ruim no nível estadual da Tasmânia, com liderança, planejamento adaptativo, flexibilidade organizacional e uma estrutura de legislação de apoio com capacidade criticamente baixa. lord_ Sublinhado Essas descobertas confirmam que o pensamento de resiliência pode oferecer sugestões práticas de como melhorar a governança desse contexto particularmente desafiador. lord_ Realce nullAs áreas costeiras são espaços de transição onde os ecossistemas terrestres e marinhos interagem e se tornaram focos significativos para preocupações ecológicas, sociais, econômicas, culturais e políticas. Como todos os sistemas socioecológicos (SESs), as áreas costeiras são influenciadas por múltiplos fatores sociais e ambientais de mudança. lord_ Realce Nas áreas costeiras, esses fatores incluem aumento do nível do mar, inundação costeira, erosão, crescimento populacional,nulldesenvolvimento e mudança climática lord_ Realce Nas últimas décadas, vários instrumentos orientados para a gestão foram desenvolvidos para responder a problemas costeiros, incluindo planos de gestão integrada da zona costeira (ICZM), planos de gestão da linha costeira e ordenamento do espaço marítimo.nullICZM lord_ Realce lord_ Realce A administração, no entanto, pode ser entendida como a operaçãoprática da tomada de decisão que é determinada por um regime ou contexto abrangente. null lord_ Realce nullA governança emergiu como o termo preferido para transmitir as relações complexas que determinam esse regime abrangentenullnullRefere-se às “interações entre estruturas, processos e tradições que determinam como o poder e as responsabilidades são exercidos,nullcomo as decisões são tomadas e como os cidadãos e outras partes interessadas podem opinar ” discussed in the scholarship. Soriani et al. (2015) identify the draw- backs of application of ICZM in dealing with social and political com- plexity in the Mediterranean Sea and Black Sea area. Research indicates that management systems are more concerned about technical issues and finer scale implementation to achieve a particular outcome (Armitage et al., 2012; Ludwig, 2001; Pahl-Wostl, 2009). Issues such as insufficient appreciation of the complexity of social-ecological systems (SESs), uncertainties associated with social and environmental drivers of change, and domination of command-and-control approaches create particular challenges for effective decision-making, policy develop- ment, planning and management involving coastal areas (Craig and Ruhl, 2010; Kay and Alder, 2005; Nobre, 2011). Thissen (2010) in- dicates that a responsive coastal planning and management system should allow for representation of multiple stakeholder interests and cross-scale interactions, address scale mismatches, and accommodate the complexity of SES dynamics and uncertainty of changes. With the recognition of the drawbacks of conventional environ- mental management approaches and the need for more collaborative attitudes in environmental decision-making, scholars have identified requirements for incorporating the concept of governance into en- vironmental research and practice (Armitage et al., 2012; Ludwig, 2001; Pelling, 2010). New forms of environmental governance have emerged as a response to political, economic, social and ethical con- siderations in environmental decision-making and policy development (Adger et al., 2003; Holley et al., 2011; Lockwood et al., 2010). Over the last few decades, variants of devolved, multi-level and polycentric governance have been widely recommended as a response to environ- mental and natural resource issues, including biodiversity conservation (Lockwood et al., 2014; Mitchell et al., 2015), terrestrial and marine protected areas (Lockwood, 2010; Lockwood et al., 2012), natural re- source management (Clement, 2010), fisheries management (Allison et al., 2012; Jentoft, 2007), and coastal decision-making (Milligan & O'Riordan, 2007). Rather than investigate the practical, managerial operations that underpin decision-making processes related to coastal governance, this paper therefore explores the potential that the concept of resilience and the framing of resilience thinking could deliver an appropriate mindset to establish a more effective environmental and coastal governance regime (Armitage and Johnson, 2006; Benson and Garmestani, 2011; Walker and Salt, 2006). We use resilience thinking to identify a set of attributes that might offer directions towards more effective environ- mental and coastal governance arrangements through improved con- sideration of system complexity, change and uncertainty, and cross- scale interactions (Berwick, 2007; Duxbury and Dickinson, 2007; Hopkins et al., 2011). We use these attributes to evaluate the over- arching regime determining the processes and mechanisms of coastal governance in Tasmania, and thus offer directions for where interven- tions are required. The next section (Section 2) introduces the concept of resilience and the framing of resilience thinking, and uses this to establish a set of attributes for coastal governance regime with improved in-built resi- lience capacity. We then outline the methods used to analyse Tasma- nian coastal governance (section 3), and introduce the Tasmanian case study and its governance arrangements (Section 4). The findings (Sec- tion 5) are presented in three subsections: assessment of the importance of attributes for each of the key governance actors; assessment of the performance by each actor against these attributes; and what this means in terms of the resilience capacity of the Tasmanian coastal governance regime. This allows us to discuss broad strategies needed to foster improved resilience capacity (Section 6). 2. Resilience thinking and the design of a set of attributes for resilience-based coastal governance Since Holling (1973) introduced the concept of resilience to the field of ecology, the idea has become a favoured approach in addressing multi-disciplinary contexts including urban planning (Alberti and Marzluff, 2004; Cartalis, 2014), disaster management (Boin et al., 2010), and coastal planning and development (Flood and Schechtman, 2014; Kaltenborn et al., 2017). During this time, resilience has evolved from a concept indicating an intrinsic property or feature of a system (Gunderson, 2000), to an approach for social-ecological assessment within a sustainability paradigm (Carpenter et al., 2001; Walker, 2005; Walker et al., 2004), and finally to an overarching “frame of mind” (Walker and Salt, 2012) and a “higher order thinking” (Fazey, 2010) that complements and could potentially replace the sustainability ap- proach (Benson and Craig, 2014). Conventional definitions of resilience concern the quality of re- sponses that a complex self-organising system develops to adapt to drivers of change, as well as the capacity to bounce back and maintain its identity (Carpenter et al., 2001; Holling, 1986, 2001). In this respect, Holling (1996) discusses a distinction between system “resilience” and “stability”, where stability is a system's capacity to recover and return to its near equilibrium state after a disturbance, and resilience illus- trates a system's “persistence” to maintain its identity and function (Gunderson, 2000; Holling, 1996). Attempts to incorporate the concept of resilience in social-ecological analysis commenced in the early 2000s (Berkes et al., 2000; Carpenter et al., 2001; Holling, 2001). At that time, the notion of social-ecological resilience evolved from ecological resilience and was explained through heuristics such as the adaptive cycle and adaptive capacity (Carpenter et al. 2001, 2005; Folke, 2006; Walker et al., 2002). Social-ecological resilience aims to deliver a better understanding of system complexity and dynamics, reduce vulnerability, and enhance the adaptability of an SES to the uncertainty of drivers of change (Berkes et al., 2003; Folke et al., 2002; Walker et al., 2004). With increasing recognition of the inevitability or desirability of fundamental system change, the idea of transformation and “bouncing forward” has also been incorporated into resilience definitions (Folke et al., 2010; Walker et al., 2004). To respond to the requirement for a more holistic, flexible and effective approach for dealing with drivers of social and environmental change and uncertainty, Walker and Salt (2006) coined the term “resilience thinking” to challenge the conven- tional fragmented thinking style in environmental and natural resource management, and indicate requirements for a broader, holistic and more inclusive “frame of mind”. Since then, resilience thinking has been widely appreciated as a useful overarching approach in environ- mental research and practice (Benson and Craig, 2014; Folke et al., 2010; Xu et al., 2015). This framing of resilience thinking integrates the ideas of SES complexity (Cote and Nightingale, 2012), adaptability and transform- ability (Folke et al., 2010; Walker et al., 2004), and adaptive cycle and panarchy (Garmestani et al., 2009; Gunderson and Holling, 2001). Rather than “resilience” as a quantifiable “property of a system”, or a specific capacity to achievea particular and planned outcome, “resi- lience thinking” addresses capacities, rationales, mechanisms and pro- cesses that enable adaptive and transformative decision-making in a governance system (Benson and Craig, 2014; Janssen et al., 2007; O'Connell et al., 2015; Walker and Salt, 2006). A number of terms have been used to indicate modes of governance that accord with resilience thinking, including adaptive governance (Dietz et al., 2003; Duit et al., 2010; Walker et al., 2004); resilient governance (Termeer et al., 2011); resilience governance (Walker, 2005) and resilience-based governance (Garmestani and Benson, 2013). Research suggests that governance design for environmental and coastal SES can usefully be framed by resilience thinking (Sutton-Grier et al., 2015; Walker and Salt, 2012). The term adaptive governance could cause semantic confusion by giving exclusive emphasis to a re- quirement for adaptability and undermine the potential need to address system transformability. Resilient governance implies a mode of gov- ernance that is resilient in the face of change, rather than having the capacity to respond appropriately to change. This paper, therefore, J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 131 lord_ Realce Durante esse tempo, a resiliência evoluiu de um conceito que indica uma propriedade ou característica intrínseca de um sistema (Gunderson, 2000)nullnull para uma abordagem de avaliação sócioecológica dentro de um paradigma de sustentabilidade (Carpenter et al., 2001; Walker, 2005; Walker et al., 2004)nullnull e, finalmente, a um “estado de espírito” abrangente (Walker and Salt, 2012) e um “pensamento de ordem superior” (Fazey, 2010) que complementa e poderia substituir a abordagem de sustentabilidade (Benson e Craig, 2014). lord_ Realce As definições convencionais de resiliência dizem respeito à qualidade das respostas que um sistema complexo de auto-organização desenvolve para se adaptar aos fatores de mudança, bem como a capacidade de se recuperar e manter sua identidade lord_ Sublinhado nullNesse sentido, Holling (1996) discute uma distinção entre sistema de “resiliência” e “estabilidade”, onde estabilidade é a capacidade de um sistema de se recuperar e retornar ao seu estado de equilíbrio após uma perturbação, e a resiliência ilustra a “persistência” de um sistema para manter sua identidade e função establishes a set of attributes to identify how to establish ‘resilience- based governance’; i.e., a mode of governance where resilience thinking is adopted as the main framework for decision-making, resulting in collective and collaborative mechanisms that embrace the complexity and dynamics of SESs and deliver responsive strategies that enhance SES resilience, adaptability and transformability. 2.1. Identification of attributes for resilience-based coastal governance We reviewed the literature to identify attributes contributing to the development of resilience-based coastal governance. These attributes should address the key features of the coastal SESs including resilience, adaptability, transformability and panarchy; good governance criteria such as polycentricity, fairness, collaboration and power relations; and the uncertainty of interacting environmental, social, economic and political drivers of change. The literature review, together with a pre- analysis of case study coastal SESs, led to the nomination of 16 key attributes, as shown in Table 1. 3. Methods A qualitative research design was adopted given the complex characteristics and features of the research concepts. Qualitative re- search attempts to deal with the problem of “complexity” rather than “complicatedness” and aims to evaluate different interpretations of complex phenomena (Denzin and Lincoln, 2005; Robinson, 1998). A combination of inductive and deductive reasoning systems was de- ployed to conceptualise a resilience-based coastal governance ar- rangement and explain its features and characteristics (Bryman, 2015; Walton, 2014). Triangulation of methods and a mixed method approach were used to collect data from multiple sources, thereby increasing the richness of the data and reliability of the findings (Bryman, 2015; Pierce, 2008). The methods used to study the case study governance arrangements were a literature review, an online survey, and semi-structured inter- views. Documents were reviewed to analyse the dynamics of the Tas- manian coastal governance including the main influential governance Table 1 Attributes for resilience-based Tasmanian coastal governance. Organisational attributes Description Sources Knowledge acquisition processes Processes to collect or generate knowledge from a range of disciplines and sources, including scientific, political, economic, social, cultural, traditional and local knowledge Dietz et al., 2003 Hahn et al., 2006 Knowledge management processes Processes that store and deliver knowledge, while controlling quality and ensuring currency Lockwood et al., 2010 Mitchell et al., 2015 Knowledge sharing processes Processes that ensure knowledge is shared with other actors Elbakidze et al., 2010 Berkes 2009 Diversity of expertise Availability of personnel skilled in environmental, social and economic matters of relevance to the coastal zone Armitage and Plummer 2010 Lengnick-Hall and Beck 2005 Organisational flexibility The ability of organisational structures and processes to change in response to changing internal or external conditions Folke et al., 2005 Mitchell et al., 2015 Duit et al., 2010 Armitage et al., 2012 Organisational learning The capacity of the institution to learn from previous experience, as well as from consideration of plausible futures, challenges and response options Armitage et al., 2012 Pahl-Wostl 2009 Lengnick-Hall and Beck 2005 Leadership for change (entrepreneurial leadership) Leadership on coastal issues that promotes innovation and identifies strategies that take advantage of new opportunities Lengnick-Hall and Beck 2005 Leadership for securing outcomes Leadership that works to secure wide political and community support for coastal management strategies, and resources to implement these strategies Folke et al., 2005 Olsson et al., 2006 Lockwood et al., 2012 Transparent decision-making processes Decision-making processes for coastal issues that allow stakeholders to see what decisions are being made, as well as the rationales for these decisions Lockwood et al., 2012 Armitage et al., 2012 Stakeholder engagement processes Engagement processes for coastal issues that use appropriate methods to allow and encourage all stakeholders to contribute to decision-making Lebel et al., 2006 Brondizio et al., 2009 Folke et al., 2005 Conflict resolution mechanisms Mechanisms that provide effective means to address conflicts within the organisation, and with external stakeholders Folke et al., 2005 Lockwood et al., 2012 Dietz et al., 2003 Supportive legislation Legislation relevant to the coast that establishes goals, processes, and standards while allowing flexibility to respond to change – legislation is established by state and federal governments only Mitchell et al., 2015 Garmestani and Benson 2013 Folke et al., 2005 Adaptive planning and management Processes that set measurable objectives, identify and implement strategies to achieve these objectives, monitor outcomes, adjust knowledge base on evidence from monitoring, and foster improved performance over time Folke et al., 2002, 2005 Walker 2005 Lockwood et al., 2010 Chaffin et al., 2014 Inter-organisational attributes Organisational cooperation and coordination Processes and agreements that foster connections, cooperation and coordination across multiple levels and scales of coastal governance – includes links at relevant governance levels with NGOs, community groupsand the business sector Duit et al., 2010 Folke et al., 2005 Mitchell et al., 2015 Lockwood et al., 2010 Lockwood 2010 Organisational partnerships Collaborative arrangements with other authorities and stakeholder organisations that address coastal issues – includes partnership links at relevant governance levels with NGOs, community groups and the business sector Duit et al., 2010 Folke et al., 2005 Mitchell et al., 2015 Distribution of power Arrangements that distribute power across multiple levels and scales of coastal governance – assessed between local, regional, state and federal governance levels Folke et al., 2005 Armitage et al., 2012 Lockwood et al., 2012 J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 132 lord_ Realce Atributos da governança costeira da Tasmânia baseada em resiliência. lord_ Realce nullProcessos de aquisição de conhecimento: nullnullProcessos para coletar ou gerar conhecimento de diversas disciplinas e fontes, incluindo conhecimento científico, político, econômico, social, cultural, tradicional e local lord_ Realce Processos de gestão do conhecimento:nullnullProcessos que armazenam e fornecem conhecimento, enquanto controlam a qualidade e garantem a moeda lord_ Realce Processos de compartilhamento de conhecimento:nullnullProcessos que garantem que o conhecimento seja compartilhado com outros atores lord_ Realce Diversidade de expertise:nullnullDisponibilidade de pessoal especializado em questões ambientais, sociais e econômicas relevantes para a zona costeira lord_ Realce nullFlexibilidade Organizacional:nullnullA capacidade de mudanças nas estruturas e processos organizacionais em resposta a mudanças nas condições internas ou externas lord_ Realce Aprendizagem Organizacional:nullnullA capacidade da instituição de aprender com a experiência anterior, bem como a partir da consideração de futuros, desafios e opções de resposta plausíveis lord_ Realce Liderança para mudança (liderança empreendedora): nullnullLiderança em questões costeiras que promove a inovação e identifica estratégias que aproveitamnullNovas oportunidades lord_ Realce Liderança para garantir resultados:nullnullLiderança que trabalha para garantir amplo apoio político e comunitário às estratégias de gestão costeira e recursos para implementar essas estratégias lord_ Realce Processos transparentes de tomada de decisão: Processos de tomada de decisão para questões costeiras que permitem aos interessados ver quais decisões estão sendo tomadas, bem como as justificativas para essas decisões lord_ Realce Processos de engajamento das partes interessadas:nullnullProcessos de engajamento para questões costeiras que usam métodos apropriados para permitir e encorajar todas as partes interessadas a contribuir para a tomada de decisõe lord_ Realce Mecanismos de resolução de conflitos:nullnullMecanismos que fornecem meios efetivos para abordar conflitos dentro da organização e com partes interessadas externas lord_ Realce Legislação de apoio:nullnullLegislação relevante para o litoral que estabelece metas, processos e padrões, ao mesmo tempo em que permite flexibilidade para responder à mudança - a legislação é estabelecida apenas pelos governos estadual e federal lord_ Realce Planejamento e gerenciamento adaptativo:nullnullProcessos que estabelecem objetivos mensuráveis, identificam e implementam estratégias para atingir esses objetivos, monitoram os resultados, ajustam a base de conhecimento sobre evidências do monitoramento e promovem melhor desempenho ao longo do tempo lord_ Realce Atributos interorganizacionaisnullCooperação organizacional enullcoordenação:nullnullProcessos e acordos que fomentam conexões, cooperação e coordenação em vários níveis e escalas de governança costeira - incluem vínculos em níveis relevantes de governança com ONGs, grupos comunitários e o setor empresarial lord_ Realce Parcerias Organizacionais:nullnullAcordos de colaboração com outras autoridades e organizações de partes interessadas que lidam comnullquestões - inclui laços de parceria em níveis de governança relevantes com ONGs, grupos comunitários enullo setor empresarial lord_ Realce Distribuição de poder:nullnullArranjos que distribuem poder entre múltiplos níveis e escalas de governança costeira - avaliadosnullentre os níveis de governança local, regional, estadual e federal lord_ Realce Os atributos mapeados na tabela 1, fazem parte da literatura e devem abordar as principais características dos SESs costeiros, incluindo resiliência, adaptabilidade, capacidade de transformação e panarquia; bons critérios de governançanullcomo policentrismo, justiça, colaboração e relações de poder; enulla incerteza de integraçãonull ambiental, social, econômica e denullimpulsionadores políticos da mudança. lord_ Realce Uma pesquisa qualitativa foi adotado dadas as complexas características e conceitos envolvidos na pesquisa levels/organisations, mechanisms of their influence, and key social and environmental drivers of change. Scholarly literature was analysed to identify key attributes of resilience capacity and their utility for in- forming the development of resilience-based governance. An online survey was used to obtain expert judgements on the sig- nificance attributes identified through the literature review, as well as assess the performance of Tasmanian coastal governance against these attributes. The online tool, Survey Monkey, was used to implement the survey. A multi-page questionnaire was created in the Survey Monkey environment, one attribute to a page. Each page contained a brief ex- planation of the attribute, and two related question sets. The first asked participants to identify the importance of each attribute for developing resilience-based coastal governance in Tasmania or improving its resi- lience capacity. The six response options ranged from “Not Important” to “Very Important”, as well as an “I do not know/Not applicable” option. The second question asked participants to assess the perfor- mance of key organisations against the attributes. These organisations were the Australian Government Department of the Environment and Energy (DEE); the Tasmanian State level agencies Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment (DPIPWE), Department of Premier and Cabinet (DPAC) and Tasmanian Planning Commission (TPC); the intra-state natural resource management (NRM) body, NRM South; and Clarence, Huon Valley, and Kingborough local governments. The six response options ranged from “Very Poor” to “Desirable” as well as an “I do not know/Not applicable” option. Survey participants were selected on the basis of having relevant experience and knowledge of Tasmanian coastal systems, including representatives from Tasmanian Government agencies, local govern- ments, the private sector, academia and non-government organisations (NGOs). Potential participants were sent an email inviting their parti- cipation, a survey information sheet and a link to the online survey. Out of 200 potential participants, 91 accepted the invitation and responded to the survey: a 45% response rate. Finally, a series of semi-structured interviews were conducted to validate the results of the literature review and survey (Yin, 2011). A series of non-leading open-ended questions were developed to elicit the features and requirements of a resilience-based governance arrange- ment in Tasmania and consider the concepts of resilience, adaptability, transformability and panarchy. The application of questions was flex- ible to allow adjustment, prompting and probing during each interview. Twenty-three interviews were completed, each taking from 45 to 160min. Overall, 1765min of interviews were conducted, and inter- view audio files were imported into and transcribed with NVIVO 10 software. After the contents of transcriptions were approved by each interviewee,interview data were thematically coded in NVIVO 10, and the results analysed. 4. Tasmanian coastal governance system The purpose of this section is to introduce the Tasmanian coastal case study context and to offer a brief overview of its governance re- gime and the key organisations with influence over that regime. We provide minimum detail on the mechanisms and instruments used to exert their influence as these, their history and their limitations have been widely discussed elsewhere (e.g. Clark and Johnston, 2017; Harvey and Caton, 2010; Kriwoken et al., 2006; Lockwood and Harwood, 2017; Prahalad and Kriwoken, 2010). The 68,401 km2 island of Tasmania is the southern-most state in the Commonwealth of Australia. Tasmania's coast supports a wide range of natural, cultural, social and economic services and activities including ecosystem protection, commercial and recreational fishing, aqua- culture, recreation and urban development. Almost 75 per cent of the Tasmanian population (of around 509,000), and a variety of infra- structure and industries are located on, or near the coast (Department of Climate Change, 2009). The Tasmanian coastal area encompasses a diverse range of sensitive ecosystems such as coastal wetlands, dune systems, estuaries, saltmarshes and flora and fauna that rarely are found in mainland Australia (DPIPWE, 2014). These systems are under sub- stantial pressure from social and environmental drivers of change, in- cluding climate change, sea level rise and inappropriate human devel- opment (Department of Environment and Planning, 1991). Research shows incapacity of Tasmanian environmental and coastal governance to address these complex issues, and delivering effective strategies to respond to them (Prahalad and Kriwoken, 2010). Tasmanian coastal governance is a complex and multi-level ar- rangement with roles and responsibilities shared amongst multiple or- ganisations across scales and through different instruments. Key gov- ernance levels and organisations are the Australian Government, Tasmanian State Government, regional (intra-state) NRM bodies, local governments (councils), NGOs, community groups and private land- holders and industries. Each governance level and organisation has a particular influence on processes of coastal decision-making, policy development, planning and management through a variety of statutory and non-statutory mechanisms. The Australian Government is mainly responsible for international and national scale decision-making and policy development, with DEE the most influential department at this scale (Lockwood and Davidson, 2010). This level of government does not have a significant statutory influence on coastal issues. Its influence is mostly exerted through its leadership role in developing national-level policies, guidelines and directions, providing financial and technological support to other le- vels, and developing an appropriate knowledge base by supporting research and implementation programs (Clark and Johnston, 2017). The Australian Government has established processes, policies, strategies and programs aimed at improving coastal management and governance (Harvey and Caton, 2010), through numerous inquiries including those undertaken in 1991, 1993 and 2009. The 1991 inquiry found that fragmented decision-making process and conflicts among stakeholders' values and interests exacerbated problems associated with coastal governance, and proposed a national-scale coastal management strategy in collaboration with the states and local governments (Australian Government, 1991; Harvey and Woodroffe, 2008). The Labor Government's 1993 inquiry led to the development of the first national-level coastal policy in 1995, subsequently replaced with the Australian Oceans Policy (AOP) by the newly elected Howard govern- ment in 1998 (Harvey and Caton, 2010; Vince et al., 2015). Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) was adopted as the national ap- proach in 2006, seeking to establish a holistic national-scale vision, appropriate evaluation mechanisms, and enhanced collaboration, partnership and participation (Natural Resource Management Ministerial Council, 2006; Australian Government, 2009). While ICZM has been seen elsewhere as necessary for effective climate change adaptation (Flood and Schechtman, 2014), its application in Australia has been constrained (Clark and Johnston, 2017). The 2009 inquiry again emphasised the challenges in delivering effective governance for coastal areas across Australia, recommending the federal government take the lead to nurture and establish an agreed approach across all tiers of government (Australian Government, 2009). The State Government has direct jurisdiction for managing coastal areas and is thus the main body of government to define and administer coastal zone policies and laws, particularly through its agencies DPAC, DPIPWE and TPC. The State Government also influences coastal out- comes through its role in developing non-statutory guidelines, plans and programs. DPAC is a Tasmanian Government agency with a lea- dership role in state-level decision-making, strategic planning and policy development. This agency is responsible for delivering statutory policies, including the Tasmanian State Coastal Policy (TSCP), which came into effect in 1996. DPIPWE administers the primary environ- mental and natural resource legislation related to Tasmanian coastal areas. Also, this organisation delivers a range of directions and guide- lines for coastal conservation and development such as the Tasmanian Coastal Works Manual (DPIPWE, 2014). TPC is an independent agency J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 133 lord_ Realce nullA ilha de 68.401 km² da Tasmânia é o estado mais meridional da Commonwealth da Austrália.nullnull A costa da Tasmânia apóia uma ampla gama de serviços e atividades naturais, culturais, sociais e econômicas, incluindo proteção do ecossistema, pesca comercial e recreativa, aquicultura, recreação e desenvolvimento urbano.nullnullQuase 75% da população da Tasmânia (cerca de 509.000) e uma variedade de infra-estruturas e indústrias estão localizados na costa ou perto dela (DCC, 2009)nullnullnullA área costeira da Tasmânia engloba uma gama diversificada de ecossistemas sensíveis, tais como zonas húmidas costeiras, sistemas de dunas, estuários, sapais e flora e fauna que raramente são encontrados na Austrália continental (DPIPWE, 2014). nullnullEsses sistemas estão sob pressão substancial de fatores sociais e ambientais de mudança, incluindo mudanças climáticas, aumento do nível do mar e desenvolvimento humano inadequado (Departamento de Meio Ambiente e Planejamento, 1991). lord_ Realce A governança costeira da Tasmânia é um arranjo complexo e multinívelnullcom papéis e responsabilidades compartilhados entre múltiplas organizações em escalas e através de diferentes instrumentos. Os principais níveis e organizações de governança são o Governo Australiano, o Governo do Estado da Tasmânia, órgãos regionais (intra-estaduais) de NRM, governos locais (conselhos), ONGs, grupos comunitários e proprietários e indústrias privadas. Cada nível de governança e organização tem uma influência particular nos processos de tomada de decisões costeiras, desenvolvimento de políticas, planejamento e gestão por meio de uma variedade de mecanismos estatutários e não estatutários. lord_ Realce nullO governo australiano é o principal responsável pela tomada de decisões e pelo desenvolvimento de políticas em escala internacional e nacional, sendo que o DEE é o departamento mais influente nessa escala (Lockwood e Davidson, 2010). lord_ Realce O governo australiano estabeleceu processos, políticas, estratégias e programas destinados a melhorar a gestão e a governança costeira (Harvey e Caton, 2010), por meio de inúmeras investigações, inclusive as realizadas em 1991, 1993 e 2009. lord_ Realce nullOinquérito de 1991 constatou que o processo de tomada de decisão fragmentada e os conflitos entre os valores e interesses das partes interessadas exacerbaram os problemas associados à governança costeira e propuseram uma estratégia de gestão costeira em escala nacional em colaboração com os governos estaduais e locais. lord_ Realce O inquérito do governo trabalhista de 1993 levou ao desenvolvimento da primeira política costeira em nível nacional em 1995, posteriormente substituída pela política australiana de oceanos (AOP) pelo recém-eleito governo de Howard em 1998. lord_ Realce O inquérito de 2009 enfatizou novamente os desafios em fornecer governança efetiva para áreas costeiras em toda a Austrália, recomendando que o governo federal assuma a liderança para nutrir e estabelecer uma abordagem acordada em todos os níveis de governo (Governo Australiano, 2009). lord_ Realce O Governo do Estado tem jurisdição direta para administrar áreas costeiras e é, portanto, o principal órgão de governo a definir e administrar políticas e leis da zona costeira, particularmente através das suas agências DPAC, DPIPWE e TPC. and the peak statutory planning organisation in Tasmania, responsible for reviewing policy when directed. The main influence of TPC on coastal governance originates from its roles in guiding the delivery of the Resource Management and Planning System (RMPS). The RMPS is a state-wide statutory system for environmental decision-making, in- cluding land use planning, pollution control and policy development. The main statutory policy document related to Tasmanian coastal areas is the TSCP. Technical and legal issues concerning the area to which the policy applies led to the definition of the coastal zone, under the State Coastal Policy Validation Act 2003, as State waters and all land to a distance of one kilometre inland from the high-water mark. Concerns persisted, however, regarding the failure of the policy to ad- dress challenges such as climate change and sea level rise. To improve validity and currency of TSCP, in 2008 DPAC submitted a new draft policy, but this was rejected by the TPC in 2011 because of its lack of strategic approach, inadequate consideration of long-term provisions, lack of emphasis on developing an appropriate information system, insufficient clarity about evaluation and monitoring procedures, and a lack of provisions to address climate change impacts and sea level rise. Following this rejection, the Tasmanian Government initiated a new coastal policy framework in 2012, aiming to adopt a more strategic approach to coastal zone planning and management. The process is still ongoing, and a new coastal policy has not yet been finalised. Regardless of its weaknesses and strengths, and in the absence of a more recent coastal policy framework, the 1996 TSCP remains the main framework for the Tasmanian coastal zone. In Australian governance arrangements, local government (or council) roles and responsibilities are regulated under state laws and regulations. Tasmania has 29 Local Government Areas including 20 with a coastal zone. At a local level, councils are responsible for land use planning, and for addressing coastal management issues through their role in developing and implementing local level plans and pro- grams. Finally, Within the Tasmanian State, NRM organisations have a leading role in planning and guiding implementation of natural re- source management. The three Tasmanian regional NRM bodies have developed regional strategic plans that include objectives and actions for managing coastal areas. 5. Results As defined in Section 2, resilience-based coastal governance is a type of arrangement that is capable of undertaking resilience thinking (and its underpinning notions) as an overarching frame of mind shaping the process of coastal decision-making and policy development. Therefore, resilience capacity is not the capacity of a governance re- gime to create “resilient” outcomes, but the capacity of its key actors to consider resilience thinking principles in the governance process. Our evaluation sought views on the importance of each attribute, and then to offer an assessment of how well key governance actors were per- forming. The latter included an assessment of inter-agency perfor- mance. 5.1. Importance assessment of attributes In the online survey, respondents were asked for their views on the importance of the 16 nominated attributes in Table 1 for developing resilience-based coastal governance in Tasmania. Importance was rated using a five-point scale from Not Important to Very Important. Of the 16 attributes, 14 were considered by survey participants to be Very Important or Important, with only two considered Moderately Im- portant (distribution of power between the Australian Government and regional NRM bodies, and between the Tasmanian Government and regional NRM bodies) (detailed results are provided as supplementary material). The importance value of each attribute varied across governance levels. Thematic analysis from the interviews suggested that the degree of importance depends on a number of factors including: the influence of the governance level in the process of coastal governance, roles and responsibilities at different levels, and the condition of the interactions between a focal organisation with others. For example, because the Tasmanian Government is the body most responsible for developing coastal legislative frameworks, the attribute supportive legislation was given a higher importance value at this level compared with the Federal Government level. Organisational learning was seen as Very Important for all govern- ance levels and could be considered as the most significant attribute in improving resilience capacity. On the other hand, organisational flex- ibility was not seen as Very Important at any level. The findings also suggest that leadership for change is more important at the federal and state government levels than for regional and local organisations. Thus, in the process of developing resilience-based coastal governance, im- proving the capacity of leadership for change at higher-level organi- sations could be more influential and a higher priority. The Tasmanian Government was seen as the most influential body regarding coastal governance with the greatest number of Very Important attributes (11). Local government had the next level of influence (5 attributes rated as Very Important) (for detailed results, see supplementary material). Interview analysis confirmed the relevance of most of the nomi- nated attributes in developing resilience-based Tasmanian coastal governance. Although the interview questions did not directly address any specific attributes, thematic analysis highlighted the requirements for leadership support; cross-scale communication and collaboration (flow of information, knowledge and experience across scales); stake- holder engagement processes; enhanced knowledge system (including knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes); fairer distribution regime of power, accountability and liability; and suppor- tive legislative frameworks. 5.2. Performance assessment of the attributes To identify how the governance arrangements could be improved, we then evaluated the performance by each of the key organisations involved in the coastal governance regime. Survey respondents were asked to rate performance with regard to each attribute for each or- ganisation. The rating options were converted to a performance scale with numeric values ranging from Very Poor (=0) to Desirable (=5), enabling an average score of performance to be calculated. Table 2 lists the attributes that were seen as very poor, poor or marginal. More detailed results are available as supplementary material. Generally, NRM South, Clarence and Kingborough Councils were considered better-performing than otherorganisations. In these three organisa- tions, no attribute was found to be marginal or poorly performing. By contrast, all agencies at the state and federal levels received an overall marginal average score for their performance (ranging from 1.7 to 2). DPIPWE had a slightly better ranking than the others. At the Australian Government level, no attribute was in the sa- tisfactory or desirable performance range. Attributes related to knowledge systems (knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes) and diversity of expertise performed better than other at- tributes. At this level, the following attributes performed poorly: or- ganisational flexibility, supportive legislation, leadership for change and leadership for securing outcomes. At the state level, supportive legislation was regarded as poorly performing, which is particularly significant given that the attribute at this level was considered to be Very Important. The TPC performed poorly in organisational flexibility, adaptive planning and manage- ment, leadership for change and leadership for securing outcomes. Although overall performance at a local level was marginal, the performance regime for each council was different. Clarence and Kingborough Councils were considered to be better performing than Huon Valley, and had no low performing attributes. The overall per- formance of NRM South was evaluated as satisfactory, with no J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 134 lord_ Sublinhado Avaliação de importância de atributos lord_ Realce nullNa pesquisa on-line, os entrevistados foram questionados sobre suas opiniões sobre a importância dos 16 atributos indicados na Tabela 1 para o desenvolvimento da governança costeira baseada em resiliência na Tasmânia. nullImportância foi avaliada usando uma escala de cinco pontos de Não Importante para Muito Importante. lord_ Realce Dos 16 atributos, 14 foram considerados pelos participantes da pesquisa como Muito Importante ou Importante, com apenas dois considerados Moderadamente Importantes (distribuição de poder entre o governo australiano e órgãos regionais de NRM e entre o governo da Tasmânia e órgãos regionais de NRM) lord_ Realce A entrevista confirmou que os atributos mais significativos são:nullnullfluxo de informaçãonullnullconhecimento e experiência através de escalasnullnullprocessos de engajamento de stakeholdersnullnullmelhor sistema de conhecimento (incluindo aquisição de conhecimento, gerenciamento e compartilhamento de processos)nullnullregime de distribuição de poder, prestação de contas e responsabilidade mais justanullnullquadros legislativos de apoio. attributes rated with marginal or poorer performance. The interview findings confirmed the survey results on poor per- formance against the attributes, particularly with reference to federal and state agency performance. Lack of supportive legislative frame- work, poor leadership, lack of clarity of decision-making, policy de- velopment and planning, lack of cross-sectoral and cross-scale com- munication and collaboration and inappropriate public engagement process were among the most frequent weaknesses identified by inter- viewees. The Australian Government was seen as having the inadequate leadership to support resilience capacity, particularly in relation to delivering financial, technological and knowledge support to other tiers. A prevailing risk-averse mindset, the domination of short-term political and economic attitudes, the lack of openness to change, and the domination of command and control approaches were identified as potential causes for this low leadership capacity. Interview analysis suggested the main reasons for the unsatisfactory performance of federal and state government agencies were: being in a state of denial (regarding climate change and sea level rise), lack of a holistic and long-term vision, lack of fit and scale mismatches in coastal decision-making and the dominance of a risk-averse mindset. A con- siderable number of interviewees indicated that a major drawback of Tasmanian coastal governance was poor leadership from the state government to deliver a clear, valid and state-wide coastal policy. 5.3. Evaluation of Tasmanian coastal governance resilience capacity By combining the importance and performance assessment of each of the resilience-based governance attributes, we can determine the Table 2 Attributes respondents rated as having low-performance levels for key actors in the Tasmanian coastal governance regime. Governance level and organisation Very Poor or Poor performance Marginal performance Average performance level Federal: DEE Organisational flexibility Supportive legislation Leadership for change and securing outcomes Knowledge acquisition processes Transparent decision-making processes Adaptive planning and management Organisational learning Conflict resolution mechanisms Stakeholder engagement processes 1.7 State: 1. DPIPWE Supportive legislation Organisational learning Stakeholder engagement processes Transparent decision-making processes Organisational flexibility Adaptive planning and management Leadership for change and securing outcomes Conflict resolution mechanisms 2 2. DPAC Adaptive planning and management Supportive legislation Knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes Diversity of expertise Transparent decision-making processes Organisational flexibility Stakeholder engagement processes Conflict resolution mechanisms Organisational learning Leadership for change and securing outcomes 1.7 3. TPC Organisational flexibility Adaptive planning and management Leadership for change and securing outcomes Supportive legislation Conflict resolution mechanisms Diversity of expertise Knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes Organisational learning Stakeholder engagement processes 1.7 Regional: NRM South 2.6 Local: 1. Clarence 2.8 2. Kingborough 2.7 3. Huon Valley Adaptive planning and management Organisational learning, Knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes Stakeholder engagement processes Leadership for change and securing outcomes Transparent decision-making processes Conflict resolution mechanisms Diversity of expertise Organisational flexibility 1.7 Scores are ranked according to survey results, with Very Poor or Poor having a mean score≤1.5 and Marginal having a mean score> 1.5 and≤ 2. Attributes rated with better performing results are listed in supplementary material. DEE=Department of the Environment and Energy; DPIPWE=Department of Primary Industries, Water and Environment; DPAC=Department of Premier and Cabinet; TPC=Tasmanian Planning Commission; NRM = Natural Resource Management. Table 3 Classification of resilience capacity. Level of organisational performance Desirable Satisfactory Average Marginal Very poor or poor Level of attribute Importance Very Important Desirable Adequate Marginal Pre-resilience No Resilience Important Desirable Adequate Marginal Pre-resilience No Resilience Moderately Important Desirable Adequate Adequate Marginal No Resilience J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 135 resilience capacity of the Tasmanian coastal governance regime and its constituent actors. As shown in Table 3, our rating of resilience capacity relies mostly on attribute performance assessments given that almost all attributes were seen as having high importance. We used this classifi- cation to rate the resilience capacity of each governance actor, enabling us to suggest where improvements need to be directed to help build capacity (see Table 4). We also offer a description for each level of resilience capacity, as follows: Desirable resilience capacity: A coastal governance arrangement and its constituent actors with this level of resiliencecapacity can de- liver proactive and effective responses for systems adaptability and transformability. It is an arrangement that is not risk-averse and em- braces changes and uncertainty. Adequate resilience capacity: A governance arrangement and its actors with this level of resilience capacity supports a proactive adaptability. However, system transformability is not proactive and needs substantial enhancement to survive unforeseen radical changes and shocks. Transformative responses are likely to be simple, delayed and reactive. Marginal resilience capacity: In a coastal governance arrange- ment with this level of resilience capacity, adaptive responses are mostly inadequate and reactive. Transformative capacity does not exist or is very low. The system fails to provide appropriate responses to transformational drivers and risks prolonged crises and problematic recovery if transformational changes occur. Pre-resilience capacity: A coastal governance arrangement at this level does not have any recognisable level of resilience capacity. Governance actors may deliver a basic level of adaptation, but adapt- ability is fragile, and the system could easily fail to adapt to incremental changes even in the short term. In a governance arrangement with this level of resilience, system transformability is not considered. No resilience capacity: There is no capacity for governance ar- rangements or actors at this level to frame responses that are adaptive or transformative to changes affecting the coastal SES. The results in Table 4 indicate that organisations at local and re- gional levels showed a higher resilience capacity than the those at federal and state levels. For example, around 75 per cent of the attri- butes at Clarence and Kingborough Councils and NRM South supported at least an adequate level of resilience. The rest of the attributes at these organisations were at a marginal level. Overall, it is highly concerning to note that over half the attributes (55%) had pre- or no resilience Table 4 Level of resilience capacity supported by each attribute across scales. Number of attributes listed against resilience capacity levels Desirable Adequate Marginal Pre- resilience No Resilience Overall assessment 1 (< 1%) 27 (21%) 30 (23%) 58 (45%) 14 (11%) DEE 0 0 3 (25%) 6 (50%) 3 (25%) Attributes offering no resilience: Leadership for change and securing outcomes, Organisational flexibility Attributes offering pre-resilience: Knowledge acquisition processes, Transparent decision-making processes, Organisational learning, Adaptive planning and management, Conflict resolution mechanisms, Stakeholder engagement processes Attributes offering marginal resilience: Knowledge management and sharing processes, Diversity of expertise DPAC 0 0 0 11 (92%) 1 (8%) No resilience: Adaptive planning and management Pre-resilience: All other attributes DPIPWE 0 0 3 (25%) 9 (75%) 0 Pre-resilience: All attributes except for those listed below (marginal resilience) Marginal resilience: Knowledge management and sharing processes, Diversity of expertise TPC 0 0 1 (8%) 7 (59%) 4 (33%) No resilience: Leadership for change and securing outcomes, Adaptive planning and management, Organisational flexibility Pre-resilience: Diversity of expertise, Conflict resolution mechanisms, Knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes, Organisational learning, Stakeholder engagement processes Marginal resilience: Transparent decision-making processes NRM South 9 (75%) 3 (25%) 0 0 Marginal resilience: Adaptive planning and management, Conflict resolution mechanisms, Knowledge management processes Adequate resilience: All other attributes Clarence Council 1 (8%) 8 (67%) 3 (25%) 0 0 Marginal resilience: Adaptive planning and management, Organisational flexibility, Conflict resolution mechanisms Adequate resilience: Knowledge acquisition, management and sharing processes, Organisational learning, Transparent decision-making processes, Stakeholder engagement processes, leadership for securing outcomes, Diversity of expertise Desirable resilience: Leadership for change Kingborough Council 0 9 (75%) 3 (25%) 0 0 Marginal resilience: Adaptive planning and management, Organisational flexibility, Conflict resolution mechanisms Adequate resilience: All other attributes Huon Valley Council 0 0 0 11 (92%) 1 (8%) No resilience: Adaptive planning and management Pre-resilience: All other attributes Supportive legislation 0 0 0 0 2 (100%) No resilience: At both relevant levels: Australian Government and Tasmanian Government Distribution of power 0 1 (20%) 3 (60%) 1 (20%) 0 Pre-resilience: Between Tasmanian and local governments Marginal resilience: Between regional NRM agency and three levels of government Adequate resilience: Between Australian and Tasmanian governments Organisational cooperation and coordination 0 0 6 (40%) 7 (47%) 2 (13%) Table 4 (continued) Number of attributes listed against resilience capacity levels Desirable Adequate Marginal Pre- resilience No Resilience No resilience: Between Tasmanian Government and (1) community groups and (2) NGOs Pre-resilience: Between Australian Government and (1) regional NRM, (2) Tasmanian Government; between Tasmanian Government and (1) local governments and (2) business sector; between regional NRM and business sector; between local governments and (1) business sector and (2) NGOs Marginal resilience: Between regional NRM and (1) Tasmanian government, (2) local governments, (3) community groups and (4) NGOs; between local governments and (1) community groups and (2) other local governments Organisational partnerships 0 0 5 (42%) 6 (50%) 1 (8%) No resilience: Between Tasmanian Government and NGOs Pre-resilience: Between Australian Government and Tasmanian Government; between Tasmanian Government and (1) local governments and (2) business sector; between regional NRM and business sector; between local governments and (1) business sector and (2) NGOs Marginal resilience: Between regional NRM and (1) Australian, (2) Tasmanian, and (3) local governments and (4) NGOs; between local governments and other local governments J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 136 capacity, and that only 22 per cent of the attributes contributed to an adequate or a higher level of resilience. At the Australian Government level, none of the attributes sup- ported an adequate or a higher level of resilience capacity. Half of the attributes were at a pre-resilience level, including: transparent decision- making processes, organisational learning, conflict resolution mechan- isms, and adaptive planning and management. Despite significant im- portance of leadership at higher levels of governance, leadership for change and securing outcomes was not seen as supporting any level of resilience capacity at the Australian Government level. Interview ana- lysis confirmed that the main influence of the Australian Government on Tasmanian coastal governance is through non-statutory instruments such as by providing technical and financial support to develop re- search and implementation projects. However, the majority of the in- terviewees indicated inadequate leadership support from the Federal Government is a key driver for the low resilience capacity of the Tasmanian coastal governance. Although the State Government was particularly influential in coastal governance, attribute performance did not support an appro- priate level of resilience capacity. Except for transparent decision- making processes at the TPC, which supported a marginal level of re- silience, the rest of the attributes at DPaC and TPC were at pre-resi- lience or no resilience levels. DPIPWEhad a slightly higher resilience capacity compared with the other two agencies. Interview analysis identified an unsatisfactory situation in relation to the availability of a supportive State legislative framework. This si- tuation could raise other concerns such as lack of clarity in decision- making processes and uncertainties over the allocation of liability for any problems that arise from planning decisions. Interviewees fre- quently expressed the view that, due to the lack of clear and over- arching guidelines and directions from the State Government (such as a coherent and functional coastal policy), coastal planning and decision- making was ad-hoc rather than systematic. NRM South's perceived performance on 75 per cent of the attributes supported an adequate level of resilience. Adaptive planning and management, conflict resolution mechanisms, and knowledge man- agement processes were at a marginal level. At a local government level, attribute performance at Clarence and Kingborough Councils were significantly better than at Federal and State levels. On the other hand, Huon Valley Council's performance was seen as being lower than for the other two councils, with all attributes at the pre-resilience level or lower. Finally, on an inter-organisational scale, attribute perfor- mance was also viewed as being unsatisfactory, with organisational cooperation, coordination and partnerships supporting a marginal or lower level of resilience. The interview analysis confirmed the low resilience capacity of Tasmanian coastal governance particularly in regard to system trans- formability. The results suggested that the major drawback of Tasmanian coastal governance, especially on a local scale, is driven by lack of leadership and supportive legislative and regulatory frame- works. For example, most of the local government participants in- dicated that due to lack of leadership support, unclear legislation fra- mework and a prevailing risk-averse attitude, the process of coastal decision-making is litigious and risky. As a consequence, one inter- viewee claimed: “at the moment doing nothing is the best option”. 6. Discussion Our findings suggest that all 16 attributes are viewed as important for developing resilience-based coastal governance in Tasmania. However, the relative importance value of each attribute varied ac- cording to organisational roles and influence on coastal governance processes, and the position of each organisation in the Tasmanian coastal governance panarchy. Some attributes were more dependent on the context of application than others. For example, due to the sole responsibility of Tasmanian Government on framing state-level legislation and statutory policy documents, a supportive legislative framework was more dependent on the Tasmanian State Government, compared with other attributes such as organisational flexibility and learning. In addition, state and local levels had the most number of Important and Very Important attributes, indicating a higher level of influence of these two levels on the processes of coastal governance. The evaluation identified an overall unsatisfactory performance of key actors in the governance regime against the attributes, and con- sequent low resilience capacity of the entire Tasmanian coastal gov- ernance system. Less than 30 per cent of the attributes were seen as contributing to an adequate or a higher level of resilience capacity. The attribute regimes were particularly poor in relation to adaptive plan- ning and management, leadership for change and securing outcomes, and organisational flexibility. In general, the local and regional orga- nisations showed a higher resilience capacity compared with the State and Federal Governments. At a State level, the unsupportive attributes regime at the TPC, as the peak Tasmanian planning body, indicated a potentially defective state planning system. The perception that TPC lacks resilience capacity indicates weaknesses of the Tasmanian planning system in delivering adaptive, collaborative and fair planning procedures. Despite the major leadership role of DPIPWE in coastal decision-making and manage- ment, the associated attributes were viewed as being at a pre-resilience level. The inflexibility of DPIPWE's structure suggested that this agency has a low capacity to respond to future and plausible scenarios of change. The interview analysis suggested that the deficiencies of State- level organisations are due to inadequate cross-sectoral and cross-scale collaboration and communication, lack of political will and support, domination of the neoliberal paradigm and risk-averse attitudes in the State level decision-making system, and an unsupportive legislative framework. The absence of an appropriate legislative or policy framework (such as effective state-wide coastal policy), lack of leadership support and political will, and poor organisational communication and collabora- tion were the major drawbacks of Tasmanian coastal governance. A governance regime with a low level of legal and political support, lack of clarity in the decision-making process, imbalanced power relations and organisational isolation encourages a risk-averse attitude in deci- sion-makers and consequently undermines the capacity for innovation, novelty and entrepreneurship (Kahneman, 2011; Sunstein, 2005; Taleb, 2012). While NRM South and Kingborough and Clarence Councils were seen as supporting at least an adequate level of resilience capacity, Huon Valley Council's performance was seen as less effective. The in- terview analysis suggests that the lower resilience capacity at Huon Valley Council could be due to a lack of financial resources, inadequate human expertise, a lower level of leadership for change at a local level and less priority of environmental and coastal issues in the Council's agenda. The findings suggested a synergic interaction between attributes, whereby the attributes tend to reinforce each other in improving resi- lience capacity of the entire system. For example, it is likely that robust leadership (both for change and securing outcomes) would influence performance against other attributes and increase the system's resi- lience capacity. The role of leadership (especially from higher levels of governance) in supporting research and implementation projects, which assist establishing a quality knowledge system, is significant. In addition, leadership for change and securing outcomes could support a polycentric distribution of power and strengthen panarchial relation- ships across the governance system (Folke et al., 2005; Mitchell et al., 2015). For example, some interview participants pointed out that the strong leadership at Clarence Council had a significant influence on improving the Council's resilience capacity. A well-developed leader- ship at Clarence Council enhanced capacity in relation to other attri- butes such as stakeholder awareness and engagement, and a quality J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 137 knowledge system. The proactive leadership at Clearance Council also enabled them to bypass the State level bureaucracy and directly access Federal resources to fund the Impacts on Clarence Coastal Areas pro- ject. However, the higher importance and lower performance level of leadership at the Federal and State levels compromise the leadership capacity at a local scale and adversely affects resilience capacity of the entire coastal governance system. Improving leadership capacity in organisations at all levels can be a catalytic first step for enhancing a system's adaptability and transformability. The procedure for developing the capacity to improve resilience- based Tasmanian coastal governance is not a matter of ‘one size fits all’, but should involve multi-scalar capacity building that considers present opportunities and accountsfor future requirements. Developing resi- lience-based Tasmanian coastal governance is a shared responsibility between organisations across sectors and scales. However, because the State and Federal level agencies had significantly lower resilience ca- pacity compared with the local and regional organisations, the strate- gies and actions should be particularly focused on these two levels and associated organisations. In this respect, priority should be given to improving the performance associated with attributes which have the highest levels of importance and influence. A resilience-based arrangement allows for a degree of organisational autonomy while establishing robust connections within and between organisations at all governance levels. Such a panarchical system re- cognises that the outcomes of the adaptive cycle, at each level, influ- ence other levels decision-making processes. As the findings revealed, the existing Tasmanian governance arrangements are fragmented and disconnected. So, enhancing the level of organisational collaboration and communication through establishing partnered plans and programs is a key consideration in enhancing resilience capacity. The process of resilience capacity improvement is not deterministic and prescriptive and should allow for novelty and innovation. The findings emphasised the importance of proactive leadership for change to develop resilience-based coastal governance. As was manifest in in- terview participant opinions (especially at a local scale), risk-averse leadership reactively expects the flow of resource and information from other levels. However, leadership for change can find or create me- chanisms to proactively enhance availability and accessibility of re- sources. Some interview participant noted the Clarence and Kingborough Councils' contributions and argued that stronger bottom- up leadership from local organisations, community groups and NGOs would increase entrepreneurial capacities throughout the system. Attributes related to knowledge systems (including knowledge ac- quisition, management, and sharing processes) and providing resources (including financial and human resources) to support research and implementation activities were amongst the main foci of the resilience development strategies. The findings showed that, despite the low di- rect influence of the Federal Government, this level of governance could significantly contribute to the development of resilience-based Tasmanian coastal governance through delivering national level po- licies and guidelines as well as providing knowledge, financial and technical resources to other tiers of governance. Adaptive learning was another important attribute in the process of forming a resilience-based governance arrangement. As Ostrom et al. (1999) argue, the domination of rapid and radical drivers of change makes the traditional way of learning (which is learning from past experiences) more difficult. So, in an era of rapid and radical change, adaptive learning should emphasise enhancing the ability to acknowl- edge uncertainty and respond to emergent properties through im- proving the capacity for novelty, innovation and generating wisdom in the decision-making process, rather than an exclusive reliance on the accumulation of experiential information and knowledge. This form of learning requires encouraging transformational decisions, particularly at lower levels of governance. Finally, the findings revealed that civil institutions, including community groups and NGOs, are important pillars of resilience-based coastal governance. The existing coastal governance system in Tasmania does not adequately facilitate public awareness, engagement and empowerment in the process of coastal decision-making and policy development. To improve resilience capacity of coastal governance, public and local communities should be aware of the potential impacts of coastal decisions, have free access to data and information and be empowered to proactively engage in the governance process. 7. Conclusion Walker and Salt (2012) argue that although resilience science is not new, applying resilience thinking in the real world is still in its infancy. While the theoretical advantages (and the drawbacks) of incorporating resilience thinking into environmental and coastal decision-making, policy development, planning and management have been largely ar- gued in the scholarship, the availability of practical data and in- formation on the structure, processes and mechanisms of the in- corporation is limited. Without these practical data, systematic evaluation and monitoring of applying resilience thinking in SES gov- ernance is difficult, if not impossible. This study responded to the need for more research with a focus on connecting theory with im- plementation and applying the underpinnings of resilience thinking in real-world situations. The current study applied the framing of resilience thinking in a social science context. The research identified features of a governance arrangement that adopts resilience thinking as the main framing through which real-world solutions regarding coastal SESs can be identified in the context of environmental and social uncertainty. Our approach is reformist allowing information to be garnered about the requirements for incorporating resilience thinking into the practice of coastal governance in Tasmania, and thus offering a practical process for evaluating, monitoring and improving the resilience capacity of governance arrangements. We identified 16 key attributes that could inform the assessment and development of resilience-based coastal governance. The attributes encompassed the fundamental features of resilience thinking and good governance criteria including: panarchy, adaptive cycle, stakeholder engagement, flexibility, polycentricity, leadership and adaptive plan- ning and adaptive management. Establishing resilience-based coastal governance or enhancing its resilience capacity should emphasise processes to improve cross-scale communication and collaboration, enhance leadership capacities to embrace change and uncertainty, develop quality knowledge systems and adaptive learning capacity, and increase public participation and engagement mechanisms in coastal governance. Although the social and environmental factors that influence the dynamics of coastal SESs vary from one place to another, the nature of coastal problems and governance approaches have numerous similarities on a global scale (Adger et al., 2005; Glaser et al., 2012; Moser et al., 2012). Thus, we suggest that the proposed attributes could have potential utility to guide the design of developing resilience-based coastal governance re- gardless of the geographical context of the application. These implica- tions encompass the application of the attributes on an international scale (such as coastal conventions, treaties, and agreements), national scale, state or provincial level (such as other Australian states or similar jurisdictions worldwide), and catchment or local scales. Acknowledgements First and the most, we would like to sincerely thank Drs Michael Lockwood and Lorne Kriwoken for supervising this research. Without their support and guidance accomplishing this research would not have been possible. Appreciation is also extended to Dr Beverly Clark at the School of Geography and Environmental Studies, Flinders University, for her generous support in providing working space during the latter stages of the research. Our special thanks to all the survey and interview J. Jozaei, M. Mitchell Ocean and Coastal Management 163 (2018) 130–140 138 lord_ Sublinhado nullSem esses dados práticos, a avaliação sistemática e o monitoramento da aplicação do pensamento de resiliência na governança da SES são difíceis, se não impossíveis lord_ Sublinhado nullNossa abordagem é reformista,
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