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See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/5212683 The Dynamics of Organizational Status Article in Industrial and Corporate Change · February 1996 DOI: 10.1093/icc/5.2.453 · Source: RePEc CITATIONS 207 READS 826 2 authors: Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Betrayal as Market Barrier: Identity-Based Limits to Diversification among High-Status Corporate Law Firms View project Joel Podolny Apple Inc. 53 PUBLICATIONS 11,263 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Damon Jeremy Phillips Columbia University 41 PUBLICATIONS 2,358 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE All content following this page was uploaded by Damon Jeremy Phillips on 01 May 2016. 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PODOLNY AND DAMON J. PHILLIPS (Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford CA 94305-5015, USA) This paper examines, the growth (and decline) of organizational status. It is argued that an organization's status is determined by two factors: past performance outcomes and the status of the organization's affiliates. The better the past performance out- comes and the higher the status of the affiliates, the greater the organization's growth in status. This basic proposition is tested in an examination of status changes among investment banks in the non-investment grade market between 1981 and 1987. Implications and extensions are discussed in the conclusion. 1. Introduction A market exchange is typically understood as a relationship between two parties that involves the manifest transfer of goods or services. When two parties enter into an exchange relation, they do so because each is willing to give something that the other values more than he or she does. This assertion—that the essential function of exchange relations is the purposive s transfer of goods from those who value them less to those who value them - more—has such prima faciae validity that it seems almost purposeless to ™ label it as an assumption. | In this paper, it is argued that market exchanges often involve not only z the manifest transfer of goods and resources, but the latent transfer of status. 'g To the extent that actors in a market can be arrayed in terms of status and to £ the extent that exchanges can be witnessed or verified by third parties, actors t transfer some of their status when they enter into exchanges with oneanother. More specifically, it is contended that an actor's status is a direct I function of the average status of the actor's affiliates. The lower the status of ,2 the actor's affiliates, the lower the actor's status. Conversely, the higher the I status of an actor's affiliates, the higher the actor's status. I Put another way, market exchanges are not only important as conduits of J © Oxford University Press 1996 — 453 The Dynamics of Organizational Status resources and goods, but as determinants of identity. How an actor is per- ceived is affected by who that actor selects as exchange partners. These per- ceptions, in turn, affect future opportunities that the actor confronts in the market. In this way, the latent function of status transfer has a significant impact on the manifest function of resource exchange. The paper is organized as follows. First, the essential features of the socio- logical conception of status are discussed: what it is, what are its deter- minants, and what are its advantages. It is argued that status can best be understood as a 'stock' of accumulated deference, that status has a dual foun- dation in past performance and an actor's affiliations, and that the possession of status carries a number of economic benefits. While previous empirical research has provided evidence of the economic benefits of status, there is at best only indirect evidence that the origins of status are in both past perform- ance and an actor's affiliations. In effect, there has been little empirical investigation into the dynamics of status. Therefore, an empirical study of these dynamics within the context of a particular market is undertaken, the market for non-investment grade debt. Implications and extensions are dis- cussed in the conclusion. 2. What is Status? We will attempt to discuss status in the most general terms possible, draw- ing on illustrations from diverse contexts. The reason for this is to under- score the extent to which status processes in a market are extremely similar to status processes in other domains. The sociological conception of status is intimately linked to the concept of deference (Goode, 1978; Blau, 1964). If deference can be understood as a 'flow', then status is the 'stock' that corresponds to this flow (Parsons, 1963). Deference may take a number of forms, and these forms will typically differ by context. An important task of the researcher is to identify which behaviors constitute the salient acts of deferencethat give rise to status distinctions. In Blau's (1955) study of a government bureaucracy, an auditor acquires status to the extent that others defer to that auditor's advice. Other forms of de- ference include the conferral of awards or imitation of practices. Consider the technological domain. In selecting a particular innovation as a foundation for its research, a focal organization defers to the developer of the invention by implicitly affirming that this innovation is superior to other innovations that could have been the foundation for the focal organization's research (cf. Podolny and Stuart, 1995). Similarly, in the scientific domain, a positive citation is an act of deference; it is an acknowledgment of the relative importance of a scholar's work as a foundation for. future research in the field. 454 The Dynamics of Organizational Status Status carries with it the attribution of superior quality. Or, to put the same statement in economists' terms, status is a signal of quality. Higher status athletes are expected to provide superior athletic performances; higher status scientists are expected to write more important papers. Higher status firms are expected to produce superior products. Put generally, high status actors are expected to engage in higher quality activities than lower status actors. 3. What are the Determinants of Status? One may ask why high status actors receive the attribution of high quality. That is, why is status a signal of quality? One (obvious) reason is that an actor's status is determined in part by past demonstrations of quality. More specifically, an actor's status is determined by the value that the actor has provided to the community of which the actor is considered a part, and the quality of what an actor provides is an important determinant of its value. Thus, in Blau's study of bureaucracy, the deference that is shown to a bureaucrat is a function of the quality of previous advice that the bureaucrat has provided to his colleagues. Of course, if status were only determined by the value of the actor's pre- vious efforts, then it would differ little from the concept of reputation. What makes status distinct from reputation is that it derives not only from past added value, but also from the status of those with whom the actor engages in exchange relations. When actors enter into relations with one another, a transfer of status takes place. The latent transfer of status in social exchange systems is well acknowl- edged and well documented in sociological and anthropological research. Consider the following illustration from Elias and Scotson's (1965) examina- tion of an English village. In commenting on a newcomer's entry into and subsequent ostracism from one of the more established sections of town, the authors write: Newcomers who settled in the 'good streets' of the 'village' were always suspect unless they were obviously 'nice people'. A probationary period was needed in order to reassure the good families that their own status would not suffer by association with a neighbour whose standing and whose standards were uncertain. The ostracized 'black sheep' was in this case a woman who had recently moved into the neighbourhood and who made the following comments when she herself was asked about her relations with her neigh- . bours: They're very reserved. They speak on the streets but nothing else.' She then told how she had asked the 'dustmen in for a cup of tea one cold day', soon after she arrived . . . They saw it. That shocked them around here.' 455 The Dynamics of Organizational Status While the manifest exchange was the cup of tea for the work that the dust- men had performed on the cold day, the latent transfer was of the status of the dustmen to the status of the newcomer. Several features of this transfer of status are noteworthy. First, the feet that the woman is a newcomer means that there is considerable uncertainty about her true moral character. If the townspeople had more unequivocal evidence of her true character, then this one interaction would most likely not have had as great an impact on perceptions. In this paper, we will not say much more about how the level of uncertainty affects the extent of status transfer between actors; this topic has been addressed elsewhere (Podolny, 1994). For this paper, we are more interested in the factors that distinguish the transfer of status from the transfer of goods or resources; In our view, there are at least two such factors. The first is that the transfer of status lays beyond the intentionality of actors. The dustmen did not choose to give the newcomer their status. Nor could the woman choose to refuse the conferral of status. There is a thus a forced alienation of status that is typically not found in the transfer of more conventional goods and services. A second dis- tinguishing factor is that the transfer of status requires at least one third party as a witness to the act or as an examiner of evidence that the act took place. This second fact is important because there is a general tendency to assume that the dyad is the fundamental unit of exchange (e.g. Williamson, 1975). However, if the exchange involves the flow of status, then the value of what is exchanged cannot be measured independently of third parties. In order for Robinson Crusoe and Friday to exchange status, a third party would need to be on their island. 4. What are the Advantages of Status? Regardless of domain, the expectation of higher quality from those who are higher in status generally results in cumulative advantages to the possession of status. To the extent that others have an expectation that the performance of a high-status actor will be superior, these others are more willing to com- mit resources to the actor. With these greater resources, the actor will be able to improve his or her performance, which will increase his or her status to a greater extent, which in turn will increase the resources on which the actor can draw, and so on. Merton (1968) neatly summarized the cumulative benefits of status under the label of the Matthew Effect. Merton derived the term the Matthew Effect from a quote in the book of Matthew, which reads 'For unto everyone that hath shall be given, and he shall have abundance; but from him that 456 The Dynamics of Organizational Status hath not shall be taken away even what he hath." Merton himself considered the significance of the Matthew Effect within the field of scientific activity. Higher status scientists are more likely to receive greater rewards for a given quality effort. For example, an article of a given quality is more likely to be widely read and cited if its author is high-status than if its author is low- status. This different return to the same quality effort, in turn, is likely to increase the status differential between the high-status and low-status actor. While Merton analyzed the Matthew Effect among scientists, the Matthew Effect has been documented in a variety of domains. Podolny (1993) discusses the manifestation of the Matthew Effect in the market context. To the extent that potential exchange partners expert that a higher status actor offers a higher quality product or service, they will be, more likely to pay a higher price for that same good. Yet, not only does the possession of status increase the potential revenue of a producer, the possession of status lowers the costs for producing a good of a given quality. Indeed, higher status actors may produce higher quality goods and therefore have higher costs, but if we control for the quality of the good produced, then higher status actors should have lower costs. The more that individuals believe that a high status actor's good is above a given quality threshold, the less that the producer needs to offer warranties or other contract-related mechanisms to convince potential buyers that his or her good is above a particular quality threshold. In effect, the transaction costs for higher statusactors should be lower than the transaction costs for lower status actors, especially if we define transaction costs broadly as the costs of consummating a transaction between a buyer and seller. Higher status actors are also more likely to have control over the direction of innovative activity within a particular technological domain. The higher an actor's status, the more that others expect that the areas in which the actor works will be areas for promising research activity. These favorable expectations in turn lead to a greater amount of research in directions pioneered by that actor (Podolny and Stuart, 1995). 5. What Do We Know (and Not Know) Empirically About the Operation of Status in Markets? To date, there is at least some limited evidence that the possession of status provides a number of economic benefits, including lower costs (Podolny, 1993; Smith, 1993), higher prices (Podolny, 1993; Benjamin, 1994), and increased growth (Podolny et al., 1995). We also know that the positive returns to an actor's status are associated with the risk or uncertainty regarding the quality of the actor's efforts • 457 The Dynamics of Organizational Status (Podolny, 1993; Podolny et al., 1995). This positive effect of risk or un- certainty on the returns to status derives from the fact that status is an indi- cator of quality. The more that quality is observed independently of status, the less value comes from possession of the indicator. Not only do the returns to status increase with uncertainty, so does- the attention that actors pay toward the status of their affiliates when selecting exchange partners. In contexts where there is considerable uncertainty or ambiguity about quality, actors are extremely reluctant to engage in exchange relations with those who are lower in status than themselves. In contrast, as uncertainty or ambiguity about quality declines, actors are more willing to engage in exchange relations with those who are lower in status (Podolny, 1994). Yet, while there is some evidence that the possession of status has positive economic benefits and that the effects of and attention to status increase with uncertainty, there is little evidence to date that the dynamics of status in markets are the same as the dynamics of status in other contexts. More specifically, there is little evidence that status in markets has the dual foundation in past performance and patterns of affiliations or that the advantages of status are cumulative over time. In the next section, a general model for testing these predictions regarding the growth (and decline) of status in the market context is briefly discussed. Following this general model, we proceed to a discussion of the context in which we shall test this model, the primary securities market for non-investment grade debt. 6. A Model of the Growth (and Decline) of Status Let S/, denote the status of organization / during period /. We are interested in the relative change in status that occurs between two time periods: (Sjt+i/Sj,). We adopt the following specification as a baseline model: J« wi,t+l or, alternatively o _ CP+1TO' where usjr,+l is a log-normally distributed error term and p is essentially an endogenous feedback effect. If p < 0, then there are diminishing returns to increases in status. If p = 0, the growth in status is consistent with Gibrat's law, which posits that growth is random and independent of size (or, in this case, the amount of status), though the magnitude of fluctuations is propor- tionate to size. If p > 0, growth in status has a positive effect on itself and is 458 The Dynamics of Organizational Status therefore explosive. If p = 0 or p > 0, there is no endogenous bound on the amount of status that an actor can have. This general baseline model is the same as those employed in models of organizational growth (e.g. Barnett, 1994; Barton etal., 1994). It should be relatively apparent that Merton's Matthew Effect is consis- tent with p > 0. If p > 0, then high-status organizations increase their sta- tus at a faster rate than low-status organizations. However, Merton's Matthew Effect is also consistent with p = 0 since the absolute status differ- ence between a low-status organization and a high-status organization will increase if both organizations have the same growth rate. We incorporate exogenous covariates into the model using a log-linear specification as follows: >>i,t+l * it e wi,t+\ \ 1 ' where A; denotes the average status of firm i's exchange partners prior to /+1 and P; refers to firm i's contribution/performance prior to t+l. We use a log-linear specification of exogenous effects to ensure that the predicted growth rate for status is non-negative. The preceding discussion implies that bx > 0; b2 > 0. By taking the logarithm of both sides of the equation, this model can be estimated using OLS techniques.1 Given this general model, we turn to a consideration of the determinants of status in a particular market, the market for non-investment grade debt. In undertaking this examination, we try to find out whether or not the same dynamics that apply to the newcomer and the dustmen in Norbert and Elias' English town also apply to Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and the other firms in the investment banking industry. 7. Primary Securities Market for Non-investment Grade Debt The function of investment banks in the primary securities markets is to act as intermediaries between corporations needing financial capital and investors seeking to maximize the return on their financial investment. In a service referred to as 'underwriting', investment banks purchase securities 1 An alternative specification for this model would replace A,- with (A,—5U). This specification posits that a firm's growth rate should increase if the average status of a focal firm's partners is greater than the focal firm's status and that the growth rate should decrease if the average status of those partners is less than the status of the focal firm. The disadvantage of this specification is that it makes the effect of Sh on the growth rate quite complicated. That being said, analyses were conducted with this alternative specifi- cation, and the effects of the exogenous covariates were qualitatively similar to those that we report in this paper. 459 The Dynamics of Organizational Status from corporations and then resell these securities to investors. The price that investment banks charge for this service is referred to as the spread, which is the difference in the dollar amount between what the investment bank pays for the security and the dollar amount that the investment bank receives for the security. Corporate securities can be divided into two general classes: equity and debt. A holder of equity is an owner of the corporation and has a residual claim on the profits of the corporation. A holder of debt has a claim to a cor- poration's repayment for money loaned to the corporation. There are two broad classes of debt, investment grade and non-investment grade, where the latter of these two forms of securities is sometimes referred to as high- yield or junk debt. Formally, what distinguishes investment grade from non-investment grade debt are the financial ratings of the issuing corporation given by the Moody's and Standard and Poor's bond rating services. Generally, issuers of non-investment grade debt are younger and smaller than the issuers of investment grade debt, though even very large and old companies may issue junk debt if their ability to make payments on the debt is in serious enough doubt. We will focus on status dynamics in the US non-investment grade market. Unlike the US investment grade market, which came into existence before the turn of the century, the market for non-investment grade debt is quite young. The first non-investment grade issue was underwritten by the invest- ment bank Drexel Burnham Lambert in 1978, and the non-investment grade market did not come to be generally recognized as adistinct market until the early 1980s. Our analysis covers the period 1981 to 1987. By focusing on a time period that essentially goes back to the market's earliest stages, one is generally able to capture all of the events that could poten- tially affect an organization's status in that market. Despite often intense competition among investment banks for the right to lead an underwriting, banks frequently do not perform underwritings by themselves. Rather, they form and lead syndicates. A syndicate is a collec- tion of banks that jointly purchase the securities from the corporation and reissues the securities to investors. Syndicates can consist of as many as 50 other banks, although the typical size is more in the order of 10 or 20. The bank that puts together the syndicate is referred to as the lead manager. Par- ticularly for issues involving a large number of banks, a lead manager will frequently select one or several co-managers to assist in the offering. The manager-co-manager relations are the most visible and significant exchange relations in the syndicate. The lead managers and co-managers typically underwrite a much larger proportion of the security offering than the other members of the syndicate. In addition, co-managers may assist the 460 The Dynamics of Organizational Status lead manager by either performing 'due diligence' to validate the financial soundness of the corporation, recruiting banks into the syndicate, determin- ing the allocation of securities among syndicate members, or 'making a market' for a security once the security has been distributed to investors and is being bought and sold in the secondary markets. Due to the visibility of these manager-co-manager relations, we will focus on how the status of a bank's management partners affects a bank's own status. Following from the arguments developed above, it is expected that by controlling for the past performance of a bank, the average status of a bank's management partners will have a positive effect on a bank's own subsequent status. 8. Measuring Status One of the advantages of studying status in the investment banking industry is that the deference ordering among investment banks is codified in what are called 'tombstone advertisements', the announcements of security offer- ings that appear in major business newspapers such as The Wall Street Journal or trade publications like Investment Dealer's Digest. Figure 1 presents an example of a tombstone advertisement. The lead manager of the syndicate is always listed in the upper left hand of the syndicate. Shearson Lehman Hutton is the lead manager in Figure 1. Co-managers are listed to the right and possibly down from the lead manager. Drexel Burnham Lambert is the co-manager in the figure. The rest of the syndicate is listed beneath the lead manager and the co- manager and is divided into what are called 'brackets'. A bracket is an alpha- betically ordered group of banks. In Figure 1, the first bracket begins with Bear, Stearns and Co. and ends with Dean Witter-Reynolds. (Dean is a first name, rather than a last name, so the bank's alphabetical position is deter- mined by Witter.) If a bank is regarded as slightly higher in status than those banks in one bracket but lower in status than those banks in another bracket, then the bank appears in what is called an 'out-of-order' bracket. In Figure 1, A. G. Edwards and Sons appears in this out-of-order position, beneath the bracket ending with Dean Witter-Reynolds and before the bracket starting with Advest, Inc. Advest, Inc. begins a large bracket, which includes all banks between it and Wheat First Butcher & Singer. The final bracket begins with Robert JW Baird & Co. and ends with Stifel, Nicolaus, and Company. A bank's bracket is strictly a function of a bank's status. A bank will remove itself from an underwriting if the bank is offered a bracket position 461 = The Dynamics of Organizational Status This announcement is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities. The offer is made only by the prospectus. December 6,1989 2,000,000 Shares Common Stock Price $20 X Per Share Copies of the Prospectus may be obtained in any State in which this announcement is circulated only from such of the undersigned as may legally offer these securities in such State. Shearson Lehman Hutton Inc. Drexel Burnham Lambert Incorporated Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc. Goldman, Sachs & Co. Kidder Peabody & Co. Incorporated Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Paine Webber Incorporated Prudential-Bachc Capital Funding Smith. Barney, Harris Upham & Co. Dean Witter-Reynolds Inc. A.G. Edwards & Sons, Inc. Incorporated Advest, Inc. William Blair & Company Blunt Ellis & Loewi J.C. Bradford & Co. Dain Bosworth Edward D. Jones & Co. Ladenburg, Thalmann & Co., Inc. McDonald & Company Neuberger & Berman Oppenheimer & Co., Inc. Securities, Inc. Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood Prescott, Ball, & Turben. Inc. The Robinson-Humphrey Co., Inc. Tucker Anthony Wheat First Butcher & Singer Incorporated Capital Markets Robert JW. Baird & Co. George K. Baum & Company B.C. Christopher Securities & Co. Cowen & Co. Gabielli & Company, Inc. Mabon. Nugent & Co. Rodman & Renshaw, Inc. Smith, Moore, & Co. Stifel. Nicolaus, & Company Incorporated FIGURE 1. Example of a tombstone advertisement. that the bank's managers believe to be beneath the bank's status. In 1985, Goldman Sachs sought to divide the second most prestigious bracket into an upper and lower tier; nine of those banks that were to appear in the lower tier withdrew from this offering (Wall Street Journal, 15 January 1986, p. 1). In 1987, five high status banks refused to participate in an offering of the Farmers Home Administration when the issuer wished to place 13 small, 462 '• The Dynamics of Organizational Status regional, minority-owned firms in a higher bracket than those five major firms (New York Times, 21 September 1987, p. Dl). Though such disputes are far from an every day occurrence, this intense concern with tombstone position has a long history. A judge, presiding over an antitrust case against a number of leading investment banks in 1951, commented that the pre- occupation of banks with tombstone position was akin to the obsession of Hollywood or Broadway stars with the position of their names in marquees (Carosso, 1970). The fact that banks will forego considerable short-term economic rewards in order to defend their tombstone position is indicative or the significance of tombstone position as an earmark of a collectively accepted status rank- ing. To convert tombstone position to a measure of status, one of the stand- ard relation measures for status is employed, Bonacich's (1987) c(a, 3) measure. Formally, Bonacich's c(a, (3) measure is defined as follows: (2) where a is a scaling factor, ($ is a weighting factor, R is a relational matrix,, and 1 is a column vector of ones, c is a vector of status scores, one score for each bank in the population. Cell rtj specifies the extent to which /' occupies a superordinate position to j . For the purposes of this analysis, r,j is the pro- portion of tombstone advertisements in which bank / occupies a superordi- nate position to bank/ Cell r,-, therefore ranges in value from 0 to I.2 Using Bonacich's standardization, a status score of 1 is a 'normal' value that is nei- ther high nor low. The lower bound on an actor's status is 0. 9. Data Status of the Focal Bank We measure the change in status between two time points, 1981 and 1987. We choose a seven-year time period because previous work in this area suggests that a bank's status is only likely to experience relatively minor fluctuations over time periods of a few years (Hayes, 1971, 1978). The status scores for 1981 and 1987 are derived from the tombstones for all non- investment grade offerings displayed in The Wall Street Journal in those re- spective years. In 1981, there were 180 non-investment grade tombstones that 2 Note chat cell r/Vis not necessarily equal to 1 minus r̂ . In feet, if banks i and /' ever appear in the same bracket them, r̂ will generally not equal 1 minus r^ 463 The Dynamics of Organizational Status TABLE 1. Representative Status Scores Bank 1981 Status 1981 status rank 1987 status 1987 status rank Morgan Stanley First Boston Corporation Prudential Bache Securities Goldman Sachs Merrill Lynch Salomon Brothers Lehman Brothers Bear Sterns Paine Webber KidderPeabody E.F. Hutton Wertheim Securities L.F. Rothschild Securities Dean Witter Reynolds Shearson American Express Smith Barney Dillon Reed Lazard Freres Warburg Paribus Becker Drexel Burnham Lambert New Court Securities Robinson Securities Robertson Securities Anderson Securities 3.99696 3.69273 3.03846 2.58810 2.51190 2.42793 2.31415 2.26895 2.26499 2.22815 2.19418 2.18137 2.18054 2.17666 2.17897 2.17789 2.17666 2.16955 2.16955 2.15789 1.19376 0.72837 0.21183 0.00177 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 25 50 101 150 2.26507 5.87647 0.13885 2.69464 2.61348 2.59099 3.04878* 3.18736 0.32452 0.28730 0.13375 0.12783 0.12281 0.11139 3.04878* 0.13945 0.11139 0.1126 N/A 0.34947 N/A 0.00904 0.10015 N/A 7 1 14 4 5 5 3 2 10 12 16 17 19 15 3 13 20 21 32 22 'Shearson and Lehmann merged between 1981 and 1987. Accoridngly, the two banks have the same status score in 1987. N/A denotes that this bank is no longer present in the 1987 tombstones. appeared in The Wall Street Journal; in 1987, there were 132 non-investment grade tombstones. By converting the information in the tombstones to two relational matrices (one for each year) as described above, we can then use the measure specified in (2) to produce status scores for the two years.3 Table 1 provides some representative status scores for those firms in the non- investment grade market. Average Status of the Focal Bank's Management Partners A variable of central analytical interest is the average status of a bank's man- agement partners between 1981 and 1986, inclusive. Data on manager- 3 Further details on the conversion of information in the tombstones to status scoresiare presented in Podolny (1991,1993). 464 The Dynamics of Organizational Status co-manager relations are obtained from data collected by the Securities Data Corporation (SDC).4 The SDC is the leading information service firm col- lecting data of interest to the investment banking community. The average status of a bank's management partners are calculated over the time period 1981 to 1986 by using the status scores of those partners in 1981 as a proxy for their status in subsequent years. Using the 1981 scores may introduce some unwanted noise in the data, but it would have been quite time consuming to collect status information for the intervening years between 1981 and 1987, and we see no way in which this additional noise biases the results in favor of our hypotheses. Performance Measures We include two measures of a bank's performance: the number of offering on which a bank has been manager or co-manager between 1981 and 1986 and the total dollar volume of offerings for which a bank has been lead man- ager or co-manager between 1981 and 1986. Both measures were computed using SDC data. Number of deals managed and dollar volume of deals man- aged are the standard performance measures reported at quarterly and annual intervals in trade publications such as Institutional Investor and Investment Dealer's Digest. Selection Bias The 1980s witnessed a large reduction in the average number of participants in a typical underwriting syndicate. The reason for this decline in the num- ber of participants is beyond the scope of this paper, but the consequence is that the number of firms participating in non-investment grade syndicates decreased dramatically over the period of the study. Of the 171 banks that had participated at least minimally as members of non-investment grade syndicates in 1981, only 68 were members of such syndicates in 1987.5 Due to the large decline in the number of participants, it is important to control for possible selection bias in estimating equation (1). We predict selection based on the log of the number of offices that the bank operated in 1981. Number of offices is a good proxy for the size of a bank's sales force, and the size of a bank's sales force is an important determinant of a bank's ability to underwrite security offerings. Data on number of offices for the largest 100 banks in any given year are published in Institutional Investor. We dummy 4 These data were graciously made available to the authors by Robert Eccles and Dwight Crane. ' Banks were categorized as being participants in the market if they participated in at least three non- investment grade offerings. 465 The Dynamics of Organizational Status TABLE 2. Likelihood of Inclusion of 1987 Population of Banks Variables Estimate (S. error) intercept 0.47 (0.60) log (number of offices) 0.35 (0.21)* missing information on number of offices -1.99 (0.65)* N = 171, dii-square = 67.99 with 2df *p < 0.05, one-tailed test code all banks not listed among this 100, and using a logistic specification, we estimate the odds that a bank in 1981 will not be included in the sample in 1987. Results for the selection equation are presented in Table 2. We then include the predicted probability of exclusion as a control variable in the final analysis. One might suppose that a bank's own status, the status of its management partners, and the number and dollar volume of deals managed by the bank should be included as independent variables in the selection equation since these variable could potentially influence whether or not a bank remains in the market at the later time period. However, the inclusion of these independent variables in the selection equation results in an identification problem in the main equation. Any variable that is included in both the selection equation and the main equation is essentially entered into the main equation twice, once as a predictor of the selection variable and once as an independent variable. The only reasons that one can estimate the main equation when such variables are included in the selection equation is that (i) the selection equation incorporates additional variables (in this case, the number of offices) and (ii) the selection equation and the main equation have different functional forms. Even if we set this identification problem aside, the alternative specifica- tion of the selection equation does not affect the results of the main equation for status growth (see Table 4, column 4). Therefore, given the identification problem and given that the inclusion of these additional variables does not affect the results for the main growth equation, we rely on the selection equation reported in Table 2. 10. Analysis Table 3 presents descriptive statistics for the variables used in the analysis. Table 4 presents the regression results. We begin by considering the base- line equation in column 1 of Table 4, where the exogenous covariates are excluded from the analysis. The coefficient for the intercept is negative. This negative intercept in column 1 implies that the average status pf firms is declining over time. It seems reasonable that the average status of firms 466 The Dynamics of Organizational Status TABLE 3. Descriptive Statistics Variables Mean (S. Deviation) Focal bank's status, 1981 Average status of management partners, 1981-1986 Number of offerings mananged, 1981-1986 Underwriting volume managed, 1981-1986 (in millions of dollars) 1.10(1.03) 1.91 (1.74) 37.57 (66.81) 4054.0(3265.0) TABLE 4. Growth Rate Models for Status Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) Intercept Average status of management partners, 1981-1986 Number of offerings managed, 1981—1986 log (Underwriting volume managed 1981-1986) Exclusion probability -7.30** (0.90) 0.03 (0.41) -12.23** (1.18) -0.57 (0.36) 2.38** (0.44) -16.82** (2.90) -0.91** (0.38) 1.56" (0.58) 0.025* (0.015) 0.24* (0.14)-17.74** (2.88) -0.82** (0.38) 1.69** (0.60) 0.026* (0.015) 0.28* (0.14) -0.81 (0.91) R2 0.00 0.31 0.36 = 68 0.38 Standard errors are in parentheses. *p < 0.10, one-tailed test **p< 0.05, one-tailed test should decline between 1981 and 1987 since the number of firms in the market decreases over this period. The fewer the firms in the market, the less deference is generated across the population of firms, and accordingly, the lower the average status of a given firm. The point estimate for p, the endogenous feedback coefficient, is positive, though the effect is not significantly different from 0. The fact that we cannot rule out Gibrat's baseline hypothesis of proportionate growth is noteworthy. To the extent that high-status and low-status firms experience identical growth rates in status, the absolute status difference between high and low- status firms increases over time, and this increase is unchecked by any endo- genous bound. Such a result is consistent with Merton's Matthew Effect. 467 The Dynamics of Organizational Status When the exogenous covariates are included n the model, the point esti- mate for p declines dramatically from 0.03 to —0.82, which is significantly less than 0. By substituting a value of —0.82 into equation (1), it can be shown that this value for p leads to relatively rapid convergence toward some fixed level of status.6 We interpret this result as signifying that the bounds on a focal bank's growth in status are strictly determined by the sta- tus of a bank's affiliates and the bank's past performance. Banks can only sustain status growth to the extent that they are able to form affiliations and generate performance outcomes that are consistent with a higher level of sta- tus. If the average status of a bank's management partners and the bank's performance do not increase, then growth in status is quickly checked. Since we know from column 1 that the unconditional growth rates are essentially independent of current status level, we conclude that during this early period of market formation in the non-investment grade market, higher-status banks find it no more difficult than lower-status banks to achieve a given increment in either the average status of their exchange part- ners or their performance outcomes. The consequence is that the absolute difiference in status between higher and lower status banks increases over time. However, given the results in columns 2 through 4, it should be clear that the upper bound on this process is set by the size of the market and by the inherent tension between expanding one's market share and entering into exchange relations only with those who are highest status. We will return to this point in the conclusion, but now turn to a more explicit con- sideration of the exogenous coefficients themselves. As predicted, the effects of the two performance measures and the average status of the focal bank's management partners are positive and statistically significant. Each additional deal on which the focal bank is a lead manager or co-manager increases the status growth rate by exp(0.03) = 1.03 times. Each additional one unit increment in the average status of the bank's man- agement partners increases the status growth rate by exp(1.69) = 7.24 times. Therefore, as in non-market contests, the status of an actor's affiliates significantly affect an actor's own status. 11. Discussion This paper has provided some evidence that the status of an actor's exchange partners has a positive impact on an actor's own status. We have focused on manager-co-manager relations because it is possible to collect systematic data on the status of banks. Of course, in the primary securities markets, banks also enter into exchange relations with corporate issuers, and with 6 In substituting, it is important to remember that there is a 5-year interval between S, and S,+l. 468 The Dynamics of Organizational Status investors. We obviously expect that such relations should impact on a bank's status as well, and indeed there is some qualitative information that suggests the transfer of status between banks and corporate issuers (Podolny, 1995), but it is not possible to collect sufficiently systematic data on corporate and investor status to pursue a similar investigation of these exchange relations. Nevertheless, particularly when coupled with previous work that demon- strates economic benefits of status, this paper has several implications for our understanding of exchange and markets. First, some answers are provided to a question that economic perspectives on the market have tended to overlook: who exchanges with whom? The neo-classical approach to markets tends to abstract from particular dyads; the transaction-cost approach tends to take dyads as a given. By illustrating the status-based externalities involved in any particular exchange, this paper provides some guidance as to which exchange opportunities actors will actively pursue and, even more interestingly, which exchange opportunities they will seek to avoid. Even if an actor may derive some benefit from the transfer of goods or services in a particular exchange, that actor may still avoid the exchange if the consummation of the transaction would result in a lowering of the actor's status. Earlier research (Podolny, 1994) has revealed a strong tendency toward status-based homophily in the non-investment grade market. That is, high- status firms tend to manage with high-status firms and low-status firms tend to manage with low-status firms. Such a tendency toward homophily is obviously completely consistent with the finding in this paper that an actor's status is affected by the status of the actor's affiliates. If all actors seek to avoid affiliations with lower-status actors but still have reason to engage in exchange relations, then there should be a tendency toward such homophily. Such homophily, however, implies a restriction on market share. The model and results give additional specificity to the trade-offs involved between seeking to maximize the status of one's exchange partners and seek- ing to add additional partners. Second, this paper illustrates that the value that inheres in any particular exchange is not separable from the larger social organization of the market. Earlier we alluded to one reason why the value that inheres in a transaction is not independent of third parties: a transfer of status only occurs when it can be observed or verified by an actor outside of the dyad. However, there is another reason. Since each actor's status is a function of the status of that actor's exchange partners, whose status is a function of the status of their exchange partners, and so on, a broad set of exchanges impacts on the value that is ascribable to any particular transaction. Given this coupling of any local exchange to the broader global context, 469 The Dynamics of Organizational Status an interesting question for future research will be to consider the dynamics of status from a more macro-level perspective. While the concept of a status distribution implies a unidimensional ordering of firms, status distributions can differ in a number of respects, such as variance or skewness. Accord- ingly, a number of questions may be addressed. How does the status dis- tribution evolve over time? How does the distribution of status affect the amount of exchange in a market? Are there points in the status distribution that represent significant mobility barriers, or is the rate of mobility rel- atively constant across the status distribution? To answer such questions, it will obviously be important to have data on the status distribution over a longer time period than covered in this study. Yet by answering such ques- tions, future research will provide even greater insight into the social struc- tural context in which market exchange is situated. Acknowledgements An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Firms, Markets, and Organizations conference at UC Berkeley'sHaas School of Management, 6-8 October 1995. The authors are indebted to Bill Barnett, Jim Baron, Jon Bendor, Mike Hannan and Trond Petersen for helpful comments. References Barnett, W.P. (1994), The Liability of Collection Action: Growth and Change Among Early Telephone Companies,' in J. Baum and J. Singh (eds) Evolutionary Dynamics of Organizations. 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