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International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 10 Analysis of an Active Traffic Management System Proposed for A Brazilian Highway Felipe Caleffi 1 , Yann Moisan 2 , Helena B. B. Cybis 3 1,2,3 Laboratory of transport systems, of the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Porto Alegre – RS, 90035-180, Brazil Abstract— This paper presents an evaluation of active traffic management (ATM) strategies for a Brazilian freeway. The ATM objectives are to improve freeway traffic and safety conditions. In order to evaluate the impacts of a future implementation, a micro-simulation model was developed through the software VISSIM. The paper presents the model calibration effort to match the Brazilians drivers’ behaviours particularities. The ATM strategies analysed in this paper are speed harmonization and a temporary use of the hard shoulder. Three simulation scenarios were developed for this study: a first scenario without any control strategy - which represents the current freeway conditions; a scenario with the speed harmonization strategy; and a third scenario with the combination of speed harmonization plus temporary use of hard shoulder. The paper analyses the traffic performance under these control strategies and discusses particular consequences of these implementations to a Brazilian road. The simulation brings positives results with both strategies. Keywords— Active traffic management, Brazilian freeway, Hard shoulder running, Micro-simulation, Variable speed limits. I. INTRODUCTION Active traffic management (ATM) strategies rapidly increased in several countries in the latest years. ATM main strategies include speed harmonization and temporary use of the hard shoulder. Speed harmonization involves the use of variable speed limits (VSL) to reduce the speed’s limits on congested roads to maintain a stable flow regime and to reduce accident hazards. Temporary use of hard shoulder adds an extra lane, increasing capacity during congestion or during incident occurrences, when the road is overloaded [1]. Hard shoulder is generally implemented in association with speed harmonization to reduce speeds before opening the hard shoulder [2]. The country’s economic and cultural context where ATM has been implemented may vary, however the main objectives of these strategies usually involve: reducing congestion on highways; improvements on travel time reliability; capacity increase; safety improvement; reduction of accidents number and seriousness [3] and [4]. Additional benefits reported from ATM implementations frequently include faster response time in case of accident, increase on users’ satisfaction due to improvements in drivers’ information and stress reduction [5]. Literature presents several reports [6], [7], [8], [9], [10], [11] and [12] of ATM impact assessments. Although ATM schemes that combined strategies have not been implemented yet in Brazil, the traffic behaviour particularities of the Brazilian freeways provide an adequate environment for the implementation of these strategies. In addition to frequent congestion, traffic is very heterogeneous. Usually each freeway lane presents different average speeds, flow rates and traffic composition. Overtaking is frequent and, under these conditions, very dangerous [13]. ATM can offer the benefit of a speed harmonization scheme helping to postpone flow breakdown, to decrease number of overtaking and collision hazards. Temporary use of the hard shoulders can increase capacity in times of congestion, postponing the need for high investments. Due to the expansion of the road concession program in Brazil, ATM schemes became a serious consideration. This paper presents an ATM schemes evaluation applied to the Brazilian freeway BR-290/RS, located in the state of Rio Grande do Sul. The evaluation was based on a simulation model, developed with the micro-simulation model VISSIM [14]. This article is organized in six sections. The second section presents the studied freeway segment and its operational conditions. The third section describes the model calibration. Simulation scenarios are described in the fourth section. Results from simulations are presented and discussed in the fifth section. Finally, conclusions and future steps are presented in the sixth section. II. FREEWAY SEGMENT CHARACTERIZATION BR-290/RS is a freeway connecting the state capital, Porto Alegre, to coastal cities and the north of the country. It receives high flows during summers and major holidays, increasing speed variability and flow variability. During these periods, congestion and flow breakdowns are frequent. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 11 The segment under study is 10 km long, and contains three lanes and an entry ramp. Speed limits are 110 km/h for light vehicles and 90 km/h for heavy vehicles. An analysis of the road current operating conditions was based on data from inductive loops. These data analysis indicated that traffic behaviour is significantly different on each lane. The left lane (Lane 1) features the highest speeds and flow rates, while the right lane (Lane 3) presents the lowest speeds and flow rates. Speed-flow relationship for data collected on the segment under study, in January 2013 is shown in Fig. 1. Lane 3 receives mostly trucks and buses, which lead to reduced flow rates and speed, since speed limits are different for light and heavy vehicles. Light vehicles traveling at lower speeds than the regulated maximum are also prevailing in this lane. The data is grouped into 5 minute intervals. Fig. 1. Speed-flow relationship. Speed variability observed for all classes of vehicles on all three lanes at free flow conditions was useful to define drivers’ desired speeds in the simulation model. III. CALIBRATION MODEL The simulation model calibration involves several aspects. Vehicles speeds distribution and vehicles engine power distribution were modified to adjust the model to fleet and drivers’ characteristics. Parameters impacting on drivers’ behaviour have also been changed after a two steps process: a sensibility analysis, to define which parameters needed to be altered; and minimization of an error function called fitness function. A. Calibration parameters sensibility analysis A sensibility analysis was conducted for VISSIM´s driving behaviour parameters [14], in order to determine which ones have most significant impact on the road segment under study. The analysis involved combinations for lane changing and car following parameters reported in literature as the most important for freeways environments representation. 256 possible combinations were determined with this analysis. The best set of values to be assigned to each of the calibration parameters was determined as result of this analysis. 1) Lane Changes Calibration for lane changing parameters was conducted to improve the Brazilians drivers’ behaviour representation, which are very aggressive regarding changing lanes. The parameter "safe distance reduction factor" was modified in order to find the value that best represents drivers’ aggressiveness during lane changes. This parameter is crucial because the drivers’ aggressiveness in this case study leads to a significantly different performance than the resultant from the VISSIM default values. 2) Car following Through the sensitivity analysis, the parameters "Headway time (CC1)", "Following variation (CC2)", "Threshold for entering following (CC3)" and "Followingpositive and negative threshold (CC4 and CC5)" were determined to be the most influencing parameters on the model’s performance. These adjusted parameters allowed the model to better represent drivers’ behaviour that travel more aggressively and maintain shorter distances while following another vehicle, with higher acceleration and decelerations rates. B. Model calibration and validation The calibration and validation process was performed by comparing data from inductive loops with simulation outputs. The comparison was based on a fitness function which determined the relative error between performance measures obtained on the field, and outputs from the simulation. For the average speeds calibration, outputs from the model were obtained from virtual loops defined in the same locations as freeway’s loops. Equation 1 presents the fitness function. ( | | ) (1) Where: F(Fitness) is the average speeds relative error; A.V.Collected is the collected average speed; and A.V.Modelled is the modeled average speed. Video analyses from cameras positioned along several road locations were carried out to verify the adequacy of lane changing behaviour. The visual validation of lane changing behaviour took into account three vehicles classes in the simulation: cars, trucks and buses. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 12 As the study objectives is to model freeway behaviour and to calibrate the simulation model for periods preceding congestion, the validation was particularly concerned with analysing the model performance for flow rates above 4000 veh/h. Table I Average Speeds And Fitness Values Average Speed Collected Ideal Combination VISSIM Default Parameters Values Average Speed Modelled Fitness Value Average Speed Modelled Fitness Value Location 1 88,75 km/h 86,40 km/h 2,64% 82,29 km/h 7,27% Location 2 80,12 km/h 79,81 km/h 0,38% 72,40 km/h 9,63% High fitness values for default parameters shows that the calibration was a necessary step in the modelling process, and low values for the ―ideal combination‖ prove the calibration is satisfactory. Locations 1 and 2 are located in the G1 and G4 marks respectively, in Fig. 2. A qualitative evaluation of the flow-speed clouds of the data collected and simulated was also performed. When flow rates reach values up to 4000 veh/h, the average speed variability increases significantly and congestion starts to build up. Under these circumstances car following and lane change parameters have their most important influence on model results. IV. THE MODEL STRUCTURE ATM strategies were implemented with the assistance of vehicle actuated programing tool (VAP) provided by VISSIM. VAP is a programming tool that enables the simulation of traffic control strategies in response to traffic conditions in real time [14]. In order to evaluate ATM strategies potential benefits in the studied segment, three simulation scenarios were constructed (A, B and C). Scenario A simulated the road segment without any ATM strategy, to represent the current freeway traffic conditions. Scenario B modelled only speed harmonization strategy, using variable speed limits (VSL). Scenario C simulated the road segment controlled by a combination of speed harmonization and temporary use of hard shoulder. The input demand modelled represents 8 hours of simulation, related to the period from 14:00 to 22:00, and flow pattern typical of summer peak period, in which the highway BR-290/RS receives the highest flow rates. A. Model layout The modelled road segment has 10 km long and an access ramp. Eleven gantries were created in the model to simulate speed harmonization and temporary use of hard shoulder. These gantries are responsible for indicating a possible change in speed limits, and indicating when the hard shoulder is available for use. Fig. 2 presents the modelled road segment, with the eleven gantries. Detectors responsible for gathering information about speeds, flows and occupancy for each lane are positioned in the same location of each gantry. Fig. 2. Part under study. Gantries are spaced 800 meters, which is indicated by [15] as the average spacing on highways where ATM is implemented. These gantries are called G1 to G11, respectively. The segment from gantry 5 to the end was selected to receive the temporary hard shoulder strategy, since additional traffic from the access ramp and the reduction on the number of lanes from four to three lanes in gantry 5 characterizes a bottleneck. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 13 The segment between the ramp and gantry 5, which hosts the increase and subsequent decrease in number of lanes, is the most critical segment. Congestion incidence is higher in this segment due to the bottleneck and additional traffic from the ramp. Average speeds reduce significantly when congestion occurs. B. ATM control algorithm The control strategies used to determine variable speed limits (VSL) in the speed harmonization are essential for the system successful operation. These strategies are implemented through an algorithm that compares indicators and thresholds that trigger the speed or temporary use of hard shoulder. Information from detectors allows controlling these strategies in real time, optimizing the process [16]. The control algorithm is designed to select speed limits and use of hard shoulder based on average measures of flow, speed and occupancy over a two minutes period. These limits are selected using information from detectors which are positioned in each gantry, on each lane, including the hard shoulder. Measures are made on the hard shoulder only when it is currently in use. This design incorporates the state of practice of the first ATM systems. Algorithms examples and their boundaries can be found in [17] and [18]. Parameters values for the control algorithm modelled were selected based on a road characterization study during critical periods preceding traffic jam occurrences. This study gathers freeway speeds, flow rates and occupancy averages. Thresholds of flow (4000 veh/h) and occupancy (15%) were selected according to a data historical analysis from freeway’s sensors. They represent boundaries values preceding significant speed decays, when congestion starts. ATM algorithm modelled defines three speed limits: freeway speed limit (110 km/h); first speed reduction (90 km/h); and second speed reduction (70 km/h). ATM system is activated when traffic data measured (each two minutes) on a gantry detector exceed the control algorithm thresholds. Speeds displayed in the upstream gantries are determined based on their location on an ―action zone‖ or a ―transition zone‖, described below: • Action zone – Speed harmonisation and/or temporary use of hard shoulder are activated in the detection gantry and the two closest upstream gantries. • Transition zone – If speed limit activated is reduced from 110 to 70 km/h, the last gantry in the action zone (second closest upstream) should display speed limit of 90 km/h, to provide a gradual speed reduction for drivers. The flowchart of the control algorithm modelled in this study is presented in Fig. 3. The algorithm’s first step consists in reading detectors at every two minutes. Fig. 3. Control algorithm flowchart. Average detected values, corresponding of two minutes data, arecompared with the threshold of flow rate, occupancy and speed, to determine whether or not the ATM system should be activated. ATM deactivation happens when freeway flow rate is smaller than 4000 veh/h and occupancy is smaller than 15%. Fig. 4. shows the speed-flow relationship of the freeway for data collected in January 2013, indicating the data set where ATM system would be activated, according to the control algorithm thresholds. Fig. 4. Speed-flow relationship indicating the thresholds and the activated and deactivated system. Red lines indicate the two speed thresholds that activate the system, and green line indicates the flow rate threshold that activates the system. Blue dots indicate when ATM system would be disabled – operating at speed limit of 110 km/h. Black dots, brown dots, green dots and grey dots indicate the freeway status where system was activated, in correspondence with the flowchart colours. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 14 C. Modelled scenarios This study presents three simulation scenarios (A - without any control, B - with speed harmonization strategy and C - speed harmonization and temporary use of hard shoulder strategy), in order to examine separately the effects of an isolated strategy, and the effect strategies combination. The scenario "A - without any control" corresponds to the freeway BR-290/RS current conditions, operating without any ATM strategy. V. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The analysed performance parameters were: (i) average speeds in gantry 5; (ii) travel times and (iii) number of lane changes accounted by the simulation model in the whole modelled segment. Average speeds, travel time and number of lane changes are accounted as the averages of six simulation replications. A. Averages speeds The road bottleneck segment is located on the gantry 5 section. At this point the speeds fall due to disturbances caused by the access ramp and the lanes reduction. Therefore, it is in this point that ATM strategies have the most significant impact on traffic. Results of simulation scenarios A, B and C for gantry 5 are shown in Fig. 5. The figure presents the comparison between average speeds obtained for simulation scenarios operating without control, with VSL only, and with VSL plus hard shoulder. In VSL only scenarios, speed drops due to congestion are delayed and smoother. VSL only scenarios also lead to shorter collapse periods. Speed harmonization adopted in segments upstream the bottleneck lead to decreased headways, reduced number of lane changes and overtakings. VSL generated smother traffic streams, reducing conflicts probability that generate incidents. It also reduced sudden drops due to congestion and increased flow throughput. The temporary opening of hard shoulder during congestion provided an additional lane, and eliminated the bottleneck in the fifth gantry. Speed harmonization upstream gantry 5 is essential to obtain positive effects in the bottleneck. It promoted a smoother flow regime, with fewer conflicts on the bottleneck approach. ATM strategies reduced flows oscillation when the road is operating close to capacity. Fig. 5. Speeds for simulations A, B and C in gantry 5. Values on the graph represent averages for two minute intervals. ATM system was activated during a longer period in scenario C (VSL plus hard shoulder) than in scenario B (VSL only), what seems paradoxical. The extended activation period in scenario C is explained by the fact that vehicles on the hard shoulder are travelling at same speeds of vehicles on the third lane. Considering the significant difference observed on vehicles average speeds on each lane, the extra lane provided by the hard shoulder would contribute to reduce the average speed of the whole section, maintaining the system active for a longer period. Due to the observed heterogeneity on lane flows, as presented in Fig. 1, it was conducted an analysis on the VSL implementation impact on lanes’ flows was conducted. Flow rates per lane for simulations A and B are presented in Fig. 6. Gantry 4 has been selected for this particular study due to its position upstream the perturbation from the access ramp that captures the shock waves propagation. When not operating at critical conditions, flow pattern on each lane tend to keep its particular distribution: flows on the left lane are clearly higher than on the right lane. At critical conditions, when speeds present a significant decay, flow rates on the three lanes tend to level. On scenario A (Without control), lane flows tend to remain levelled for a longer period than in scenario B (VSL only). International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 15 Fig. 6. Flow rates per lane for simulations A and B in the gantry 4. This lane flows equalization is the reflection of an increase in lane changes. In scenario B, the congestion period is shorter and so is the time period when lanes’ flow are equalized. Flow patterns in scenario B lead to a reduction in lane changes and consequently to an expected increase in safety. Scenario C is not analysed because it did not present congestion and lanes’ flow patterns were not altered. B. Lane changes One of the ATM benefits is the increase in road safety. There is natural understanding that lane changing manoeuvres may provide potential incidents, and may be considered an accident hazard indicator. VSL implementation is expected to decrease lane changes because vehicles would not be encouraged to overtake due to speeds variability reduction. Incidents probability is expected to decrease when reducing lane changes [6]. This study evaluated the lane changes accounted during the simulation period on all scenarios. Brazilians drivers present an aggressive driving behaviour pattern and lane changes observed on the field is higher than naturally represented by the simulation models default values. Therefore, the simulation model was calibrated from videos analysis in order to represent lane changes behaviour observed on the road. Number of lane changes accounted in the three simulation scenarios, at intervals of two minutes, for the 10 km modelled is presented in Fig. 7. Fig. 7. Comparison of lane changes between simulations. Lane changes occurrence in scenario B (VSL only) decreased 30% when compared with scenario A (no ATM strategy). The reduction of lane changes in scenario C (VSL plus hard shoulder) compared to scenario A was 43%. In spite of the additional lane available in scenario C, a smaller number of lane changes were recorded. The additional capacity eliminated speed drops that characterize congestion, allowing vehicles to travel at more comfortable speeds, reducing the desire for overtaking. C. Travel times Another benefit of ATM systems, pointed out by [1], [6] and [11], is the increase in travel time reliability. As underlined by [19], various freeways with ATM schemes recorded travel times reduction as well as a reduction in travel time variability. The modelled vehicles travel times crossing studied the 10 km segment was measured every two minutes and averages are presented in Fig. 8. for the three scenarios. There is a significant reduction in travel times when ATM strategies are implemented, particularly between 16:00 and 20:00 hours, period during which the freeway is operating with high flow rates. Speed harmonization presents significant impacts on travel times when significant drops in speed occur. International Journalof Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 6, Issue 4, April 2016) 16 Fig. 8. Comparison of travel times between simulations. Considering that the VSL plus hard shoulder practically eliminated congestion for the tested demand, scenario C provided the most reliable conditions regarding travel times. A comparison between maximum and minimum travel time, travel time variability and average travel times are presented in Table II, for the period between 16:00 and 20:00. Table II Comparison Between Travel Times During Peak Period For The Studied 10 Km Segment Travel Time 16:00 to 20:00 Without Control [min] VSL [min] VSL plus Hard Shoulder [min] Maximum 13:43 11:11 08:35 Minimum 07:17 07:01 06:51 Variability 06:26 04:10 01:44 Average Time 11:51 09:49 07:40 For the simulated peak demand, average travel times reduced 17% and travel time variability decreased 35% when comparing scenarios A and B. Average travel time reduced 35% and travel time variability decreased 73% when comparing scenarios A and C. VI. CONCLUSION The particularities in Brazilian freeways, such as, different average speeds and flow between lanes, along with different traffic compositions in each lane makes the country a good candidate to receive ATM innovative strategies. ATM has the potential to provide benefits by harmonizing the traffic speeds, delaying the onset of congestion, and reducing lane changes and overtakings. The study results shown that ATM systems have a positive impact on traffic operation. ATM reduced average travel times and variability, and reduced the number of lane changes, implying a reduced probability of conflicts and incidents. ATM success mainly depends on users’ understanding and their behaviour regarding these strategies. In modelling environments, vehicle behaviour is predetermined by the traffic simulator, and often cannot represent the behaviours variability displayed by users in real traffic conditions. The same can be said regarding the strategies deployed in the simulator. Thus, an ATM implementation on freeways should take into account issues such as users understanding before implementing new control strategies. Users understanding contribute to improve compliance and minimize drivers’ behavioural variability when deploying innovative strategies. After carried out this research, the concessionary running the freeway under study decided to implement those strategies, beginning with the temporary use of hard shoulder due to financial and constructions issues. Results, coming from the practical use of this ATM strategy, showed operating conditions improvement when congestion occurs and a good level of understanding and compliance from users was noticed. Acknowledgment The authors thank the support from CONCEPA – Concessionary running the freeway modelled, and ANTT – Brazilian Terrestrial Transport National Agency, enabling access to traffic data. REFERENCES [1] P. V. Sisiopiku, A. Sullivan, and G. Fadel, ―Implementing active traffic management strategies in the U.S.,‖ University Transportation Center for Alabama, Department of Management and Safety in Transportation Systems, Report no. 08206, 2009. [2] B. 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