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Mecânica das Rochas para Recursos Naturais e Infraestrutura SBMR 2014 – Conferência Especializada ISRM 09-13 Setembro 2014 © CBMR/ABMS e ISRM, 2014 SBMR 2014 Geological-geomechanical modeling as a support for the design and monitoring of oil wells Vivian Rodrigues Marchesi PUC-Rio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, vivianrm@puc-rio.br Débora Lopes Pilotto Domingues PUC-Rio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, deborapilotto@puc-rio.br Alvaro Gustavo Talavera Lopez, PUC-Rio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, alvaro@ele.puc-rio.br Sergio Augusto Barreto da Fontoura PUC-Rio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, fontoura@puc-rio.br Clemente José Gonçalves Petrobras, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, clemente@petrobras.com.br Marcos Fonseca Alcure Petrobras, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, alcure@petrobras.com.br SUMMARY: Well design and drilling strategy planning are critical steps during exploration and development of oil and gas fields, but the workflow for well design usually follows a simplified methodology that generally focuses on only one or on a few correlation wells. 3D models are only available for, and focused on, reservoir volume prediction and fluid flow simulation. Lately, it is possible to see some efforts to enhance the full comprehension of the whole field and to develop a more robust well design by using 3D characterization techniques. This paper shows the steps involved in the development of a 3D geological-geomechanical model and how these models can be used as a robust tool to support decision makers. The methodology consists of preparing a geological model which comprises both overburden and reservoir zones, studying and distributing representative geomechanical facies, distributing properties/data of interest, applying correlations between initial data and rock mechanics properties, and calculating in situ stresses. Results of a case study show that an integrated analysis between geologists and geomechanical engineers is instrumental for an efficient 3D geomechanical characterization. Some direct benefits of these models are a global view of field behavior and integrated data, facilitating communication between expert teams, anticipating and preparing for possible drilling hazards and instantly extracting data for each desired well path, and increasing the reliability of well design. KEYWORDS: 3D geological-geomechanical modeling, well design, stability analysis. 1 INTRODUCTION Increasing geology complexity featured in new oil and gas reserves has forced petroleum industry to change its method of creating well design. The classical workflow method includes defining a few offset, already drilled, wells as a guide for well design. This methodology is well established and sufficiently accurate for non- complex fields. However, the challenge of new scenarios cannot be fully appreciated by using the classical methodology. Well design experts, therefore, have been forced to develop a more robust field characterization in order to reproduce the geological and geomechanical complexity of these sites. Some of the first attempts to solve this issue SBMR 2014 were developed by Kristiansen et al. (1999), using a 3D integrated analysis of wellbore instability events faced during drilling and 3D seismic attributes in order to minimize drilling risks in the Valhall field, North Sea. As the authors have noted, geomechanical problems were encountered in some wells but not in others. Thus, they looked at potential heterogeneous rock strength changes that could not be picked up by relying solely on offset well information. They found that the geomechanical problems could be characterized by developing a geological model utilizing top formation surfaces and 3D seismic coherency data for the overburden. This model has helped in defining safer well trajectories by avoiding fault areas with a narrow operational mud window. Al-Ruwaili and Chardac (2003) advanced this methodology by modeling the spatial distribution of rock mechanical properties and in situ stresses as a tool for improving well stability for future drilling at the Ghawar field, Saudi Arabia. Similar and better methodologies, developed to solve specific geomechanical issues, have been employed by Torres et al. (2005), Araújo et al. (2010), Den Boer et al. (2011) and Tellez et al. (2012). The present paper aims at presenting the steps involved in a 3D geological- geomechanical characterization for drilling purposes. A case study illustrating the benefits of applying this technique is also presented. 2 METHODOLOGY Defining model goal - The general goal of the methodology presented here (Figure 1) is to better understand field behavior and improve well design. Before starting the 3D geological- geomechanical modeling, it is fundamental to have the details of the model goal well established (Turner, 2006). Even if the general objective has already been defined, various levels of complexity should be reached when considering geology, specific drilling events experienced, and time and data available. The focus of Kristiansen et al. (1999) was to identify areas near faults, which they found to display potential risks for drilling, and avoid them. In this case, the model could be a simple one, in which it is sufficient to model stratigraphy and integrate 3D seismic coherency into it; thus, identifying better well paths. Figure 1. Geological-geomechanical modeling workflow. In some cases, there are other features that need to be characterized, such as: rock mechanical properties, pore pressure, and in situ stresses. This can be observed in the works presented by Araújo et al. (2010), Den Boer et al. (2011) and Tellez et al. (2012). Collecting and preparing data - Data collection and preparation are intrinsically connected with the final goal and complexity of the model. Usually, data from different sources and technical areas (i.e. stratigraphic and structural geology, well paths and well logs, well tests, drilling events and seismic data) are collected and analyzed in an integrated way. Integrated data analysis - Once all data are spatially located on the same 3D modeling software, it is possible to identify possible connections between observed drilling events and structural geology, or with specific geological horizons or even to conclude that some in situ stress perturbation or some abnormal pore pressure generating mechanism may be present on the modeled area. Structural and stratigraphic modeling - Structural and stratigraphic modeling consists of developing an integrated interpretation between well and seismic data. Geological zones with similar geomechanical behavior are defined by picking up well tops and propagating Collecting and preparing data Structural and stratigraphic modeling Facies modeling Property modeling Modeling rock mechanics In situ stress and pore pressure prediction Integrated data analysis Defining model goal SBMR 2014 them by seismic interpretation gap between wells and extrapolating to border areas (Figure 2). Figure 2. Stratigraphic and structural modeling. After interpretation, these data are used to model horizon and fault surfaces, generating the geological model geometry. In order to represent the necessary refinement of these data inside the model, it is necessary to create a grid capable of providing a representative3D cell size. It is important to highlight that a model prepared for drilling purposes has to be much more accurate than cells of models for reservoir simulation purposes. It is vital that cell height is not so big that it loses important features captured by well logs. Laterally, cells can have a greater size, but one has to be careful not to create a support effect on further geostatistical predictions, as discussed by Armstrong (1998). Facies modeling – Even if horizons have been mapped to separate zones with characteristic geomechanical behavior, they are usually too large, especially in the case of overburden zones. Inside these zones it is common to find interspersed lithologies with distinct properties. In order to capture these features in the geological models, facies modeling is performed for future geomechanical drilling purposes. Facies are classified according to the specific purpose for each model, and are distributed inside zones. For well stability applications, the model needs to contemplate rock properties, which are correlated to well logs depending on the lithology groups of similar mechanical properties. Therefore, lithofacies are classified and spatially distributed by using geostatistical simulation techniques. Once the model is populated with lithofacies, it is already possible to advance towards a better global field comprehension, and identify possible risk areas. Property modeling – in order to predict rock mechanics, in situ stresses and pore pressure along the field, geophysical well logs are used as a data entry; so, their distribution is predicted first. Similar to the procedure adopted for facies distribution, properties are analyzed and distributed for each geological zone modeled. These well log properties are intrinsically dependent upon lithology; thus, the spatial data analysis (or variography, or structural data analysis) is made individually in each facies present inside a zone. In addition to the facies discretization and structural analysis, the spatial property distribution can be guided by a secondary property between wells. This secondary property can be a seismic attribute or another previously modeled property, plentiful enough to be considered a hard data. Modeling rock mechanics – given the high cost to collect samples, laboratory tests are not usually available in oil and gas fields. Due to this limitation, empirical correlations are normally used to approximate rock properties. Their 3D distribution can be achieved by three principal methodologies: direct correlation between tests (or curves predicted on wells) and 3D seismic attributes; prediction along wells and 3D distribution by geostatistical or neural networks techniques; prediction by applying correlations directly on predicted log properties cubes (Al-Ruwaili et al., 2003; Holland et al., 2010; Araújo et al., 2010). In situ stress and pore pressure prediction – In situ stress prediction can be separated in vertical and horizontal stresses. Vertical stress is directly obtained by integrating the density cube in depth, while horizontal stresses require SBMR 2014 a more complex analysis. Minimum horizontal stress can be approximated by leak off (LOT) or hydraulic fracture tests (Zoback et al., 2003) on specific well depths where they were performed. Some techniques commonly used to spatially distribute the horizontal stresses are: correlating these data with vertical stress (Rocha & Azevedo, 2009); predict both minimum and maximum horizontal stresses along wells by lateral strain approach and distribute it, correlating with seismic data (Al-Ruwaili & Chardac, 2003); adopting a correlation with the depth of sediments (Rocha & Azevedo, 2009). In addition to the lateral strain technique, maximum horizontal stress can be approximated from well instabilities, where induced fractures and breakouts, added up to rock properties and failure criteria, can be used to obtain maximum horizontal stress from the minimum one (Zoback et al., 2003). Taking out basin modeling, which extends beyond the scope of this study, pore pressure prediction in a 3D model can be accessed by applying methods developed for 1D prediction on shale lithologies (Eaton, 1975; Bowers, 1995). On a further step, fluid flow calculations are applied to hydrostatically distribute fluids in permeable lithologies. The idea is to use 3D cubes to predict pore pressure and calibrate it with direct measures on permeable zones. Usually this approach is applied directly for interval velocity cubes seismically derived (Den Boer et al., 2011), or for high resolution velocity cubes predicted by using compressional transit time, Dtc, well logs and interval velocity cubes (Bachrach et al., 2007). 3 CASE STUDY A case study is presented here to illustrate the methodology. Coordinates are purposely hidden to guarantee confidentiality. The aim of the model was to characterize the geomechanical field behavior, to provide all necessary data for designing new wells and to support decisions during drilling in the area. Well logs, stratigraphy and lithology were used to define representative geological horizons that divide zones of characteristic geomechanical behavior. The classification of facies capable of dividing the overburden into more discrete and representative clusters was closely observed. The idea is to enable the possibility of picking up geomechanical differences. Shales, marl, siltstones, and clays were divided into individual facies, as well as sands, diamictite, carbonates, igneous rocks and an additional group of lithologies. The authors intend to discretize different strength behavior inside the overburden (into clays, less compacted, shales, which are fissile, siltstones and marls). Sequential indicator simulation was used to spatially distribute facies, as it can be seen in Figure 3. A qualitative analysis of the results showed that the overall expected behavior of lithology distribution agreed with local geology. Figure 3. Facies model. Near mudline facies are predominantly clay, which are, then, replaced by shale and some lenses of marl and siltstone. Inside, the second zone diamictite prevails, but there are some shale lenses. The third zone is reservoirs and sand predominates, followed by the fourth zone, which comprises igneous rocks, sealing a barrier between the upper and lower reservoirs. Below the second reservoir there is more shale. Properties derived from well logs, such as density (Rhob), compressional sonic wave (Dtc) and shear wave (Dts) were spatially distributed by employing geostatistical simulation techniques. These logs were chosen for the further application of rock mechanics correlations and for in situ stress and pore SBMR 2014 pressure studies. Spatial correlation analysis of well data was performed individually for each facies. Rhob and Dtc presented good results, respectively presenting mean absolute percentage errors of approximately 5% and 2.5% along the well reserved for blind test. This is considered to be a small error for predictions in engineering applications. For predicting Dtc, interval seismic velocity was also used as secondary data. Dts, that was less abundant, was not guided by facies for distribution, because there were not enough data to analyze individual variograms.Gamma ray (GR) did not demonstrate good spatial correlation on variograms, so it was distributed by using the inverse distance squared method. Rock mechanical correlations were directly applied to these cubes, using facies distribution to separate the best-fit correlations. A previous study of recommended correlations for this area had been done. Figure 4 shows the cube obtained for unconfined compressive strength (UCS). Figure 4. Spatial distribution of UCS. Laboratory test data were not available for validation, so the arithmetic mean of the simulated scenarios was extracted along the blind test well and compared to the results by applying the same correlations to the measured wireline logs. It can be seen from Figure 5 that a close approximation was achieved. Notwithstanding to smoothness, that is a consequence of the cell size, the model provided a very good UCS prediction. The integration of water and sediment densities (previously predicted density cube) with depth defined the vertical stress cube. The modeled area has water depths varying from 500 m to 2000 m, which reflects on the lateral changes of vertical stresses along the field (Figure 6). Figure 5. Quality control of modeled UCS in a blind test (red line is the predicted UCS and blue line is the UCS calculated from measured logs). Figure 6. Vertical stress cube calculated by integrating densities on depth. It was assumed that the case study is allocated on an extensional stress regime, therefore minimum and maximum horizontal stresses are considered equal. The minimum horizontal stress was distributed by employing two strategies: a pseudo 3D distribution technique, through adjusting a linear regression between LOTs and depth of sediments and; 3D distribution of stresses from wells to the model guided by vertical stress. SBMR 2014 The first technique presented better physical results, as the second technique resulted in a noisy performance in some areas of the model. The correlation obtained between minimum stress and depth of sediments was applied to the model in order to obtain a 3D distribution. Figure 7 shows a comparison between global data and the available test on the validation well. Note that the wellbore test validation presents a lower value than the global field trend. This feature could be considered a consistent behavior in that area of the field or not. Nevertheless, as there is only a single test available for that part of the modeled area, it cannot be confirmed if it is a valid behavior. The model distribution used the global trend, while post-mortem stability analysis of the validation well was performed with its own data. Figure 7. Correlation of LOT data and depth of sediments. Pressure and depth values were purposely removed (red color: validation well; blue color: global data). Pore pressure prediction was performed as illustrated on Figure 8. Initial data analysis indicated that overpressures were not expected at this field. The RFTs (repeated formation test) histogram showed that the majority of values are concentrated near 8.73 lb/gal with few exceptions varying for maximum of 9.3 lb/gal, which is still considered a normal pore pressure gradient. The Eaton method was used to predict pressures along the model. In order to map the normal compaction trend line, Dtc was filtered by well lithologies and the facies cube to contain data only on clay lithologies/facies. The trend line obtained at the wells was distributed for the global field. Figure 8. Pore pressure prediction workflow. The Eaton method was applied only to shale and propagated in sand assuming a hydrostatic pressure distribution inside them. If the depths of fluid contacts were available, buoyancy effects could be computed in these models. Obtained pressures were validated and calibrated to RFT data in good agreement. By analyzing the Dtc and Rhob logs of igneous rocks, it was found that they were not highly fractured (image logs were not available to confirm this). Therefore, it was assumed that the fractures were not connected, so pore pressure on that facies is equal to zero. The modeled cubes permitted good analysis of the global field geomechanical behavior, including potentially low strength zones, with low UCS. All modeled data including facies, logs, mechanical properties, pore pressure and in situ stresses were extracted along the trajectory of the validation wellbore. The necessary time to extract data took very few minutes. This data were further used to perform a well stability analysis, simulating a well design. Data acquired during drilling was used to develop a post-mortem analysis. Results obtained are illustrated on Figure 9. Note that the lithology was well predicted, even capable of discretize overburden where data was not available on the post-mortem analysis (the initial thick light green color), where a clay lithology was assumed. The lower limits of the mud weight window were well predicted too, and it can be seen that pore pressure was also well predicted. Pressure data analysis Filter shale points Global trend Shale pore pressure Filter Sand pore pressure Special filters SBMR 2014 Figure 9. Comparison of project (3D prediction) and post- mortem (1D) mud weight window. Blue dots are pressure measures and the black dot is a LOT pressure. Minimum horizontal stresses demonstrated a considerable difference because of the atypical measure of LOT pressure when compared to the global data (pink: post- mortem; yellow: project from 3D). Apart from this difference, where it is not possible to confirm the robustness of the LOT data, results obtained were considered very satisfactory. 4 CONCLUSIONS The main points observed during the study can be highlighted here: 3D modeling is a good solution for accurately predicting well log properties, where not only one offset well is being used to predict it, but all available wells. In addition, picking up horizons and facies and properties prediction are guided by seismic interpretation between wells. Even lithofacies can be well predicted by using 3D techniques; The 3D modeling of rock properties can highlight possible instability zones; Lateral transfer techniques and fluid buoyancy effects can be considered in pore pressure along the entire field; Once the 3D model is created, data can be instantly extracted for each desired well trajectory, making the well design process much faster. A model can be updated as new data are made available and it can be used to guide real time decisions in an integrated and spatial analysis. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors thank Schlumberger for providing PetrelTM academic license and Petrobras for making data available for this case study. REFERENCES Al-Ruwaili, S.B.; Chardac, O. (2003) 3D Model for Rock Strength & In-Situ Stresses in the Khuff Formation of Ghawar Field, Methodologies & Applications. Middle East Oil Show, 9-12 June, Bahrain. SPE-81476-MS. Araújo, E. et al. 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