Baixe o app para aproveitar ainda mais
Prévia do material em texto
Brazil, Energy and Power IV Antonio Luiz Silva de Menezes March, 26th 2002 Houston - USA Panel D - Gas Mineral CoalWood Hydro Power Sugar-Cane Derivatives Others Crude Oil Natural Gas Source: MME-BEB Note: hydraulic power conversion coefficient = 0.29 toe/MWh 2005 Total: 287 million toe Natural Gas share to triple to 2005 1999 Total: 253 million toe Gas share of energy mix will rise from 3% to 10% in 2005 Gas accounts for over 58% of energy consumption growth Brazilian Energy Consumption ARJONA 120 MW TRÊS LAGOAS 240 MW CANOAS (REFAP) 500 MW CORUMBÁ 90 MW ARAUCÁRIA 480 MW PIRATININGA 600 MW FORTALEZA NATAL J.PESSOA RECIFE MACEIÓ ARACAJU SALVADOR VITÓRIA RIO DE JANEIRO MANAUS PORTO VELHO CUIABÁ C.GRANDE CURITIBA CAMPINAS FLORIANÓPOLIS SÃO PAULO BELO HORIZONTE BRASÍLIA RIOGEN 500 MW TERMOBAHIA 450 MW FAFEN 56 MW TERMORIO 1.036 MW ELETROBOLT 350 MW MACAÉ MERCHANT 870 MW IBIRITÉ 690 MW JUIZ DE FORA 103 MW PORTO ALEGRE TERMOPERNAMBUCO 500 MW FORTALEZA 307 MW TERMOCEARÁ 270 MW TERMOSERGIPE 90 MW TERMOAÇU 325 MW CAMAÇARI 300 MW BONGI 150 MW COTEMINAS 90 MW ARJONA (upgrade ) 80 MW TERMOGAÚCHA 500 MW TERMO CATARINENSE NORTE 350 MW CCBS (CUBATÃO) 440 MW NORTE FLUMINENSE 778 MW SANTA CRUZ (upgrade) 320 MW SÃO GONÇALO (reactivation) 193 MW CAMPOS (upgrade ) 80 MW NORTE CAPIXABA 250 MW VITÓRIA 500 MW GCE Instructions: nº 36, 37, 47 Thermo Electrical Priority Program - PPT New Power Generation: A Driver for Gas Supply Gas demand growth of 35% / yr; power generation to account for about 50% By 2005 Petrobras will market 75,5 MM m3/d and supply 50 MM m3/d 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 50 MM m3/d Petrobras' E&P Gas by 2005 Thermo electrical Not Thermo electrical Natural Gas Demand in Brazil (MM m3/d) BRAZIL 7.6 tcf (215.1 Bm3) Reserves for Southern Cone Market TOTAL SOUTHERN CONE BOLIVIA 38.8 tcf (1,098.1 Bm3) ARGENTINA 26.4 tcf (747.1 Bm3) 25 yrR/P 2.9 tcf/yr (82.1 Bm3/yr) Demand (2005) 72.8 tcf (2,060.2 Bm3) Reserves (2000) Gas Supply for the Brazilian Market BRAZIL 7.6 tcf (215.1 Bm3) BOLIVIA 38.8 tcf (1,098.1 Bm3) ARGENTINA 26.4 tcf (747.1 Bm3) 25 yrR/P 2.9 tcf/yr (82.1 Bm3/yr) Demand (2005) 72.8 tcf (2,060.2 Bm3) Reserves (2000) PETROBRAS 10.1 tcf (285.83 Bm3) in Brazil, Bolivia, and Argentina TOTAL SOUTHERN CONE PETROBRAS Proven Gas Reserves Total Network.: 7.755 Km Existing Under construction Under Study URUCU PORTO VELHO JURUÁ FORTALEZA NATAL J. PESSOA RECIFE MACEIÓ ARACAJÚ SALVADOR BELO HORIZONTE CUIABÁ SÃO MATEUS BRASÍLIA RIO DE JANEIRO FLORIANÓPOLIS PORTO ALEGRE CURITIBA CAMPO GRANDE SANTOS VITÓRIA Brazilian Gas Pipeline Network Integration Gas Pipeline SÃO PAULO CAMPINAS Natural Gas Demand by Sector 2001 AVERAGE: 20.9 MM m3/dia 77% 4% 5% 2% 9% 3% FUEL RES/COM PETROCHEMICAL SIDERURGICAL AUTOMOTIVE THERMAL 2005 AVERAGE: 75.5 MM m3/dia 41% 2% 2% 1% 5% 49% Potential Natural Gas SupplyPotential Natural Gas Supply 2001 20.9 MMm3/d 2005 75.5 MMm3/d 45% 38% 10% 7% NATIONAL GAS BOLIVIAN GAS ARGENTINEAN GAS LNG 51% 49% NATIONAL GAS BOLIVIAN GAS Increasing Logistic CapacityIncreasing Logistic Capacity The additional demand will lead the expansion of the Natural Gas Pipelines: Anticipation of the transportation capacity of 30 MM m3/d in 1st quarter/2003 and expansion in 2004 Anticipation of the transportation capacity of 5 MM m3/d Southeast and Northeast Network Integration Gas Pipeline Brazil-Bolivia Gas Pipeline Uruguaiana-Porto Alegre Pipeline Increasing capacity for domestic transportation Increasing capacity for gas importation and domestic network Total Network.: 7.755 Km Existing Under construction Under Study URUCU PORTO VELHO JURUÁ FORTALEZA NATAL J. PESSOA RECIFE MACEIÓ ARACAJÚ SALVADOR BELO HORIZONTE CUIABÁ SÃO MATEUS BRASÍLIA RIO DE JANEIRO FLORIANÓPOLIS PORTO ALEGRE CURITIBA CAMPO GRANDE SANTOS VITÓRIA Integration Gas Pipeline SÃO PAULOCAMPINAS Expansion of Gas Pipeline Network Southeast Network Investment US$ 700 MM Current Capacity: 30 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 70 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 1.500 Km Current Capacity: 30 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 70 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 1.500 Km Investment US$ 300 MM Northeast Network Current Capacity: 12 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 24 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 415 Km Current Capacity: 12 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 24 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 415 Km Fortaleza Ceará Paru Furado Catu Lubnor Pilar Rio Grande do Norte Guamaré Alagoas Pernambuco Paraíba Bahia Sergipe Natal João Pessoa Recife Maceió Aracaju Salvador LNG Existing Compression Aditional Compression New Pipelines Lease Compression Aracati Suape Atalaia Carmópolis 14 ”x2 81 km 18 ”x 10 3 k m - Catu-Carmópolis Pilar-Paru Loop Nordestão 14”x35 km Loop Paru-Robalo14”x75km Northeast Network Investment US$ 300 MM Current Capacity: 12 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 24 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 415 Km (diameters: 14 a 18”) Current Capacity: 12 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 24 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 415 Km (diameters: 14 a 18”) Expansion of Gas Pipeline Network Regap Reduc Revap Recap RPBC Refap Replan Bolívia Campos B. Uruguaiana Santos Basin TSB Guararema TBG GTB Gasan Gaspal Gasbel Gasbol (8) (3) (2) Campinas - Rio Campinas - RPBC Current Compression Campo Grande Campinas Curitiba Florianópolis Porto Alegre Japeri Cabiunas (2) (1) São Carlos - Betim Aditional Compression Southeast Network Investment US$ 700 MM Current Capacity: 30 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 70 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 1.500 Km (diameters: 20 a 36”) Current Capacity: 30 MM m3/d Future Capacity : 70 MM m3/d Km Aditional: 1.500 Km (diameters: 20 a 36”) Expansion of Gas Pipeline Network Paraíba 150 MW TermoAlagoas 120 MW Norte Fluminense 778 MW Ibirité 720 MW Araucária 480 MW Piratininga 600 MW TermoGaúcha 500 MW Canoas 500 MW Três Lagoas 350 MW Corumbá 90 MW Norte Capixaba 250 MW Thermo-Power Plants - PETROBRAS Stake Termoaçu 325 MW Sergipe 90 MW TermoBahia 450 MW Fafen 60 MW Termo Rio - Reduc 1020 MW CCBS - RPBC 440 MW Thermo-Power Plants - PETROBRAS Stake Capacity Investiments Operation (MW) (US$ MM) Initial PARAIBA - PB Petrobras(25)-PBGAS(5)-STEAG(70) 150 100 NOV-2003 TERMO ALAGOAS - AL Petrobras(20)-Algas(5) - CEAL(5)-- Rolls-Royce(70) 150 90 DEZ-2002 IBIRITÉ - MG Petrobras(50)-FiatEnergia(50) 720 450 FEV-2002 NORTE FLUMINENSE - RJ Petrobras(10)-Light(90) 778 400 MAI-2003 PIRATININGA - SP Petrobras(80)-EMAE(20) 600 380 DEZ-2001 ARAUCÁRIA - PR Petrobras(20)-Copel(20)-El Paso(60) 480 337 OUT-2002 CANOAS - RS Participação em Negociação 500 300 MAR-2002 TERMO GAÚCHA - RS Petrobras(25)-Ipiranga(26)-Repsol/YPF(26)-CEEE)-(23) 500 300 OUT-2003 CORUMBÁ - MS Petrobras (45) - Duke (55) 90 60 MAR-2002 TRÊS LAGOAS - MS Participação em Negociação 350 230 JUN-2002 NORTE CAPIXABA - ES Petrobras(50)-Shell/Intergen(50) 250 130 JUL-2003 THERMAL PLANT PARTNERS / SHARE TERMO RIO Petrobras(43)-NRG(50)-PRS(7) 1020 640 AGO-2002 TERMO BAHIA - BA Petrobras(49)-ABB/EV(49)-A&A/EIC(2) 450 360 AGO-2002 FAFEN - BA Petrobras(20)-EDP(80) 125 200 JAN-2003 CCBS-CUBATÃO - SP Petrobras(27)-Marubeni(73) 440 220 OUT-2003 TERMOAÇU - RN Petrobras(30)-Guaraniana(70) 325 320 NOV-2003 SERGIPE Petrobras(20)-Energisa(51)-Alliant(29) 90 90 AGO-2002 7,018Total 4,607 Capacity Investiments Operation Operation (MW) (US$ MM) Initial Final TERMOAÇU - RN Petrobras(30)-Guaraniana(70) 325 MW 320 NOV-2003 IBIRITÉ Petrobras(50)-Fiat Energia(50 240 MW 180 MAR-2002 JUL-2003 TERMO BAHIA - BA Petrobras(49)-ABB/EV(49)-A&A/EIC(2) 190 MW 180 AGO-2002 FAFEN - BA Petrobras(20)-EDP(80) 125 MW 200 JAN-2003 TERMO RIO -RJ Petrobras(43)-NRG(50)-PRS(7) 1020 MW 640 AGO-2002 ABR-2004 ARAUCÁRIA Petrobras(20)-Copel(20) – El Paso (60) 480 MW 368 SET-2002 OUT-2003 TRÊS LAGOAS Petrobras(100)240 MW 120 OUT-2002 CANOAS Petrobras (51) - Copel (49) 160 MW 80 SET-2002 Total 3,958 MW 2,848 THERMAL PLANT PARTNERS / SHARE Thermo-Power Plants - PETROBRAS Stake Under Construction PIRATININGA Petrobras (80) - EMAE (20) 400 MW 280 MAR-2002 AGO-2003 NORTE FLUMINENSE Petrobras (10) - Light (90) 778 MW 480 MAI-2003 Petrobras will invest US$ 31 Billion (2001 – 2005) $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 Uses Corporate (2%) Gas & Power (9%) Downstream (26%) E&P (63%) International (17%) Domestic (83%) Project Finance (10%) Cash Flow and Corporate Debt (90%) C ap ita l E xp en di tu re s (U .S . $ b ill io n) SourcesRegionBusiness PETROBRAS - Investing for Growth
Compartilhar